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- Sep 13, 2004
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We often talk about the value of a 1st round draft choice as a constant instead of realizing that a 1st rounder could be worth anything from 3 firsts to a high second rounder.
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When a playoff quality team trades a first, it is expected to be in the bottom 12, after the top 20 where the likely 1st round quality players will be drafted. This year we understood that we would be lucky to get any of the top 7 RT's or any of the top EDGE rushers. Our first was very unlikely to get a player with 1st round ratings.
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Going into the draft, we talked about the value of a veteran and whether he is worth a 2nd or 1st. It matters a lot which first we are discussing. If staff thought that RT was not likely to be there and we could get an EDGE rusher in the 2nd (with a trade up, I could see us trading that 1st for a top veteran. We tried and now will likely need to trade a much, much, much lower value 2028 pick.
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When a playoff quality team trades a first, it is expected to be in the bottom 12, after the top 20 where the likely 1st round quality players will be drafted. This year we understood that we would be lucky to get any of the top 7 RT's or any of the top EDGE rushers. Our first was very unlikely to get a player with 1st round ratings.
=========
Going into the draft, we talked about the value of a veteran and whether he is worth a 2nd or 1st. It matters a lot which first we are discussing. If staff thought that RT was not likely to be there and we could get an EDGE rusher in the 2nd (with a trade up, I could see us trading that 1st for a top veteran. We tried and now will likely need to trade a much, much, much lower value 2028 pick.
