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DRAFT BGC 2021 Pre-Draft/Patriot-Type Prospect(s) thread

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I really want us to draft this kid. He is so dynamic. Total playmaker.

Oh no, not anymore of the Patriots broken WR/CB evaluation obsession with 3cone time or whatever other illogical crap. Have we not learned from a dozen high bust picks that the Patriots scouting methods have been broken at WR and CB ? Don't draft any WR or CB in the first 2 days. Not until we bring back Bill's previous scouting methods and destroy whatever crap Caserio/McDaniels installed since 2004.
 
Oh no, not anymore of the Patriots broken WR/CB evaluation obsession with 3cone time or whatever other illogical crap. Have we not learned from a dozen high bust picks that the Patriots scouting methods have been broken at WR and CB ? Don't draft any WR or CB in the first 2 days. Not until we bring back Bill's previous scouting methods and destroy whatever crap Caserio/McDaniels installed since 2004.

watch his tape from early 2020. He is a pint sized beast.
 
Oh no, not anymore of the Patriots broken WR/CB evaluation obsession with 3cone time or whatever other illogical crap. Have we not learned from a dozen high bust picks that the Patriots scouting methods have been broken at WR and CB ? Don't draft any WR or CB in the first 2 days. Not until we bring back Bill's previous scouting methods and destroy whatever crap Caserio/McDaniels installed since 2004.
No serious evaluator solely looks at a 40 or 3 Cone and says "let's draft this prospect". It's confirmation of what you see on tape. Maybe some value it more than others. For the most part you want thresholds met but excelling at certain drills isn't a bad thing either.

Everyone knows how you feel about Josh. You've mentioned it in multiple threads for almost a year now. This isn't the thread for that stuff though.
 
With respect we have to stop comparing prospects who haven't played to the GOAT imo. We just don't know if what's inside a prospect is the same kind fire, willingness to learn, competitiveness etc that made Brady a living legend.

It describes these perfectly though. I don't think anyone would deny they're accurate, can work concepts/scan the field, make the offense run. Would you take Jimmy, Carr, Cousins, Bridgewater at 15? They can all do the abovementioned? I wouldn't but would in the second bc they have obvious limitations, ceilings.

Also Brady comp 60+% and was throwing for 2/1 TD/INT ratio from 2002 on and set the league on fire in 2007. He was certainly a lot more than "good enough to win with". We won bc of him a few times. I get what you're saying in terms of being a "game manager" type but we can never know if a prospect has what Brady has. Which leads me to ...


This is why evaluation is incredibly difficult!! Incredibly and why I encourage and ask people to dive into rankings, big boards etc even hold me accountable with mine. Those that actually do it consistently only have a little piece of the puzzle and are asked to put the puzzle together-whole. Not easy.

Again we just don't know if what's inside these prospects, young adults, is the right stuff. We're getting glimpses into young adults but mostly judging off film and gathering information.

Even teams only have little time with these prospects who are coached up and now it's mostly virtual unless you're at a pro day for a day so almost everyone is on the same playing field. Or it's evened up.

Anyway it's impossible to know if someone is as competitive as Brady or will study like him. Or take care of themselves like him.

More on Mac ...

His footwork gets a little slow, sloppy when under pressure. Not Ryan Mallet quicksand feet but once a situation gets bad it's unlikely he'll recreate or manipulate a pocket. I've also seen him lock onto targets both with his eyes and upper body. Not a killer but again combined with limited mobility and the fact that he hasn't displayed the ability to create outside the confines of the structure-his system it could be problematic. For the most part his movements are fine but again, when things break down. He has trouble. When things are in front of him he can slide, step up just fine. It's turning chaos into new space that's a problem.

