(continued from previous post)
PART II: Rounds 3-7:
82. Da'Rick Rogers, WR, Tennessee Tech. 6'3" 206#. Currently NFL DraftScout #76.
Flawed Beast! My guy is Tavon Austin, but he's long gone according to NFL DraftScout's rankings. I question whether the Pats would use this high a pick on a guy with Rogers' character question marks. But there is certainly plenty of talent. If Rogers doesn't last this long, someone like Marshall WR Aaron Dobson (80) could be an option, or a trade back for someone like Steadman Bailey (125) or Markus Wheaton (163).
*** Trade: New England trades #94 (124 points) for a 4th and 5th round pick, somewhere in the neighborhood of #108 and #140 (114 points). I haven't specified a trading partner - any number of teams would do. In this scenario the Pats trade back to pick up the 4th that they gave up for Talib.
120. Jonathan Brown, OLB, Illinois. 6'1" 235#. Currently NFL DraftScout #116.
Stud Horse![/b] A Makenzie Pantoja favorite, Brown is a rangy LB with great instincts and coverage ability somewhat in the Lavonte David mold. I perosnally don't think he's in the David class or as good as Mackenzie thinks he is, but a true coverage LB would be a useful addition to the Pats' LB corps. Brown played extensively with Tavon Wilson at Illinois, so BB should be fairly familiar with him. An alternative might be someone like OLB Jelani Jenkins from Florida, but at #102 he's just out of reach for this draft spot.
140. Chris Gragg, TE/H-Back, Arkansas. 6'3" 236#. Currently NFL DraftScout #132.
Sleeper Stud Horse! Gragg is Arkansas' leading receiver so far this year despite missing 3 games due to a bone bruise, which should keep his draft stock down and make him a relative bargain. A "move TE", he would provide backup insurance to Aaron Hernandez and would also create even more mismatch headaches when the two are used together. Gregg is deceptively fast, has good hands, and knows how to find the open seams in a defense.
If the Pats preferred to go with another WR instead of an H-back here, someone like Steadman Bailey (125) might be good value if he were still available.
6 (comp). Kyle Long, OT, Oregon. 6'7" 311#. Currently NR by NFL DraftScout.
Sleeper Super Beast! Another candidate for Dante's Dancing Academy, Kyle Long is raw but incredibly athletically gifted. The son of HOFer Howie Long, who describes Kyle as "the best athlete in the family", and brother of former 2008 #2 pick Chris Long. Started as a pitcher for Florida St., dropped out because of academic and alcohol issues, got his act together and switched to football. In his first year at Oregon but has no remaining NCAA eligibility. A huge kid who plays with a mean streak, with outstanding core strength and athleticism.
Long has petitioned for another year of NCAA eligibility and is waiting to hear, but as of right now, he will be in the 2013 draft. Gil Brandt predicts that he will be drafted, so in this mock I have the Pats taking him in the late 6th before other teams grab him in the 7th round:
J.J. Watt, Jared Allen, Jake Long among NFL's best linemen - NFL.com
7a (from Tampa Bay). Tyrann Mathieu, DB, LSU. 5'9" 178#. Currently NR by NFL DraftScout (previously #74).
Fallen Beast! The Honey Badger becomes the 2013 version of Aaron Hernandez/Alfonzo Dennard, a day 1 or 2 pick who slips to day 3 because of off field issues and gets snatched up by BB. Mathieu is undersized and doesn't have elite man coverage skills. But he is a heat seeking missile and ball hawk par extraordinaire who can be moved all around the secondary to create disruption. He's a big risk without a true position and multiple off field issues leading to his dismissal from LSU, but as a day 3 pick the upside is too great to ignore. He has fallen completely off of NFL DraftScout's list after his most recent arrest for MJ possession and his draft stock should no doubt plummet accordingly. Paradoxically, I'm more intrigued by Mathieu now than I was before: first, because his stock his lower; second, because his scrappy style of play and tough demeanor seem to mesh nicely with fellow "Bad Boys" Aqib Talib and Alonzo Dennard. I wouldn't mind some of that kind of toughness and attitude in the Pats' secondary compared to the soft coverage that we've seen in the past, even at the expense of guys with off field issues, as long as they can be managed. It's a risk, but at the price of an extra 7th round pick, one that would seem to be well worth taking. And it would be poetic justice to grab a stud DB with the late round throw in from the Bucs in the Talib trade. 2 delinguent stud DBs for the price of a 4th round pick. Sweetness.
7b. Travis Kelce, TE, Cincinnati. 6'6" 260#. Currently NFL DraftScout #349.
Sleeper Beast! The brother of Philadelphia Eagles' center Jason Kelce, Kelce is a former QB and 3-sport athlete (baseball, basketball) who converted to TE at Cincinnati. He was suspended for 2010 for a violation of rules but has stayed out of trouble since then, and is beginning to show signs of incredible athleticism and playmaking capability. He could be something in-between Rob Gronkowski and Jake Ballard, which would make him a steal this late in the draft.
The Bottom Line:
The Pats come out of this draft with immediate starting caliber players at OG and LDE/interior DL plus a significant contributor at WR. They add depth at TE/WR, an athletic developmental tackle with tremendous upside, a falled DB with character issues who would have been a day 1/2 pick a year ago, and a coverage LB.