Chiefs are a front-loaded team. We've been seeing this for decades now. IF they are healthy down the stretch, they're the biggest threat to the Patriots.
If any of Watkins, Hill, Chris Jones, or Kelce are hurt, they're in a bit of trouble. If Mahomes is hobbled, they're doomed.
Last year, I wouldn''t give Mahomes the all-world treatment because it takes more than one year. Watching him this year: if he's healthy he's as physically gifted a QB as I've seen, right there with Aaron Rodgers, and I think he's got a better "winner's attitude" than Rodgers. The kid is special, I now admit. However, scramblers get hurt - a lot - and their injuries tend to cascade.
I knew the KC defense would take some serious steps backward this year. Justin Houston wasn't healthy all the time year last year, but he's an absolute stud when he is healthy, even at his age, and KC's defense AT HOME last year was really good. They are nowhere near as talented or cohesive a unit as they were last year, and I don't think they'll get there.
They can still win the SB if their offense is healthy and if they can somehow get that AFCCG in Arrowhead.
Big ifs, both of them. Watkins is not a consistent player, and they've got a tough stretch here that could make the game against New England unimportant for home field.
AFC this year:
Top tier: New England, KC
Period. There are a few good teams behind that, several that can steal a game, but I still think New England/KC is the real Super Bowl, barring catastrophic injuries.