Arm talent is good enough. Not a concern but not great. Arm strength is easily improved and again even a slight improvement would help a lot. Again though combined with shoddy footwork this could be tough when throwing against NFL defenders and into NFL tight coverage might be a problem for him of that manifest. Mac can absolutely eat up unaccountable yards but recreating a pocket with NFL defenders flying around, scrambling to buy time etc isn't up his alley. Tough ask.
Another thing that has to be asked is how he'll deal with NFL with consistent NFL pressure if he doesn't have a top tier, top 15/20 OL. People talk about his "weapons" at Bama but the biggest difference in terms of a gap is between their OL and everyone else's DL. Almost all will be drafted, half in the top 100 or so while the other side, even in the SEC is lucky to have one or two a year. That's the norm at Bama. Like I'm already seeing another potential top 15-20 tackle (Evans) for next year. So how will orchestrate or make better a middle of the pack OL?

Lots of easy passes to unbelievable talent. Forget about the talent and pay attention to the types of passes he's making. Some tight windows but mostly on slants and stuff. Timing, bang-bang stuff. You don't see enough of the honey hole shots 30 yards down field. Over a defender 25 yards far hash. Doesn't mean he can't but you didn't see that consistently. His WR's did a lot of the work.

I really like Jones for this system though. It's one of the very few systems he'll work in. He's quick getting the ball out. Quick doing a lot. He took made use of his biggest advantage. Sitting and learning behind elite talent. He mastered the system and was on point in terms of timing, knowing where everyone is supposed to be. Very impressive. He transferred to Bama knowing he wasn't ready, knowing Bama would have talent. Playing time is like 50% of recruiting. If you can promise a kid playing time theres a decent chance he'll choose you. Bama let him stick around bc he had some talent and was ok with not playing. Credit to him bc he made the most of it. He was great in terms of knowing where guys should be but also how a defense would react.

Doesn't panic. Good poise in the pocket for the most part. Good feel for pressure it's dealing with it and making it work that's a problem. Especially up the middle.

Again reminds me of the other guys I mentioned and had a 2nd on. Guys that need top tier protection, targets, perfect scheme/system - OC that really knows his QB. I like Jones just in the 2nd.


I wouldn't be mad at Mond in the 3rd or 4th. Check out Davis Mills. I have a high grade on him but he won't go that high (2nd). I never just rank guys so sometimes I'll have weird selections and outliers so I just go with it bc it works more often than not. He'll probably go in rounds 3-4 and would also be a great fit here. Him and Mac's trajectory are similar imo. Plus he didn't play at Bama (behind arguably the best OL in the country, best WRs in the country, coaching staff) so he's not being hyped up.

*edit* I know this is a long post but you're used to them lol.

You were interested in the competitiveness, drive of Jones. I have no doubt he's working his butt off. But we know Lance has been working with a QB & OL coach. Getting better at protection calls-feeling what's coming-overall OL relationship, reading a defense and understanding what's in front of him, what could happen. His traits and gifts. Only 20. Just thought this should be mentioned again bc of the stuff you were asking about Mac. Again I'm sure he's working hard. We also know Lance has been working to improve by way of film study, player tendency before hiring these coaches to help him. That work ethic has always been in him.

so we don't get to move up and grab lance......lawrence, fields, wilson & lance are gone at 15.....so we're waiting

obviously at that point a lot comes down to how the draft shakes out........but if you had your pick of the next tier - the newman/mond/mills/jones/trask tier.......is mills your highest of that group?

and is any of that group worth a reach?
 



He's been high on my list for a while, but this cements for me that he's got all the physical tools to shake anyone. Tape first, but confirm through testing; I'll take good traits and bad test numbers later in the draft, but when you have absolutely fantastic tape and fantastic numbers, then I'm really happy.

I'd love to see if we could trade up for Lance and still manage to take Moore. If he had played another half dozen games, he might have challenged Smith for all the accolades, since he had more yards on a per game basis. I don't think his route running is as smooth, but he's got insanely good hands and excellent speed, balance, and open field skills. Sign me up.
 
