I like the Patriots in this one, but I think people are overconfident, which is normal when you just blew out a team a few weeks ago. There’s no question Wilson is turnover-prone, but I don’t expect him to gift wrap 3-4 again.
Despite the scoreboard due to those turnovers, the Jets gave the Patriots some problems. Just 6.2 ypa passing and 3 sacks for 27 yards lost. 3-12 on third down. Jets defensive front, like the Saints, Bucs, is a good one. Jets also averaged 4.9 ypc on the ground and notably controlled the LOS.
I think this game will be competitive, but I think in the end the Patriots are the better team and Wilson will make more mistakes than Mac. But not an automatic win. I think they’re better overall than the Texans.