So what's beginning to emerge is that, IF:
- the lessons from the 2016 pandemic simulation were paid attention to
- then infrastructure and supplies would have been put in place so that "flattening the curve" would have been the opposite of what we needed to do, then,
- hygiene habits would have been all that was called for
- corona would have joined flu and created an awful winter health season, but not a disaster
- we wouldn't have had to close down the economy at all. In fact the build out of infrastructure and scaling up of supply inventories would have been a positive to the economy,
- fewer people would have died in the long run, because this economic downturn, and extreme social distancing (like closing schools) will kill people, too, by the thousands.
The ability for executive teams to listen, to take in new data that may not fit their expectations and mental models, is SO important. That's the biggest failure of this POTUS and his senior leadership team ("Only the best people" is what he promised us). When they ignored the message from 2016, the train left the station, because the opportunity to avoid this mess has a multi-year tail.