AFC playoff standings

[jah]

When it comes to selecting games worth betting on I have a hard enough time 'calling' current week games never mind games that are 3 weeks (and 2 games worth of injuries) away.

I wouldn't call it if the result had any discernable effect on my life.

 

[jradMITEX]

I don't know if the Colts will beat Houston but I'm calling now that Philly beats them.

Quite possibly Eagles could be eliminated by then, they have @Dal and @LAR, hard to see them in the spoilers role.

 

[jah]

Quite possibly Eagles could be eliminated by then, they have @Dal and @LAR, hard to see them in the spoilers role.

Plenty of eliminated teams play spoiler.

 

[jradMITEX]

Plenty of eliminated teams play spoiler.

Coming off the SB championship?

 

[jah]

Coming off the SB championship?

Doesn't that just make it more likely they have a talent level that would allow them to beat a good team?

Besides, if they're eliminated they can start having fun.

 

[mosslost]

This may be the year you don't want the #1 seed. Looks like whoever the first wild card team is will be better than either of the two lower division winners and will be one of the best teams in the playoffs. Odds are good either KC or the Chargers will be a wild card team heading to the #1 seed's stadium in the division round.

I am not advocating getting the #2 seed and the potential easier road, but I am just stating that the #2 seed might have the easier road than the #1 seed.

It kind of depends...

If its Houston 1, Pats 2, Chiefs 3 (3 way tie perhaps)

Then we likely get the Chiefs in Divisional at Foxboro and if we win a road game AFCCG. That seems harder than just having 2 home games no matter who they play.

 

[mosslost]

Well Pete you aren't living up to your screenname of Pessimistic so let me be the unfortunate voice of, a small hint, of pessimism. At this point nothing is a lock when you're looking at December football and scrub division teams that have coaches and players trying to keep their current jobs. While it's an overused phrase, to the Bills and the Jets this is their 'superbowl'. To beat the Patriots, at this point in their otherwise irrelevant season, can go a LONG way in cooling off the fan base. This isn't to say I would bet the Jets or Bills even with the line, however, you can bet the whole team will give a gritty max+ effort in the first half (if the Patriots go up 21 at half I'd expect some to start mailing it in a bit). Wouldn't surprise me at all to see the Patriots win one or both by a single score.

With that said, I think you're right about 4-0 giving a very good chance at #1 seed, or go 3-1 and #2 is all but certain (3-1 could get the #1, far stranger things have happened). And you're right that the next two games are the heaviest factor to getting that 4-0/3-1. Hopefully the last 2 days are not what is waiting for Sunday's weather (it's been very humid and very warm in here in [cooler than Miami] Tampa). Hopefully the hex of @Miami isn't in force this year. IMHO Sunday at Miami is the most critical game for getting the bye (losing 2 of last 3 is notably unlikely). And as much as the #1 is optimal, there is nothing more important than getting the week off on WC weekend. Since Denver isn't in the mix, the #2 seed without the @Denver hex looks quite nice.

need to win out

 

[TinhWoodhead]

The cream (pats) will rise to the top

 

[Hyped]

IMO....

0-4 Might still even make the play-offs given that I am not sold the Fish can finish 4-0.
1-3 We still make the play-offs as long as we beat one of our AFCE rivals.
2-2 means we play on wild card weekend at home.
3-1 still probably gets us a BYE and the #2 seed.
4-0 *might* get us HFA.

 

[Deus Irae]

We can take Denver off the list of playoff contenders.

Broncos believe that WR Emmanuel Sanders tore his Achilles during practice today, per source. Team usually can tell right away, but it will conduct tests on Sanders to confirm. But early belief is torn Achilles.

 

[SHOWTIME15]

Emmanuel Sanders just tore his achilles in practice today, so any hope of Denver helping us out by beating the Chiefs is probably out the window with the Sanders and Harris injuries.

Also, Eric Berry and Sammy Watkins are practicing with the chiefs.

Kansas City Chiefs News: Eric Berry, Sammy Watkins Both Practice Before Ravens Game

 

[YOUGOTMOSSED]

IMO....

0-4 Might still even make the play-offs given that I am not sold the Fish can finish 4-0.
1-3 We still make the play-offs as long as we beat one of our AFCE rivals.
2-2 means we play on wild card weekend at home.
3-1 still probably gets us a BYE and the #2 seed.
4-0 *might* get us HFA.

I'm seeing 12-4.

I expect them to win their last 2 home games.
I like their chances in Miami.
I have serious doubts about their winning @Pittsburgh.

12-4 is probably good enough for the #2 seed but not the 1 seed.

 

[QB12]

Well just to throw out a hypothetical seeding:

1. Pats
2. Chiefs
3. Texans
4. Steelers
5. Chargers
6. Ravens

Round 1: Ravens vs Texans, Chargers vs Steelers

Chargers would play the Pats in Round 2, unless the Ravens won, in which case the Ravens would play the Pats.

I'd actually say Ravens / Texans could go either way, so not sure it's worth hoping for a 1 or 2 seed based on not wanting to play the Chargers. In the end I agree we should probably all root for the 1 seed and home field if we get to the AFCCG, IMO.

I agree that the Chargers would be tough, but if we're gonna win the Super Bowl we are going to have to play some very tough teams regardless, so I say just let the chips fall where they may.

Phillip Rivers is 0-7 vs Pats.

 

[jah]

We can take Denver off the list of playoff contenders.

Emmanuel Sanders just tore his achilles in practice today, so any hope of Denver helping us out by beating the Chiefs is probably out the window with the Sanders and Harris injuries.

Also, Eric Berry and Sammy Watkins are practicing with the chiefs.

Kansas City Chiefs News: Eric Berry, Sammy Watkins Both Practice Before Ravens Game

Well, it was a good thing they beat the Steelers already, because they're useless to us now.

 

[PatsFan2]

I don't know if the Colts will beat Houston but I'm calling now that Philly beats them.

I wouldn't go out on a limb there: Philly cannot afford to lose another and are on the Road @ Dallas then @ LA Rams. IF they lose both when they go up against the Texans they could be playing for nothing.

 

[PatsFan2]

Well, it was a good thing they beat the Steelers already, because they're useless to us now.

There goes their Offense right there...playing for Daft position now.

 

[jah]

I wouldn't go out on a limb there: Philly cannot afford to lose another and are on the Road @ Dallas then @ LA Rams. IF they lose both when they go up against the Texans they could be playing for nothing.

Lane Johnson will be having a lot of fun though, so that could push them over the top.

 

[luuked]

Emmanuel Sanders just tore his achilles in practice today, so any hope of Denver helping us out by beating the Chiefs is probably out the window with the Sanders and Harris injuries.

Also, Eric Berry and Sammy Watkins are practicing with the chiefs.

Kansas City Chiefs News: Eric Berry, Sammy Watkins Both Practice Before Ravens Game

The one game to highlight for a KC loss is the Seattle game. The Chargers are another long shot. Those are the only two you can reasonably expect them to lose without ****ting the bed somehow. Even before the Harris/Sanders injury.

 

[luuked]

Phillip Rivers is 0-7 vs Pats.

Not sure if this has any relevance for a potential matchup really.

 

[SHOWTIME15]

The one game to highlight for a KC loss is the Seattle game. The Chargers are another long shot. Those are the only two you can reasonably expect them to lose without ****ting the bed somehow. Even before the Harris/Sanders injury.

Baltimore could give them a little trouble too.