The Buccaneers had 27 first down plays. I'm going to exclude the last four 1st down plays from analysis because it was end of game clock burning runs and a knee
buczone.com
Good thread here. Terrible overall first down results...so many runs that don’t gain much. Just because you win doesn’t mean you’re doing everything right.
I’ve really disliked that the Bucs offense has gone away from the schemes that made them so dominant from week 13-16. They’re back to incredibly predictable runs that often waste a down. Have they ever run a first down play action to Gronk?
I really hope Arians isn’t one of these guys who cites out of context stats like “teams that don’t run 25 teams lose almost every game” while missing major context about when to run (when the defense is vulnerable to it.) And I really hope he isn't as moronic as he has appeared to be in outright embracing ideas simply because the team won and not because they actually worked.
A lot of that horizontal crossing game with Godwin and AB both breaking immediately has also been largely abandoned. I don’t understand it. Brady was thriving. Yes, these are better defenses, but that shouldn’t force them back into the bad concepts they ran in the first half of the season.
This isn’t going to cut it against KC. Can’t count on the defense forcing multiple turnovers and giving the offense freebies. And you can’t be playing out of 2nd and 8 all the time when the Chiefs are using all three downs correctly. The worst idea in the history of sports is trying to win the battle of ball control when doing so prevents your offense from being efficient. To beat the Chiefs, you need to score a lot of points.
The idea of throttling down an offense like Tampa in order to hit a quota for rushing attempts seems so asinine. But if you look at the completion percentage and yards per attempt with their passing game, they kind of suck the last few games despite winning.
They've had 3.2 and 3.6 yards per rush the last two games while their opponents were 4.2 and 4.5. When you factor in the run defenses and running games (they should have a big advantage) that seems like some clear evidence that their running calls are predictable and stubborn, while the Packers and Saints have chosen their moments better. They won't beat the Chiefs averaging 3.5 yards per rush.