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Wild card weekend game thread: Colts @ Texans

Discussion in 'NFL Football Forum' started by sb1, Jan 5, 2019.

  1. sb1

    sb1 Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    As we know if HOU wins then we know our opponent next weekend.

    Season series split and the road team won both times, Hou won 37-34 in OT September, Colts took the rematch in Indy 24-21.

    Colts have a below average run game but a very good passing game to exploit a Texans defense ranked 28 vs the pass.

    TY Hilton’s wonky ankle is worth paying attention to.
     
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  2. Joey007

    Joey007 Pro Bowl Player

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    This will be a good one. No idea who comes out on top.
     
  3. TomPatriot

    TomPatriot PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Houston wins and goes to Foxboro.
     
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  4. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Hilton's health is the key to the game. If Hilton is healthy, there will be a shootout which the colts may win. If Hilton is not, this is an easy win for HOU. To put it another way, if HOU doesn't need to double Hilton, they have a much better chance against the pass.

     
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  5. sb1

    sb1 Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    Agreed. Hilton was also DNP on Wednesday and Thursday. That is a significant amount of practice to miss.
     
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    Last edited: Jan 5, 2019
  6. maineman209

    maineman209 Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    Oddsshark's survey shows HOU -1 to HOU -2, with most places now settled in at -1.5.

    Moneyline on HOU is -120 to -135.
    Moneyline on INDY is +115 to +105.
     
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  7. Wheelman

    Wheelman Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    What's the deal with Hilton? Did he make the mistake of coming back too early and playing thru an injury?
     
  8. everlong

    everlong Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    The current weather prediction for next Sunday in Foxboro is high of 37 with rain and snow. I want that 10 degrees colder and all snow. Don't care who we play at that point.
     
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  9. Patriot Missile

    Patriot Missile Pro Bowl Player

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    Indy was running it a lot better towards the end of the season. I give them a shot if Hilton is healthy.
     
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  10. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    So, you think that we're strongly favored against BALT in cold weather?
     
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  11. maineman209

    maineman209 Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    Exactly. Playing in snow and cold against a top-3 defense and the strongest ground game in the NFL for the past 7 weeks? Not particularly favorable for the Pats.
     
  12. everlong

    everlong Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    In the snow.
     
  13. everlong

    everlong Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    The Patriots have shown a tendency over the years of knowing how to play and prepare for the snow. I don't follow the Ravens nearly as closely but I don't recall them playing a snowy game. I also doubt Harbaugh has quite the preparation for those circumstances Bill does.
     
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  14. maineman209

    maineman209 Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    A snowy track still favors the stronger running game, so it can only add an advantage for the Ravens offense, regardless.
     
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  15. Deus Irae

    Deus Irae PatsFans.com Retired Jersey Club PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Tell me how well Jackson's going to be able to cut in the snow, and I'll tell you whether or not I like the idea of a snow game against the Ravens.
     
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  16. robertweathers

    robertweathers PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I been saying HOU wins the game but I dunna know anymore. Solid cases can be made for both teams.
     
  17. sb1

    sb1 Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    I think it favors a dink and dunk short passing game the most and that’s right in our wheelhouse.
     
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  18. Dingleberry

    Dingleberry Third String But Playing on Special Teams

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    Wind and rain...especially wind...screw up a passing game. Snow? Advantage passing game. Brady and the receivers know where they are going. Defense has to react in the slippery field. Has Brady ever not had a big passing game in the snow?
     
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  19. everlong

    everlong Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    That's a myth. It slows down the pass rush and makes the DBs have to play more cautiously.
     
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  20. everlong

    everlong Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    You make a fair point but I'd say Jackson is tough to defend no matter the conditions. Slowing down the Ravens pass rush and making their aggressiveness a negative works in favor of the Patriots offense. If Brady has 3+ seconds every time he drops back they'll spread them out and use the short passing game.
     
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