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If we win the next 3 and (1) Pitt loses one of their next two, (2) the Jags to also lose one of their next 3, our last two games (Bills & Jets) are meaningless and we have HFA wrapped up as of the end of week 15 (EDIT: unless we win the complex extrapolation of a 3 way 12-4 tie -- in which case we don't need the Jags to lose a game).
Jags would have the best conference record in such a 3 way scenario (10-2); Jags would get the 1 seed, the Pats the 2 and the Steelers the 3 (same 9-3 conference record as Pats, reverts to head-to-head).
If Tennessee wins out instead in that specific scenario, and there's a 3 way tie at 12-4, Tennessee would be the 3 seed due to worst conference record (8-4; Pats and Steelers would still be tied here at 9-3), then it reverts to head-to-head where the Pats would win out.