fightingirish595
Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal
- Joined
- Feb 6, 2012
- Messages
- 8,710
- Reaction score
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CLICK HERE to Register for a free account and login for a smoother ad-free experience. It's easy, and only takes a few moments.I can get it at SF+3.5 on FanDuel, but it would cost me -150.One of my books is offering San Fran +3
Waste Management Phoenix open
Outright Winner
Bubba Watson risk .75 units (+3000)1st round leader
Matt Kuchar risk .75 units (+3500)
Webb Simpson 1.5 units (+1400)
Gary woodland +1 unit (+2500)
Brendan Steele risk .5 units (+7000)Finishing Position
Hideki Matsuyama 18th or better to win 5 units (-130)
Brendan Steele top 10 risk 1 unit (+900)
2 emotional bets tonight. Not really good numbers but I’m going for it. Lebron over 31 points. Lakers first q -5
mid they go down big I’ll live ml them.
eventually going to pound them to win the title
Love it is a bet. Hate it as a Celtics fan.
I lost 280 on that game the other night
Waste Management Phoenix open
Outright Winner
Bubba Watson risk .75 units (+3000)1st round leader
Matt Kuchar risk .75 units (+3500)
Webb Simpson 1.5 units (+1400)
Gary woodland +1 unit (+2500)
Brendan Steele risk .5 units (+7000)Finishing Position
Hideki Matsuyama 18th or better to win 5 units (-130)
Brendan Steele top 10 risk 1 unit (+900)
Also, darn you, Shanahan.Lost my SF moneyline bet. Thanks, Obama.
Lost my SF moneyline bet. Thanks, Obama.
Yeah, that one stings. What hurts even more is that we’re still a full two months away from baseball.SF was up 10 with the ball and like 8 minutes left, folllowing Mahomes second INT. That’s a bad beat.
SF was up 10 with the ball and like 8 minutes left, folllowing Mahomes second INT. That’s a bad beat.
Ok so the final game of the season is in and the Picker went out on a winning note.
So overall it did well:
SB Week Result:
ATS: 1-0
SU: 1-0
Season Results:
ATS: 107-93-4 (54%) +4.7 units
SU: 118-86 (58%)
The picker had a solid season, as any gambler knows winning over the course of the season is extremely hard, going 54% against the spread when picking every single game every week (from week 5 on) is damn near impossible for a person to do. So overall I am happy with the results of the system. But I have some curiosities, and will need a few more seasons of data to see if they are anomalies or if the system just has a weakness in those areas.
For instance the 3 point area being 27%. At first glance you probably think well yeah 3 point games is basically a pick 'em, well that is true but 27% is so far off from the under 3 point (58%) and 4 point (48%) games that it just makes no sense. It performed best in the 5 point range going 60%. It performed at basically the season average in the 8+ range, which is a bit disappointing as that should be the sweet spot of games to go with each week.
What I find head scratching is that it did so well in the under 3 point games at 58%, which is also the category which had the most games, actually it accounted for 43% of the games. But overall hard to be unhappy with the results.
Thank you all for the feedback over the course of the season and being cordial about it. I would like to get some further feedback from you guys. Please see the questions below, these are just some generic questions toss me any feedback you think maybe useful. If for whatever reason you don't want to post your feedback in this thread, feel free to message me.
1. I would appreciate any constructive feedback on it positive/negative
2. I would also be interested to hear how you incorporated it (if at all) into your weekly plays
3. How many people found it useful to some degree
4. Any thoughts on how it can used on other platforms
Here is the SB result and the season breakdown:
View attachment 26041
View attachment 26042
And we are back with another week of golf picks. Webb Simpson outright win bet put us in the positives for the year. Hideki Matsuyama 18th or better helped increase that positive number. By my calculations we are +9.75 units
ATT Pebble Beach Pro Am
Outright winners
Jason Day risk 1.5 units (+1800)First Round Leader
Brandt Snedeker risk 1 unit (+2000)
Max Homa risk .5 units (+4500)
Jimmy Walker risk .5 units (+14500)
Jordan Speith risk .5 units (+3200)Finishing Position
Phil Mickelson risk .75 units (+1800)
Mickelson risk 1 unit (+250)
Day 21st or better to win 5 units (-125)