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OT-ish: The gambling thread

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by fnordcircle, Sep 9, 2018.

  1. fightingirish595

    fightingirish595 Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

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    Hit my 3rd 6 team teaser in the last month this past weekend. Almost lost though because I had over 40 in the Green Bay game.

    The Carolina loss killed me. I had 510 invested on Sunday. An If win only bet headlines by Carolina -3 and then Ravens spread and then Bucs Spread. risking 110 to potentially win 300

    My degenerate self then went and parlayed Panthers Bucs ML with ravens spread for 100

    And then my degenerate self Parlayed Panthers Bucs Colts and Texans ML (Texans were a lock because McNair died). I usually don’t send it in like that on parlays but I thought I had a good opportunity to make a score, I was playing a specific angle in the ravens, Bucs, and panthers games. If you have a keen eye you can probably figure it out.

    Bottom line is that the Panthers totally screwed me. A cover would’ve been nice. I would have profited about 2K on the day with the teaser. A 3 point win (push)nets me about 1600. Instead I lost 10 bucks. Could be my worst beat ever considering It would probably have been my biggest win in a single Day.


    Anyway, I discovered this new thing called Wong teasers, anyone hear of it or try it out? data shows it’s pretty legit
     

  2. KontradictioN

    KontradictioN Florida Man PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Did you call and get a payment extension on your utility bills for this month after all that? :)
     
  3. fightingirish595

    fightingirish595 Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

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    This one is over my head. I only lost 10 bucks
     
  4. KontradictioN

    KontradictioN Florida Man PatsFans.com Supporter

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    That was the joke. Guess it was a **** one.
     
  5. everlong

    everlong Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    6 does look right which is why I wouldn't bet it. I think they'll win but be it 31-24 or 28-24 it's too close to call.
     
  6. BobDigital

    BobDigital Pro Bowl Player

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    4-2 - week 7
    2-3 - week 8
    3-1 - week 9
    3-3 - week 10
    3-2 - Week 11
    1-4 - Week 12

    I will add in more picks later. Last week pretty much used up all the gains I had made since restarting. Hopefully I have a good fine run.

    Saints - 7 @ Cowboys - I know 7 is a lot to give in an away game but the Saints have been good on the road and are much better than Dallas. Give me the Saints -7

    Bears -4 @ NYG - I hesitated last week cause I didn't know how the Bears would do without their QB. Not that I thought he was all that good anyway. Now with a little proof to go off of I feel better about the Bears. Give me the Bears -4

    Vikings @ Pats - U/O 49 - I was tempted to take the 7 here against the Pats but I just can't do it. The Vikings are paper should be very good but they haven't done it consistently. That being said 49 seems low here. Give me the over.

    Chargers @ Steelers U/O 51.5 - I like this line for a lot of reasons. The most important being the big play potential at all times for both teams. I could see a big fumble or pick being made for easy points or a short field. Give me the over for 2 good offenses.

    Browns @ Texans -6 - I really liked this line at 4.5. I still kind of like it now. Houston is due for a loss but it won't be against the Browns. At least I don't think so. Give me the Texans -6

    Bills @ Miami -4 - I wasn't going to touch this line until it dropped from 6.5 to 4. I still think Miami isn't all that good. However this game is getting close to a pick em with a superior home field team. Give me Miami -4
     
    Last edited: Nov 29, 2018
  7. maust1013

    maust1013 In the Starting Line-Up

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    I was hoping late national Dallas money (i.e. idiots) would move tonight's number below 7 before kickoff but it is continuing to actually stay above it, currently 7.5. I like the Saints here, Dallas' scoring D looks better on paper than it does on the field given who they've played, but at 7.5 I can't bring myself to pull the trigger.
     
  8. fnordcircle

    fnordcircle The poster who James White said inspires him. PatsFans.com Supporter

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    This is Dallas' SB, imo. I'm staying away from it.

    But if you like 6.5 then you could always buy a point.
     
  9. maust1013

    maust1013 In the Starting Line-Up

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    We all have our quirks when it comes to laying it down. I very seldom buy points and won't at all on a spread at or above 5.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  10. fnordcircle

    fnordcircle The poster who James White said inspires him. PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I despise 7.5, 6.5 and 3.5 especially so I always buy a half a point there. But like you said, to each their own, I can dig it.
     
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  11. fightingirish595

    fightingirish595 Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

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    Wong teasers.... Anyone...?
     
  12. maust1013

    maust1013 In the Starting Line-Up

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    LMAO, your "3.5 especially" hit my buy button.
    3.5 is the primary reason why I said seldom and not never, I too buy there.
     
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  13. fnordcircle

    fnordcircle The poster who James White said inspires him. PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Anyone know a good site where you can see how home dogs are doing this year? What with past performances being a guarantee of of the future and everything.
     
  14. Joker

    Joker PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    NFL Team ATS Trends - As Home Underdog
     
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  15. everlong

    everlong Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    LOL @ME! I radically underrated the Dallas defense apparently.
     
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  16. maust1013

    maust1013 In the Starting Line-Up

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    You weren't alone. I expected N.O. to hang at least 27 points on them. Thankfully the number stayed above 7 so I didn't touch the game.
     
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  17. jmt57

    jmt57 Moderator Staff Member

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    Early Advance Look Ahead Lines for Week 14:

    NFL Week 14 Look-Ahead Lines And Betting Market Moves For Week 13

    First number is from the Westgate, second by FanDuel

    Jaguars at Titans (-6), (-5½)
    Ravens at Chiefs (-9½), (-8½)
    Patriots (-10), (-7½) at Dolphins
    Saints (-10½), (-9) at Buccaneers
    Jets at Bills (-3), (-3)
    Panthers at Browns (Cle -1), (Car -1½)
    Colts at Texans (-3), (-3)
    Giants at Redskins (-3), (-3)
    Falcons at Packers (-7½), (-6)
    Bengals at Chargers (-15½), (-13)
    Broncos (-4½), (-4) at Niners
    Steelers (-12½), (-11) at Raiders
    Eagles at Cowboys (-3½), (-3)
    Rams (-3½), (-3) at Bears
    Vikings at Seahawks (-3), (-3)

    * Note: the Westgate publishes their advanced lines every Tuesday, which would be two days prior to last night's Saints-Cowboys game. Not sure if these have been updated or if the above reflects updated odds.
     
    • Thank You Thank You x 1
  18. fnordcircle

    fnordcircle The poster who James White said inspires him. PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I mean, I could feel pretty smart having said that NO was going to be Dallas' Super Bowl, but it's not like I put any money on it and there's the pesky problem of all the times I've been wrong too.

    But I do enjoy a good self-roast, so points to you my man.
     
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  19. fnordcircle

    fnordcircle The poster who James White said inspires him. PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I guess it could be worse, but I mean it feels like you can sometimes set your clock to our yearly underachievement in Miami at this point.

    Whatever, if I can get a line with a one score spread I'll take it, I guess.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  20. supafly

    supafly PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I shot my wad halfway through September for the second year in a row, so I haven’t been playing. The itch is there, but I can’t afford to throw any money away at the moment. I’m living vicariously through this thread, and from the looks of things, most of us aren’t exactly pushing away from the table with full bellies on a regular basis.

    I do have to hand it to fnord, who has successfully simplified a system that has produced nicely. Thanks to those who have kept the thread moving.
     
    • Like Like x 1

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