He's been high on my list for a while, but this cements for me that he's got all the physical tools to shake anyone. Tape first, but confirm through testing; I'll take good traits and bad test numbers later in the draft, but when you have absolutely fantastic tape and fantastic numbers, then I'm really happy.

I'd love to see if we could trade up for Lance and still manage to take Moore. If he had played another half dozen games, he might have challenged Smith for all the accolades, since he had more yards on a per game basis. I don't think his route running is as smooth, but he's got insanely good hands and excellent speed, balance, and open field skills. Sign me up.
Lance & Moore would be a dream. It's great if you can get 12 different prospects that you like but sometimes you can't fill every hole. Coming out with those two would be as good as it gets.

Lance & one of Moore, Radunz, Nixon, Oweh, Tufele ... A solid top 50-60 would be a big WIN. We need good players more than picks.
 
If you're looking for gunnas look for guys > 6"
 
With respect we have to stop comparing prospects who haven't played to the GOAT imo. We just don't know if what's inside a prospect is the same kind fire, willingness to learn, competitiveness etc that made Brady a living legend.

It describes these perfectly though. I don't think anyone would deny they're accurate, can work concepts/scan the field, make the offense run. Would you take Jimmy, Carr, Cousins, Bridgewater at 15? They can all do the abovementioned? I wouldn't but would in the second bc they have obvious limitations, ceilings.

Also Brady comp 60+% and was throwing for 2/1 TD/INT ratio from 2002 on and set the league on fire in 2007. He was certainly a lot more than "good enough to win with". We won bc of him a few times. I get what you're saying in terms of being a "game manager" type but we can never know if a prospect has what Brady has. Which leads me to ...


This is why evaluation is incredibly difficult!! Incredibly and why I encourage and ask people to dive into rankings, big boards etc even hold me accountable with mine. Those that actually do it consistently only have a little piece of the puzzle and are asked to put the puzzle together-whole. Not easy.

Again we just don't know if what's inside these prospects, young adults, is the right stuff. We're getting glimpses into young adults but mostly judging off film and gathering information.

Even teams only have little time with these prospects who are coached up and now it's mostly virtual unless you're at a pro day for a day so almost everyone is on the same playing field. Or it's evened up.

Anyway it's impossible to know if someone is as competitive as Brady or will study like him. Or take care of themselves like him.

More on Mac ...

His footwork gets a little slow, sloppy when under pressure. Not Ryan Mallet quicksand feet but once a situation gets bad it's unlikely he'll recreate or manipulate a pocket. I've also seen him lock onto targets both with his eyes and upper body. Not a killer but again combined with limited mobility and the fact that he hasn't displayed the ability to create outside the confines of the structure-his system it could be problematic. For the most part his movements are fine but again, when things break down. He has trouble. When things are in front of him he can slide, step up just fine. It's turning chaos into new space that's a problem.

Arm talent is good enough. Not a concern but not great. Arm strength is easily improved and again even a slight improvement would help a lot. Again though combined with shoddy footwork this could be tough when throwing against NFL defenders and into NFL tight coverage might be a problem for him of that manifest. Mac can absolutely eat up unaccountable yards but recreating a pocket with NFL defenders flying around, scrambling to buy time etc isn't up his alley. Tough ask.
Another thing that has to be asked is how he'll deal with NFL with consistent NFL pressure if he doesn't have a top tier, top 15/20 OL. People talk about his "weapons" at Bama but the biggest difference in terms of a gap is between their OL and everyone else's DL. Almost all will be drafted, half in the top 100 or so while the other side, even in the SEC is lucky to have one or two a year. That's the norm at Bama. Like I'm already seeing another potential top 15-20 tackle (Evans) for next year. So how will orchestrate or make better a middle of the pack OL?

Lots of easy passes to unbelievable talent. Forget about the talent and pay attention to the types of passes he's making. Some tight windows but mostly on slants and stuff. Timing, bang-bang stuff. You don't see enough of the honey hole shots 30 yards down field. Over a defender 25 yards far hash. Doesn't mean he can't but you didn't see that consistently. His WR's did a lot of the work.

