maineman209
Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal
- Joined
- Mar 8, 2017
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18.1M - 7m for draft picks and cushion:
11.1M + 29.2M = 39.3M
Flowers - 10M - 10/12/15/17/18/18
Dorsett - 2.5M
Patterson - 3M
Gostkowski - 4M
Ryan Allen - 2.5M
McClellan - 1M
Humbar - 810k
LaAdrian Waddle - 2M
Malcolm Brown - 3M
Jeremy Hill - 830K
John Simon - 1.5M
Jason McCourty - 4.5M
RFA:
Jonathan Jones - 2nd round tender. 3M
ERFAs: 1.2M
Kamalu (630k)
Cuts/Restructures/Retire: 29.2
Brady Extend saves 7M - 20/31/33
D. McCourty - Restruc. saves 4M
D. Allen - Cut saves 7.4M
Gronk - Cut/Retire saves 9.8M
Remaining Pats Free Agents:
Danny Shelton - DT
Chris Hogan - WR
Eric Rowe - DB
Brian Schwenke - OC
Ulrick John - RT
Trent Brown - OT - Like him a lot but Wynn is a first round pick.
Very reasonable numbers. Great job!
A few nit picks:
- Flowers' contract might be structured to keep his 2019 cap hit in the $6m-$7m range.
- Cutting D. Allen outright, instead of extending/restructuring his cap hit down to ~$3m, would leave the Pats with only Hollister, Izzo (IR) and Anderson (PS) at TE - if Gronk retires. IMHO, that would create a "roster hole" especially experience-wise, that may well cost more than $3m to patch with an outside free agent.
- The cutoff point for the top-51 cap hits seems likely to be around $650k. Veteran minimum 1-yr deals (~$645k, net, I believe) would seem unlikely to hit the cap, so such contracts could be offered to players like Schwenke, John, Waddle, McClellan, Humber and Hill without cap consequence.
- According to OTC, Kamalu is RFA, not ERFA. If so, his contract might mirror Jon Jones' contract. In the past, the Pats have typically signed desirable RFAs (who have yet to become Malcolm Butler level "stars") to 2yr/3yr deals with a much lower first year cap hit than the tender amounts. So, Jones and Kamalu might come in as low as ~$1.5m each for 2019.
- Also according to OTC, the first seven of the Pats draftees would hit the 2019 cap for about $6.7m, gross. The cap hits for the 5th-rounder and the 7th rounders (and all UDFAs) will fall below the top-51 cutoff line.
... That $6.7m gross for the top seven draftees would be reduced by the cap hits of the 7 players who are pushed below the top-51 cutoff, so the net cap hit for the top draftees would likely fall between $2.2m-$2.5m.
... Also, all the above is based on the Pats current draft position. For every post-season game they win, their draft position drops and rookie salaries drop a bit along with that. If they win the SB, for instance, total rookie cap hits might be reduced by ~$350k.
... Obviously, if the Pats trade down, trade out into 2020, or consolidate picks for a small trade up, that could also reduce the total rookie cap hit.