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OT-ish: The gambling thread


Had to put a little more on the Cowboys at -3 despite all their injuries. The Falcons suck
 
TB over 47
Sea over 44.5
GB - 7
Ari - 7



 
580E6E50-FF5C-4BD4-B505-0F25FBBA78BE.jpeg
my site was all messed up so I had to text in my bets. What a disaster.I also have all of these parlayed and bucs/Rams 6 point teaser to win 100

bucs -1.5and Rams -8
 
raiders ML 30 to win 51.

i took jacobs first TD as well
 
For historical purposes on this greatest of all time thread, here are the current odds as of close to midnight Tuesday 9/22.
As always, give or take a small bit depending on which crooked nose you visit.
Within just two weeks Jacksonville has gone from huge favorite to finish with the worst record, to fav to fhis week.
My Lions over season wins based on Stafford's return is not looking good.
When will we see odds on when Matt Patricia will be fired?

Dolphins at Jaguars (-3), 47½
Raiders at Patriots (-6), 47½
Rams at Bills (-2½ ), 47½
Texans at Steelers (-4), 45
Niners (-4) at Giants, 41
Titans (-2½) at Vikings, 47½
Washington at Browns (-7), 44
Bengals at Eagles (-6), 46½
Bears at Falcons (-3½), 47½
Jets at Colts (-10½), 43½
Panthers at Chargers (-6½), 44
Lions at Cardinals (-5½), 54½
Bucs (-6) at Broncos, 43½
Cowboys at Seahawks (-5), 55½
Packers at Saints (-3), 51½
Chiefs at Ravens (-3½), 53½

Three road favorites, only one of which is favored by less than three, and only one game with a spread greater than seven (at this moment).

With not yet having done my due diligence, the only game that jumps out to me is taking Pittsburgh minus four.
I'm almost ready to go against Detroit every week, but is Arizona really worth believing in?
Minnesota and Jacksonville are two teams that are confusing me.
 
For historical purposes on this greatest of all time thread, here are the current odds as of close to midnight Tuesday 9/22.
As always, give or take a small bit depending on which crooked nose you visit.
Within just two weeks Jacksonville has gone from huge favorite to finish with the worst record, to fav to fhis week.
My Lions over season wins based on Stafford's return is not looking good.
When will we see odds on when Matt Patricia will be fired?

Dolphins at Jaguars (-3), 47½
Raiders at Patriots (-6), 47½
Rams at Bills (-2½ ), 47½
Texans at Steelers (-4), 45
Niners (-4) at Giants, 41
Titans (-2½) at Vikings, 47½
Washington at Browns (-7), 44
Bengals at Eagles (-6), 46½
Bears at Falcons (-3½), 47½
Jets at Colts (-10½), 43½
Panthers at Chargers (-6½), 44
Lions at Cardinals (-5½), 54½
Bucs (-6) at Broncos, 43½
Cowboys at Seahawks (-5), 55½
Packers at Saints (-3), 51½
Chiefs at Ravens (-3½), 53½

Three road favorites, only one team favored by less than three, and only one game with a spread greater than three (at this moment).

With not yet having done my due diligence, the only game that jumps out to me is taking Pittsburgh minus four.
I'm almost ready to go against Detroit every week, but is Arizona really worth believing in?
Minnesota and Jacksonville are two teams that are confusing me.
I like Ari and might lock them in soon.

Should Phila being fav that high? Cinci has covered twice now I believe.

I like NE, maybe Houston, GB, Panthers, Buccs/Over. I'll post we I take.
 
12 PM college games

oklahoma -27.5
kentucky ML +190
Georgia Southern +11.5
 
Not a great day for the Top 10. LSU proved they were paper Tigers now that all their talented players moved to Sunday. Texas is a lucky Longhorn to squeak by Tech. And Oklahoma did something that hasn't happened in 500 games. An AP top 5 team with a 21 point lead is something like 515-0. Well that streak ended today compliments of K State. At least Alabama is still Alabama.
 
