Your post was the following
You're now talking about solid contributors, which is not what you originally posted. On that front, I have no idea what the hell Cajuste can do at the NFL level, and neither do you. You're also tossing out percentages which have literally nothing behind them. So the notion that there's just a 22% chance of them all coming back is just something you invented, and you don't really having any idea about whether or not their returns should be considered a long shot. That's fine for your opinion, but I was looking for something factual and real, which is why I asked you about it. So, yes, I would agree that I wouldn't consider fabricated percentages based upon nothingness to be a long shot (I wouldn't consider them a sure thing, either).