I think it's the reverse.
The likeliest opponent is San Diego.
1. Bills win, Chargers lose, we play Chargers.
2. Bills lose, Chargers lose, we play Bills
3. Bills lose, Chargers lose, Patriots lose, we play Chargers
4. Chargers win, Patriots win = BYE
If I were betting, I'd place 3 to 1 odds on scenario #1
If the Jets beat the Bills, there's a good chance the Titans or Cardinals sneak in and grab one of the top 2 QBs.
We saw how good Dante Moore of Oregon was the other night. He's going to go in the 1st 3 picks.
And since the Giants are not looking for a QB, that means the Jets must finish in the top 3. Heck, they could end up with Mendoza if the Raiders do something really dumb (like beat the Chiefs).
This is why the Jets have a huge incentive to lose this game.