The Giants are without a doubt one of the worst teams in the NFL this year. Yet I am tempted to go with them home versus a 49ers team that is without multiple starters: DE Nick Bosa, DT Solomon Thomas, DL Dee Ford, CB Richard Sherman, WR Deebo Samuel, TE George Kittle, RB Raheem Mostert, and QB Jimmy G. Losing Garoppolo may be the least of their concerns. This is the second of back-to-back games in New Jersey, though SF did have an alleged slight upgrade by spending this last week in a 'resort' in West Virginia,. (Is that an oxymoron? Why pick a place 470 miles away if lots of travel is your concern?) The Gints are horrible, but I still don't see the Niners winning this game.

Then there is the other team from the swamps of Jersey, the Jete. They are even more horrific as is fitting to their legacy, but are the Colts worthy of being an 11.5 point favorite?

Getting away from the stench of the New Jersey Turnpike, I like the Steelers (-4.5) over Texans and Packers (+3.5) over the Saints. I have opinions on others (eg, Rams>Bills) but don't feel confident enough on them to wager. Curious to see how Atlanta responds to their week two debacle vs a Bears team I thought would be awful, how Minnesota comes out in the face of a possible 0-3 start, is Detroit going to throw in the towel, etc. - but all are way too unpredictable for me. Lots of other games I am not confident with at all and don't want to touch, can make cases either way given the line.
 
NE -5.5
TB Over 42.5
Houston +4
Rams +2.5
NE Over 47
Cinci +4.5
Giants team total over 19.5 - 135

I know the line moved, I like -6 but grabbed this the other day.

TICKET #:112280045
SEP 27 01:00 PM
INTERNET / -1SEP 25 09:06 PMNFL
STRAIGHT BET
[462] NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -5½-115 (TV BROADCAST: CBS)
288.00 USD/250.00 USD
 
Got in a bears rams 6 point teaser last second

bears +8.5 rams +8
 
TICKET #:112522459
SEP 28 08:15 PM
INTERNET / -1 SEP 28 06:13 PM MU
STRAIGHT BET
[100001958] TOTAL O29½-125
(BALTIMORE RAVENS - TEAM TOTAL VRS BALTIMORE RAVENS - TEAM TOTAL)
282.00 USD/225.00 USD



 
Here are the Week 4 look ahead lines from Sept 17 (odds prior the week 3 games being played):
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And here are current (Tuesday 9/29 am) odds for those same Week 4 games:

Broncos (-3) at Jets (40) [was Broncos -2½ on 9/17]
Colts (-2½) at Bears (45) [was a PK]
Saints (-4) at Lions (54)
Cardinals (-3½) at Panthers (52½)
Jaguars at Bengals (-3), (48)
Browns at Cowboys (-4½), (55½) [was Dal -4]
Vikings at Texans (-3½), (54) [was Hous -4]
Seahawks (-6½) at Dolphins (54½)
Chargers at Bucs (-7½), (-45) [was Bucs -4½]
Steelers (-1½) at Titans (47) [was Titans -3]
Ravens (-13) at Washington (47) [was 12]
Giants at Rams (-13), (47½) [was Rams -9]
Patriots at Chiefs (-7), (54) [was KC -8]
Bills (-3) at Raiders (52½) [was 2½]
Eagles at Niners (-6½), (45) [was SF -3½]
Falcons at Packers (-7), (58) [was GB -5]
 
BDE157ED-0BEB-4F8D-B1D1-CB7DE4100EE5.pngAlso a parlay with all these with the risk/payout above
 
Oh and 15 to win 105 a and m ml
 
I'm clearly not in a zone but bad beats have killed me. Det (give up 3 TD to Trubisky in 4th), Tenn (Missed 3 FG/EX point), TB Over last week (total 3 points in second half), Rams +2.5 (Give up lead late in 4th, lose by 3) Ravens **** the bed after avg 31.5 completely abandon run game. Just no luck so maybe fade me.


First half Balt -7
Chicago team total over 19.5
Houston team total over 28.5

SF - 8
1st Half -4.5
Tease - SF -3/Over 40
 
Last edited:
Washington +7.5
Cincinnati + 13
Giants +8
Minnesota +7.5
NO -7.5
Pitt -7
KC -10.5

I suck, don't follow.
 


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