I really like Jones for this system though. It's one of the very few systems he'll work in. He's quick getting the ball out. Quick doing a lot. He took made use of his biggest advantage. Sitting and learning behind elite talent. He mastered the system and was on point in terms of timing, knowing where everyone is supposed to be. Very impressive. He transferred to Bama knowing he wasn't ready, knowing Bama would have talent. Playing time is like 50% of recruiting. If you can promise a kid playing time theres a decent chance he'll choose you. Bama let him stick around bc he had some talent and was ok with not playing. Credit to him bc he made the most of it. He was great in terms of knowing where guys should be but also how a defense would react.

Doesn't panic. Good poise in the pocket for the most part. Good feel for pressure it's dealing with it and making it work that's a problem. Especially up the middle.

Again reminds me of the other guys I mentioned and had a 2nd on. Guys that need top tier protection, targets, perfect scheme/system - OC that really knows his QB. I like Jones just in the 2nd.


I wouldn't be mad at Mond in the 3rd or 4th. Check out Davis Mills. I have a high grade on him but he won't go that high (2nd). I never just rank guys so sometimes I'll have weird selections and outliers so I just go with it bc it works more often than not. He'll probably go in rounds 3-4 and would also be a great fit here. Him and Mac's trajectory are similar imo. Plus he didn't play at Bama (behind arguably the best OL in the country, best WRs in the country, coaching staff) so he's not being hyped up.

*edit* I know this is a long post but you're used to them lol.

You were interested in the competitiveness, drive of Jones. I have no doubt he's working his butt off. But we know Lance has been working with a QB & OL coach. Getting better at protection calls-feeling what's coming-overall OL relationship, reading a defense and understanding what's in front of him, what could happen. His traits and gifts. Only 20. Just thought this should be mentioned again bc of the stuff you were asking about Mac. Again I'm sure he's working hard. We also know Lance has been working to improve by way of film study, player tendency before hiring these coaches to help him. That work ethic has always been in him.
Another great response, and and extra kudos for making it long.

So with your help I'm getting a feel for at least your rather persuasive take on this year's QB crop. Tell me if I have it down. You REALLY like Lance and would take him in a NY minute if he were there at 15. Jones has enough flaws and questions in his game that you think he wouldn't be a great value at 15 but would you move up in the 2nd to take him early in the round or even the bottom of the first? Mond, Trask, the Georgia kid are 3rd and 4th round options. How am I doing?

You have made me a little excited about Lance, though the more you talk him up, the less I think he'll make to 8 let alone 15. I kind of like the idea that he's only 20 (Jones will be 23 when the season starts). More upside,

Just to elucidate more on what I mean when I talk about being "psychotically competitive". I know all these kids are working really hard at their craft. (well maybe not Duane Haskins) But what made Brady the GOAT was that next level competitiveness to improve each year that went on long past the time he was considered a great NFL QB. The kind of competitiveness that drives him today. Not that kind of competitveness is probably not very healthy, ,but I want whatever kid we draft, regardless of the round, to have it or something close to it.

BTW- you are correct in understanding that this offensive system and the coaches that run it ARE perfect for Jones. Especially if he's able to develop his evasion skill inside the pocket. Maybe I'm too old school, but to me too much emphasis is being put on a QB's "escapeability". To me its a nice luxury,, but not high on my list of skills I'm looking for. But making that first guy mis IS high. People forget how sometimes QB's run into sacks because they aren't where the OLmen expect.

Since I'm not in the huddle and don't know the routes or blocking schemes, what I'll be looking for in camp (assuming we can go) is a quick delivery. That is what stood out almost immediately with JG. Is the ball being thrown with pace. Are passes that require a bit of finesse being feathered to receivers or are they all just drilled as hard as they can throw it. In Cam I'll want to see more quickness (I hope he loses a few pounds and regains some of the quickness and bounce and less of the lumbering we saw last year.

