As I posted over on Reddit, in 2021, Jones had a top-10 season all-time among rookie QBs. But since then Belichick has failed—I am sure it's not intentionally, but it is also not blamelessly—to help him improve. Some of it is obviously not his fault (especially injuries), but a lot of it is (especially his views on WR "value").
Right, but according to PFF, you also had these guys as best rookie seasons in modern times
1. Russell Wilson (very good to great)
2. RG3 (bust)
3. Mayfield (bust? -- so far good start in TB but bust rest of career)
4. Jones
5. Prescott (good to very good)
6. Matt Ryan (solid career. Some up years some down)
7. Herbert (star in making)
8. Bridgewater (meh, mostly bust)
9. Burrow (star)
10. Minshew (bust)
11. Wentz (bust)
12. Tannehill (bust)
13. Newton (weird career. MVP one season average most other)
14. Winston (bust)
15. Flacco (average career)
But let's take a look at the non busts...
1. Wilson - 8/9 pro-bowl, 4x OPoy top 4
2. Prescott - Sophmore slump but then went on to get progressively better until last season
3. Ryan - Sophmore slump then flatlined as a 90ish rating type of QB. 1 outstanding season
4. Herbert - Progressively improving
5. Burrow - Progressively improving
6. Newton - up and down career. Like Ryan, had 1 outstanding season.
What is the point of this? Rookie season doesn't mean a whole lot when it comes to judging a career. And those who did have good careers typically remained consistently good. Jones had a significant dropoff after his rookie season and obviously it's still WAY too early to put a fork in him, there is absolutely no signs of life right now.
I get that Mac doesn't have a Tyreek Hill running routes or Trent Williams protecting his blindside, but both his rookie season and this season, he had a better comp % and rating with less than 2.5 seconds in pocket than more time. He CAN make quick accurate throws at times, but most of the time, he does **** like this:
The slightest bit of pressure and he lobs it behind Zeke.
Meanwhile, let's take a look at last game:
1:00 - Great reaction. Buys time, hits Douglas.
1:30 - Pressured by one guy and just lobs it over Gesicki who was wide open
2:56 - Pressure but shows he can make accurate throw. Not exactly a zip, but accurate.
3:09 - Plenty of time, misses Henry wide open and throws it slightly off mark to Juju
3:30 - His dumb fumble
4:30 - Plenty of time, throws off back foot. Nearly picked.
5:30 - All the time in the world, lobs it across the field nearly incomplete. Terrible decision
5:45 - Plenty of time, great accurate throw.
5:57 - plenty of time, makes terrible decision
6:40 - Ran away from no pressure into pressure and then throws it at defender. Lucky no pick
7:15 - Fantastic throw. Threw where only Henry could get it. No issues here. Even if incomplete it was still great
7:30 - Just a bad throw, but it's hard to tell if anyone was even open from that angle
8:23 - This is where it looks like Mac has thrown in the towel. Absolutely terrible throw.
Now to compare to Zappe who came in 31-3 facing serious pass rush
9:10 - Fast accurate throw
9:17 - Calmly steps up in pocket and throws it JUST a bit off-line but near perfect throw
10:00 - Avoids pressure and throws to ground as nobody was open. Could have been bad throw though if others were open
11:03 - Perfect throw leading Bourne allowing for some YAC
11:10 - Under pressure, good throw.
11:20 - Heavy pressure, throws away
Holy **** this is a long post. I guess that happens when I'm home sick.
Mac made a handful of accurate, good throws but mostly poor decisions and most lobs. This isn't about Zappe but I just brought up his clips to show the difference in poise and accuracy under the same pressure by the same team. I don't know if Zappe is better than Mac, but the contrast between the two was stark. Especially considering Zappe got to deal with the massive pass rush.
Okay, long post over. Sorry about that.