OT-ish: The gambling thread

[BaconGrundleCandy]

This... I avoided buffalo in certain spots for that reason. But I heard they were 9-1-1 against the spread in their last 11 before today so maybe my logic there was faulty.

but we still got a chance on the teaser tomorrow but I might take a shot on the Vikings 7.5 or better as well and hope to middle

Yea I actually like all the dogs this weekend. Idk like Minnes # but NO matches up really well against them in all phases imo. Esp on D.
Usually Id roll with taking all those points but again just like NO here. Besides NE, no team should be more fired up, prepared then NO. Now or never for them just like us.

 

[fightingirish595]

Yea I actually like all the dogs this weekend. Idk like Minnes # but NO matches up really well against them in all phases imo. Esp on D.
Usually Id roll with taking all those points but again just like NO here. Besides NE, no team should be more fired up, prepared then NO. Now or never for them just like us.

So you thought the titans would cover. Did you think they would win?

 

[BaconGrundleCandy]

So you thought the titans would cover. Did you think they would win?

Yes to both. Separate from Bills/NO

Game Date : Jan 04 - 4:36 PM
[141] BUFFALO BILLS +9½EV (B+7)

Game Date : Jan 04 - 8:26 PM
[143] TENNESSEE TITANS +11½-105 (B+7)

Game Date : Jan 05 - 1:05 PM
[146] NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1½-110 (B+7)

 

[mgcolby]

Last weeks results, late once again...

Week Results:

ATS: 2-1-1
SU: 0-4 (skunked)

Season Results:

ATS: 103-90-4 (53%) +4 Units
SU: 112-85

 

[mgcolby]

And the Divisional Round picks:

 

[BaconGrundleCandy]

And the Divisional Round picks:

View attachment 25838

Agreed on all

 

[fightingirish595]

Need Vikings ML. Doesn’t look good can’t run ball and can’t stop run. Hopefully jimmy throws the game away

 

[mgcolby]

Need Vikings ML. Doesn’t look good can’t run ball and can’t stop run. Hopefully jimmy throws the game away

Dude Kirk Cousins...I really wanted to pick them to win this game, but again Kirk Cousins....GL though hope they pull out a miracle comeback

 

[fightingirish595]

Dude Kirk Cousins...I really wanted to pick them to win this game, but again Kirk Cousins....GL though hope they pull out a miracle comeback

there identity is to run the ball and they couldn’t do that. Couldn’t stop it either. Won’t win many games like that.

thought maybe they’d be good value today. For most of the games since he arrived there they haven’t had cook thielen and DIGGS on the field together so I tried to play that angle

 

[BaconGrundleCandy]

Dude Kirk Cousins...I really wanted to pick them to win this game, but again Kirk Cousins....GL though hope they pull out a miracle comeback

I've never liked Cousins. Just never played like a smart QB. Just never seems in control. I loved the 49ers today but thought they were overmatched overall.

 

[mgcolby]

there identity is to run the ball and they couldn’t do that. Couldn’t stop it either. Won’t win many games like that.

thought maybe they’d be good value today. For most of the games since he arrived there they haven’t had cook thielen and DIGGS on the field together so I tried to play that angle

I get it. I really wanted to pick them to win...I just have no faith in Cousins.

 

[fightingirish595]

3 weeks off angle works again. I’ve been saying it for weeks

 

[mgcolby]

Divisional Round results:

A good weekend for the picker. Only fault was having faith in the Vikings.

Weekly Results:

ATS: 3-1
SU: 3-1

Season Results:

ATS: 106-91-4 (54%) +5.9 Units
SU: 115-86

 

[mgcolby]

And here is the Championship week picks:

It like, most have the 49ers and Chiefs in the SB...but is taking both dogs ATS.

 

[Hyped]

I am now down $30....

I need to stop playing parlays and throwing my money on long shot props....

For this weekend, I like:

Titans +7.5: Think the Titans will lose, but be able to burn a lot of clock and keep within 2 TD's....and score a garbage TD late then blow it on the onside kick recovery.

Packers +7: The only way the Niners are going to win this game is by running the ball, IMO. And the Pack also run it a lot....or at least set up Aaron Jones in the passing game....so..a lot of clock should be burned and I can't see the Pack falling behind by 2 TD's...think Rodgers will make it interesting.

 

[fightingirish595]

Golf betting season has arrived. I’m gonna be handing out winner after winner. Stay tuned

 

[fightingirish595]

The Farmers Insurance Open

Outright Winner Bets

Justin Rose risk 1 unit (+1800)
Gary Woodland risk 1 unit (+2000)
Hideki Matsuyama Risk 1 unit (+2000)
JB Holmes risk .25 units (+15000)
​

To Finish in the top 10

Sepp Straka risk .5 units (+1000)
​

Finishing postion

Justin Rose 21st or better to win 5 units (-125)
Tony finau 22nd or better to win 5 units (-125)
Gary Woodland 22nd or better to win 5 units (-125​

​

 

[supafly]

The Farmers Insurance Open

Outright Winner Bets

Justin Rose risk 1 unit (+1800)
Gary Woodland risk 1 unit (+2000)
Hideki Matsuyama Risk 1 unit (+2000)
JB Holmes risk .25 units (+15000)
​

To Finish in the top 10

Sepp Straka risk .5 units (+1000)
​

Finishing postion

Justin Rose 21st or better to win 5 units (-125)
Tony finau 22nd or better to win 5 units (-125)
Gary Woodland 22nd or better to win 5 units (-125
​

Value is value, but this is a path that I hope I don’t have to walk. Lol.

 

[Ice_Ice_Brady]

Golf betting season has arrived. I’m gonna be handing out winner after winner. Stay tuned

It’s so easy to predict who will win a given tournament, with like 50+ golfers all within a few handicap fractions of each other.

 

[1960Pats]

It’s so easy to predict who will win a given tournament, with like 50+ golfers all within a few handicap fractions of each other.

Courses fit different players differently. In general, longer hitters prefer longer, wide open courses and shorter hitters prefer courses that value accuracy. Some players prefer left to right shots and others prefer right to left. I have a friend who's pretty good at determining which courses fit which players but it's still tough to pick one correctly.