You can go back to most of the teams the Pats have lost to in the playoffs and make the same argument. Ultimately, how the Ravens play against other teams is completely irrelevant. It is somewhat relevant how the Ravens have played the Patriots in the past. Most relevant, however, is how their personnel, style, and coaching staff matches up with the Patriots right now. Based on their front 7, balanced offense that threatens all parts of the field, and coaching (including someone with inside knowledge of how the Patriots operate), the Ravens match up pretty well. The Patriots now have plenty of experience of losing playoff games to teams that were much worse than them in the regular season. It surprises me that so many are getting caught up on the Ravens' regular season record and not focusing on the obvious matchup problems they present.
Some truth to that, some not:
-Last year Denver was 5-1 going into the Pats game and had demonstrated high level potency numerous times. had played extremely well all year, losing only 1 since mid september.
-The prior year Baltimore had played poorly the last 5, however, they demonstrated high potency in a run of 8-1 during the season (that 8-1 included away game wins and quality opponent wins.
-Prior year to that, the Giants had won 3 of their last 4 going into the playoffs including the last 2 games of the season (needed wins) where they dominated.
-Prior to the Jets beating the Patriots, the Jets had: Beaten Indy in Indy, Walloped Buffalo in the playoff clincher game, Lost by a FG in Chicago 34 to 38, gone into Pitt and won. And two weeks prior where the Patriots throttled them, they had come off of 4 straight and fairly solid wins.
- 2014 Ravens season has nothing really to point to potency except a 2 game dominance against Tampa and Atlanta. The 10 Raven victories of 2014: Atlanta, Cleveland, Cleveland, Jax, Tenn, Carolina, New Orleans, Pitt, Miami, Tampa (coincidentally the only winning team they beat was the same team they beat again last week in the playoffs). The Ravens lack of quality wins is stark and shows very little in the way of
'this team is just waiting to spring out and taking it to a high level' ((if someone has stats that indicate I'm wrong on that, I have missed it))
The 2014 Ravens picture does not stack up particularly well against the season's big picture of the other teams listed above.
A hypothetical: Take the 2014 Patriots, their wins, their losses, points, the exact schedule/opponents -- give those exact scores and schedule and outcomes to Baltimore (including Baltimore now having that impressive record against winning teams). Now do the reverse and put the Ravens exact score, schedule, outcomes to the Patriots (including the Patriots now having that poor record against winning teams). With this juxtaposed situation, the Patriots are now going to play Baltimore in Baltimore for the divisional round playoffs. I'm curious what would be the sense about the Patriots chances of victory?
The Ravens' past years' teams-performances-reputation as well as 1 markedly solid win @Pitt is driving this fan fear of the Ravens. It has to be the reason because from a 2014 perspective the Ravens do not equal a team to be feared ((again if there are metrics that indicate otherwise? I'll certainly listen))
All playoff teams are by default the most potent opponents you can face. Due to this the room for error is smallest. The Patriots are not a clearly dominating team (unless their A+ OL shows up -- then they are) that they can make mistakes and feel confident about achieving victory. But the 2014 Patriots against the 2014 Ravens in Foxboro from a 2014 big view perspective is approaching lopsided in terms of what they both demonstrated this year. So, ultimately, if that week 6 - week 13 Patriot OL shows up Saturday, I'm outright saying the Patriots will 'dismiss' the scary Ravens, they'll beat them as easily or easier than they would the rest of the AFC field except Denver (they would beat Denver too). And if I'm wrong? If the Ravens put it to the Patriots?? I'll be the first hear to say my math/take on the whole thing was pathetically wrong....