Calling Bill Belichick Bill Belichick you have a phone call
Chris Cousin, We have a conundrum here in Foxboro.
Again I am not dumping this on BB but on his lieutenants who get paid for this. In the past, getting a trade call from BB if you were another GM was the case of "I'd better cover my ass. He's up to something". The winning ways probably prevented many deals we will never know about.
Now the other personnel people know our antiquated ways of trading and Drafting have finally left the cupboards bare. Other than the posters who stones thrown at me for Trades that should have happened, now prove that some movement to obtain talent are needed here.
I am not saying the Pats personnel gurus do not have their moments like the failed AB and Josh Gordon bold moves. I applaud them for those even though they did not work out.
We all sit here waiting for Thursday with the hope that this Draft will bring us back to the top. Bits and pieces of that can help but the Draft is the long road filled with hope and tears.
I am hopeful for a great Draft. We have a lusty 12 picks. Now I will get you excited by saying many of those will make our final roster this year. The problem is that........ many of those will make our final roster this year, meaning our cupboards are so bare of talent (the Pats roster as voted by the guys in Vegas with spats and pinkie rings, say is one of the worst in the NFL minus our DBs) we will take more of a gamble to fill that roster with kids we know little about......especially this year. This is the formula the bad Teams we beat in the past use.
The average Draft class success (pro-bowl type, starter or valuable back up) is between 17%-19%. Use 36 months or three years as a fair evaluation period. Roster fillers who were Drafted and replaceable the nest Draft are not figured into the equation.
Ironically 31% of every NFL Team upon average has a roster comprised of UDFA or off the street. These are all "Draft Fails" that the so-called professionals missed on. So in the end, if you bat .190 on an MLB Team you are sent to the minors. 19% from the foul line rots too.
Yes, every few years there are Teams that have above-average Draft wins. The worst Teams "hits" are skewed as more successful because they have to keep more players to fill more holes. We've lost 12 players who had many snaps from the 2019 Team and that Team roster was fair only.
The question is we have 12 picks. In actuality, only 3 will have an impact on the Patriots by year three. BB must be prepared for this Draft over any in the last 2o years here. Let's hope we beat the curve and that 4 or 5 are top players. .....That's 4-5 from the 12 picks we have.
OK for that sermon. We lost 12 players who had significant snaps. Let's say we hit this Draft well and get 5 gradable players. Now we are in limbo. Do we pick up players off the street? Do we fill the roster with remaining Draft choices who are cannon fodder as said?
Or do we get players who "we thought best for our Team"? or some other verbiage. My point while you are still awake? Yes, if players like Engram cost a pick, they are proven and can help
My formula would be you will get at the most 4-5 platers from this Draft. Trade some of that capital for those being dangled like Engram, Carr, Howard, Curtis Samuel, Fournette, Njoku, OBJ or more. These are some we have heard about. I am sure there are others that could be dealt.
I want a successful Draft too but 4-5 of 12 would be a great Draft....now how do we gill need positions not met this week? The Draft is a crapshoot at best.
All in favor about trading for value.
DW Toys
