some comments on the comments:
1. I have said on a number of occasions that playing in NE is NOT for everyone. It doesn't make them a bad football player or a bad person. Collins falls into that category.
2. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I thought it was official that the Pats will get Cleveland's first 3rd round comp pick in this draft, which will be somewhere between 97-99
3. I wouldn't be surprised to see Collins have a great statistical year next season under the new Cleveland DC. He runs a penetrating one gap defense that fits Collins' skills perfectly.
4. Collins in some respects reminds me of Assante Samuels. The fans and the media focused hard on Samuels' playmaking and big play skills, while it was the Pats coaching staff that had to deal with the feast or famine results of his play. That's not to say Samuel wasn't a good CB (especially when playing zone) but FOR THE PRICE he was looking for, wasn't worth it here, especially when we were going to more press man coverages.
The same with Collins. He could be a human highlight reel, but the fans an media never saw the effects of his lack of discipline. No doubt he's good. No doubt this was the wrong system for him....at that kind of money.
5. Dependabilty is valued more in the Pats defensive system than pure raw talent. In an ideal world you get both, and it is certainly what they strive for, but the Pats will never pay top dollar to a guy they don't view as fully bought into their system and can be depended on to play within it. Collins didn't check off either box
6. He wasn't ever coming back so #98 for sure in 2017 was a lot better than the HOPE of #98 in 2018 plus 8 games in 2016.
7. There is absolutely no guarantee that the Pats would have gotten 3rd round compensation for Collins, despite his huge contract. The Pats have IIRC the 3rd or 4th most cap space in the league and it would only take one big FA signing or 2 or 3 mid range FA signings to balance that loss, and negate or severely lower any comp picks. Make no mistake the Pats will be VERY active in the FA market this spring.
8. Never forget the Pats WILL pay top dollar to those players who THEY view as being dependable and totally bought into the system. They did it with Wilfolk, Mankins, Seymore, Brady, and more recently McCourty. My guess is that they will do it again with Hightower.
9. The Pats have always been comfortable in letting players get to FA and find out what the market is, and when they do they offer a very competitive deal.
I remember when Welker was going through FA and I posted that I thought he was worth an 8MM/yr deal, and was blasted for low balling him. Well eventually the Market said he was worth only $6MM/yr. We countered with a Very competitive deal (in fact a bit better), and he still walked. We can talk about the "market" all day, but we never know what it actually will be until it actually happens.
10. I'm not sure if Collins' deal actually "sets" the market for Hightower. They have vastly different skill sets and could be viewed differently by other teams. Not as many highlight reel plays by Danta.
11. I think Hightower's value to the Pats is higher than it is to any other team in the league. THAT is why he will get a "market" deal from the Pats even if it is in the $12M/yr range. Not having to pay CJones and Collins gives us more than enough space.
12. Butler's RFA status really sucks for him. If the Pats put a first round tag on him (IIRC around 5MM/yr) it obviously would be a significant raise for him, but not nearly what he's been worth the last 2 seasons. But you have to wonder if there is really a team out there that would be willing to pay him over $10MM/yr AND give the Pats their first round pick, for a 5'10 CB who came into the league as an UDFA.
In an ideal world the Pats will work out a 2yr deal that will give him more money while still giving him a shot at true FA before he's 30. Maybe something like a 2 yr $16MM deal with $9MM up front. (with perhaps a phoney 3rd year for cap purposes) Not market money but more than he'd make playing for the first round tag.