At any rate like I have said, Cam is just the first step in building the QB room, with just a $3.5MM commitment no one with an ounce of sense should believe that Cam is guaranteed the starter's job this season. In fact he COULD end up being a trade chip in the right circumstance.,

BTW- LOVE the Cannon trade. I don't know what we got, but shocked we got anything, given I thought he'd be gone after the Brown trade.

Again thanks again. I'm always a bit smarter after reading your post. Sorry I had to cut mine so short.

edit: In case I forget. I think Justin Fields WILL be there at 15. Would you take him?
 
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Another great response, and and extra kudos for making it long.
Thanks Ken I know you don't mind. And like specifics, details etc So let's do another long one.
So with your help I'm getting a feel for at least your rather persuasive take on this year's QB crop. Tell me if I have it down. You REALLY like Lance and would take him in a NY minute if he were there at 15. Jones has enough flaws and questions in his game that you think he wouldn't be a great value at 15 but would you move up in the 2nd to take him early in the round or even the bottom of the first? Mond, Trask, the Georgia kid are 3rd and 4th round options. How am I doing?
Yea. If Lance is there at 15 I'm ecstatic, easy decision for me. On the surface he might not be a traditional choice but Cam is here, year two for a reason. He's cheap lol but Bill obviously believes a guy like him can run the offense. Let Lance sit, who's a mix between Cam, Josh Allen, someone recently mentioned Steve McNair and that's a great one imo. Anyway Cam is the perfect bridge for Lance. Build the team up and let Lance run 2022. He would have graded much higher but I grew up a Pats fan and pretend I'm Bill Belichick. So matching value/need, mitigating risk, finding your guys/fits in system etc are all big but the mitigating risk is big with me. Everyone gets hyped during draft season, myself included so I try to prevent that if I can. Lance has limited production, few things he needs to clean up etc so he wouldn't get a 1st round grade without another year of solid production and some improvements-steps forward. Also not you but in case someone is just happening on this - the draft. In terms of what kind of QB Lance is, bc he's such a threat and known for running. He absolutely is a pocket passer who just happens to be a great athlete. So much to work with as a passer (pocket awareness/feel, poise in general and mechanics)

Jones fit is obvious and real. It's just we know almost exactly who he is in a lot of ways. Not many big flaws or really any big flaws as opposed to obvious limitations and a few things that need cleaning up.

Footwork can get a bit sloppy when under heavy duress but I suppose that can improve a little. It's just not as quick under pressure.

Hes not someone who panics but is a little hesitant, unsure if he needs to make it happen off script. Like NFL defenses eventually, even if It's for a few quarters, take away your fav reads. You have adjust on the fly, be comfortable being uncomfortable and making tight, tight passes into windows that aren't there. On script when he knows a guy will be coming under with mesh he'll look off the read defender and make it happen. Same for slant/flat etc. It's when you take those away and he has to think, create etc it gets murky. Again not someone who craps themselves but isn't giving you a good feeling, especially against NFL talent.

Another thing I've brought up a few times but is worth mentioning is every QB will lock onto a guy but I watch him and see a body commit not just the head. Its not a ton but enough to notice.

Doesn't have a Jimmy G type release. Probably could be a little quicker

Yup Mond, Trask, Newman & I'd throw White in there as 3rd round options. I think all 4 could push Stidham out of job.

It's not a deep class.
You have made me a little excited about Lance, though the more you talk him up, the less I think he'll make to 8 let alone 15. I kind of like the idea that he's only 20 (Jones will be 23 when the season starts). More upside,
Just to elucidate more on what I mean when I talk about being "psychotically competitive". I know all these kids are working really hard at their craft. (well maybe not Duane Haskins) But what made Brady the GOAT was that next level competitiveness to improve each year that went on long past the time he was considered a great NFL QB. The kind of competitiveness that drives him today. Not that kind of competitveness is probably not very healthy, ,but I want whatever kid we draft, regardless of the round, to have it or something close to it.

