Content Post OT-ish: The gambling thread

[mgcolby]

Reverse Line Movement on tonight's game. Interesting, Bovada has SF -4.5 @ -105. That's tempting.

Update: I took the 49ers minus 4.5. And a small prop N Chubb 25-44 yards in the 1st half +210. The 49ers defense is solid against the run. Think Baker presses tonight and Jimmy takes advantage of the broke down Browns secondary.

 

[fnordcircle]

@maust1013 I ended up not placing a bet on the game

But don't kid yourself that you had anything to do with it, I was just too busy nailing hot chicks.

 

[maust]

@maust1013 I ended up not placing a bet on the game

But don't kid yourself that you had anything to do with it, I was just too busy nailing hot chicks.

Uh huh, say hello to Mary and her sisters for me.
(and you're welcome)

 

[fnordcircle]

I genuinely am considering picking my top 3 favorite non-Pats spreads and betting against myself for the next 5 weeks. I think I could bank some serious dosh.

 

[mgcolby]

I genuinely am considering picking my top 3 favorite non-Pats spreads and betting against myself for the next 5 weeks. I think I could bank some serious dosh.

Fading yourself. Wouldn't be the first to do it.

 

[maust]

I genuinely am considering picking my top 3 favorite non-Pats spreads and betting against myself for the next 5 weeks. I think I could bank some serious dosh.

Fading yourself. Wouldn't be the first to do it.

I did that with a guy I used to work with. For sh!ts and giggles one season whatever he did I went $50 the other way. Made $1200 doing it.

 

[mgcolby]

So the first official week is in the books. Not a bad start, 8-6 ATS (57%), 7-7 SU (50%)

Last week results

 

[mgcolby]

And here is week 6. The Cowboys - Jets pick has me doing a double take, but them's the stats!

 

[maust]

And here is week 6. The Cowboys - Jets pick has me doing a double take, but them's the stats!

At least it doesn't show them winning, you'd have to burn the computer if it got that Jete infested

 

[maust]

I got in fairly early but not as early as I should have for -14.5 on the Pats but only for $200. I just went to bump and it's at friggin -17.5 and still trending up while the O/U is dropping and currently sits at 41. I'm thinking it would have to drop to 38 or below to be a reasonable play. Any thoughts on what you'd consider a viable O/U number to be my fellow degenerates?

 

[XLIX]

2 offensive juggernauts playing some Wednesday Night Football and the O/U line is in the 60's..? I know what I'm taking! Granted, it's as high as it can be and still be in the 60's (it is 69') but I was expecting an O/U of 77 to 80.

 

[fightingirish595]

2 offensive juggernauts playing some Wednesday Night Football and the O/U line is in the 60's..? I know what I'm taking! Granted, it's as high as it can be and still be in the 60's (it is 69') but I was expecting an O/U of 77 to 80.

heavy running teams. I was eyeing the ULL team total but given what these teams like to do, I might lay off

 

[fightingirish595]

Went ahead and threw 50 on ULL team total over 34.5 +105. I like it but I don’t love it. I hope they can throw if app state is selling out for the run. And I hope if they are running well it sets up the pass

just realized I was looking at the line for the under (Which I bet by mistake). The juice on this is -129. Gotta get this under I bet canceled and bet the over

 

[mgcolby]

I got in fairly early but not as early as I should have for -14.5 on the Pats but only for $200. I just went to bump and it's at friggin -17.5 and still trending up while the O/U is dropping and currently sits at 41. I'm thinking it would have to drop to 38 or below to be a reasonable play. Any thoughts on what you'd consider a viable O/U number to be my fellow degenerates?

They are probably going to be missing every offensive weapon they have. I don't see how they score outside of a fluke play. This one could get ugly quick. I wouldn't be shocked if the defense scores 14 points a lone. Not realistic to throw money at, but I think they could cover 30+ in this one. I would take anything under 20.

 

[mgcolby]

Went ahead and threw 50 on ULL team total over 34.5 +105. I like it but I don’t love it. I hope they can throw if app state is selling out for the run. And I hope if they are running well it sets up the pass

I took App St +2.5 -105... good luck (unless App St only scores 37 or less)

 

[fightingirish595]

Rolling with nationals on the ML tonight 50 to win 72.50. I think Strasburg pitches a gem

 

[mgcolby]

well thats kinda ****ty start for App St. Nice punt coverage there....

 

[XLIX]

Guess we’re not going over tonight.

 

[fightingirish595]

Guess we’re not going over tonight.

ULL intent on throwing. Joke

 

[fightingirish595]

App state loading this box. I guess ULL needs to throw.