Patsgofor4
Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract
- Joined
- Nov 2, 2007
- Messages
- 5,842
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A 5-year starter at 31? That's ambitious and also means putting a rookie on Mahomes' blind side.
It isn’t that ambitious, actually.
This is data over a ten-year period of time, ending in 2015. As you can see, the chances of finding a starter on the OL in the second round are still very good, and at 31 they would be greater than 70%. I think the Racens are doing the smarter thing, signing a solid veteran at LT while, potentially (if that is their plan), finding a cheap replacement for Brown at 31. If they pick wisely, that guy can very well end up being the starter at some point in 2021. If they have to trade up a few spots to grab a guy whom they are targeting, the cost should not be high.