BTW- you are correct in understanding that this offensive system and the coaches that run it ARE perfect for Jones. Especially if he's able to develop his evasion skill inside the pocket. Maybe I'm too old school, but to me too much emphasis is being put on a QB's "escapeability". To me its a nice luxury,, but not high on my list of skills I'm looking for. But making that first guy mis IS high. People forget how sometimes QB's run into sacks because they aren't where the OLmen expect.

Since I'm not in the huddle and don't know the routes or blocking schemes, what I'll be looking for in camp (assuming we can go) is a quick delivery. That is what stood out almost immediately with JG. Is the ball being thrown with pace. Are passes that require a bit of finesse being feathered to receivers or are they all just drilled as hard as they can throw it. In Cam I'll want to see more quickness (I hope he loses a few pounds and regains some of the quickness and bounce and less of the lumbering we saw last year.

At any rate like I have said, Cam is just the first step in building the QB room, with just a $3.5MM commitment no one with an ounce of sense should believe that Cam is guaranteed the starter's job this season. In fact he COULD end up being a trade chip in the right circumstance.,

BTW- LOVE the Cannon trade. I don't know what we got, but shocked we got anything, given I thought he'd be gone after the Brown trade.
Agreed. He was as good as gone once Brown was traded for and even before that possibly with his salary. Great move.
Again thanks again. I'm always a bit smarter after reading your post. Sorry I had to cut mine so short.

edit: In case I forget. I think Justin Fields WILL be there at 15. Would you take him?
If Fields is there at 15, absolutely. No question about it.
 
I've had my eye on Menet for a minute now. He really fits what a lot of teams do today. Really improved on his run blocking and anchor from the year before. Both technique and strength. Hips, feet then hands. Good placement. When he plays with proper technique, keeps it in a phonebooth he can keep his control and generate enough torque to turn and move guys. Always poised and steady. Experienced climbing and setting clean, tight blocks for years.

Feet arent the quickest laterally. Shows up on the line and at the 2nd level if he doesn't get his hands on you.

Won't drive many big boys back. Angle blocks, slip and dip to 2nd level at times do what he good don't put him in bad spots.

Team captain that is mature and has his head on straight. Hard worker that didn't have anything come easy for him.



 
I've had my eye on Menet for a minute now. He really fits what a lot of teams do today. Really improved on his run blocking and anchor from the year before. Both technique and strength. Hips, feet then hands. Good placement. When he plays with proper technique, keeps it in a phonebooth he can keep his control and generate enough torque to turn and move guys. Always poised and steady. Experienced climbing and setting clean, tight blocks for years.

Feet arent the quickest laterally. Shows up on the line and at the 2nd level if he doesn't get his hands on you.

Won't drive many big boys back. Angle blocks, slip and dip to 2nd level at times do what he good don't put him in bad spots.

Team captain that is mature and has his head on straight. Hard worker that didn't have anything come easy for him.




I hope if we resign Thuney f.e. and let him play center we draft one later on to compete for Backup C with Ferentz and may develop into a future starter. I can think next to menet of Jackson Morrisey etc.. as late rd. prospects there or do you have sth different in mind?
 
I hope if we resign Thuney f.e. and let him play center we draft one later on to compete for Backup C with Ferentz and may develop into a future starter. I can think next to menet of Jackson Morrisey etc.. as late rd. prospects there or do you have sth different in mind?
Drew Dalman & McCollum

Maybe K Green & Myers?
 
Drew Dalman & McCollum

Maybe K Green & Myers?
I think Myers has a shot at 3/4 rd. Don't know if I would use the ressource there for him, if we really like him and view him as potential starter I'd be ok with it but that's the rd. where I would like to see us go for Shelvin aggressive
 
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