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They may indeed franchise him or maybe they won't, but I see this same logic used for Jimmy G and it doesn't work.This is so stupid, Patriots can just keep Butler and franchise him next year and it would effectively be like a 2 year $20M deal. That's fine.
People need to drop the notion that the Patriots are going to decide whether or not to franchise a player based on what that player made last year and say "oh well hey, sure we're franchising Butler for $16 million but if we include last year where he earned $4 million it averages out to only $10 million per year, so let's do it...."
Come 2018, if the Patriots are deciding whether or not to franchise Butler, they will look at what it will cost them going forward. His 2017 will be completely irrelevant to that decision.