OT-ish: The gambling thread

[supafly]

Heh, lookit this nublet who still does 2d porn. 3d w/ arduinos custom built to spray you with warm, salty water at certain intervals is the way to go.

Finally, some decent technology for those of us who can appreciate the beauty of a long, starry night with a sweet, sweet gusher.

I’ve been writing them letters for years.

 

[Froob]

Josh Allen over 0.5 picks (-250) seems solid..?

 

[Brandon_Cox]

I love the Vikings this Sunday +2. I bet a lot on it. There's a pretty decent chance Rodgers won't play and even if he does he won't be moving around. Other than the QB, there's not one player on the Packers better than his counterpart on Green Bay. If Rodgers doesn't play, the line will swing at least 10 points with Kizer.

 

[supafly]

Josh Allen over 0.5 picks (-250) seems solid..?

It may be difficult to make anything with -250. That would be my main concern. Good luck.

 

[fnordcircle]

It may be difficult to make anything with -250. That would be my main concern. Good luck.

Yeah I just hate that line. And he might be sacked too much to make a forward pass.

 

[fnordcircle]

I love the Vikings this Sunday +2. I bet a lot on it. There's a pretty decent chance Rodgers won't play and even if he does he won't be moving around. Other than the QB, there's not one player on the Packers better than his counterpart on Green Bay. If Rodgers doesn't play, the line will swing at least 10 points with Kizer.

IMO that game has trap written all over it. I also hate, hate, hate betting on divisional rival games because you just don't know.

But I'm mildly suspicious that Rodgers is fine and they're just building up a 'omg overcoming the odds it's john cena' storyline out of nothing.

Here's hoping I'm wrong!

 

[fightingirish595]

Took Memphis team total over 44.5. Looking solid with 28 and still 10 minutes left in the 2nd quarter

I love the Vikings this Sunday +2. I bet a lot on it. There's a pretty decent chance Rodgers won't play and even if he does he won't be moving around. Other than the QB, there's not one player on the Packers better than his counterpart on Green Bay. If Rodgers doesn't play, the line will swing at least 10 points with Kizer.

I locked in the Vikings Sunday night when Rodgers got hurt. I don’t know why but my site had a line up for that game. I thought the gamble because the injury looked awful. Some site has a betting line with Rodgers at like +280 to play and -350 not to play. I wish I could get a line on that somewhere.

It may be difficult to make anything with -250. That would be my main concern. Good luck.

Agreed. My unit right now is 100 so I don’t like chasing -250. If someone has the bankroll to throw a G on it, I think it’s a good bet

 

[Soliel]

I’m putting a thousand on the pats this week without looking. If that defense plays up to game one. It’s over

 

[supafly]

Agreed. My unit right now is 100 so I don’t like chasing -250. If someone has the bankroll to throw a G on it, I think it’s a good bet

Agreed, although there may be a focus to try and run the ball with a more conservative game plan. If that’s the case, Allen may only attempt 20 passes.

 

[fightingirish595]

I’m putting a thousand on the pats this week without looking. If that defense plays up to game one. It’s over

Ballsy. Offense could struggle. Good luck. Obviously I hope you win. I think the jags are a good bet if you can get them as a dog to be honest.

Agreed, although there may be a focus to try and run the ball with a more conservative game plan. If that’s the case, Allen may only attempt 20 passes.

Even if he attempts 20 passes I like the chances of him throwing a pick. Put if I know for a fact he’ll only throw 20 passes then I think -250 is a little risky. The bills could be the worst team in football, normally I would love a team getting 7 or more after a road loss. And normally I would love a team in the eastern time zone plying a 1 pm game against a west coast team, but it’s the bills... so I can’t bet this one. But for my pickem, I’ll take the points

 

[fightingirish595]

Memphis team total hits. NCAA plays for tommorow

Love that Syracuse team total. Should be sitting around 33. Each team should get a lot of possessions.

I like Boise state vs Ok St tommorow. Everyone seems to be really high on OK state this year so far. I think Boise is built to win a game like this. I think it’s going to be lower than everybody thinks , but I’m pretty confident in Boise pulling this out.

OREGON team total if it’s under 60. Not sure I’m betting this yet, but to my knowledge, San Jose defense is atrocious. If I hit those first two games I’ll take a shot.

Alabama Alabama Alabama... team total, first half, first quarter, team total. I might bet all 4. I’m locked in -20.5. My book currently has it -23. I think Alabama easily gets 50. The wild card is that ole miss offense. Hoping Alabama keeps them under 24 or so.

Missouri... can see them blowing out Purdue. Got them -5.5. Drew Lock should torch that secondary

Fresno State... solid team. Look, Chip Kelly will get UCLA competing again, but not this year. I like Fresno State to bounce back after a tough tough beat last week.


I probably won’t bet these but I think North Texas is a live 7 point dog at Arkansas. If that Washington spread creeps up to 8 points I think Utah could be a play. Fade Jake Browning, so overrated.

Ohio state TCU, no feel for that one. Auburn at LSU... funny spread. That’s a lot of points. Maybe a player prop. Could be a low scoring game, but I can’t bet unders anymore. I’ve watched plenty of games where I didn’t bet the under, and the under should’ve hit, but offensive ineptitude actually prevents it. perfect example was the Michigan Florida game last year.

 

[BobDigital]

I don't talk much gambling but here are my bets for this week if anyone wants to know.

Pats/Jags - under 45 - I don't see either team able to score much. The Jag's offensive MVP will not be 100% and without Edelman or a healthy RB besides White the Pats lack options. Unless the defense or STs puts points on the board this will not break even 40 IMO.

Panthers/Falcons under 44.5

Vikings over Packers pick em - I prefer over/under but this I like this game. The bears are being pumped up a lot but lets be real. They are a 6-10 team and the Packers barely beat them. This Vikings team is just much better than the Packers all around. The only spot the Packers are better is QB. But Cousins is no slouch. -Tie, Push-

KC -5 vs Pitt - Pitt is hard bet on or against. They are inconsistent. But when I look at KC I can't help but think they have enough fire power to keep it close. Hill/Hunt/Kelce is the most dangerous offensive trio in the NFL. I see them dropping at least 25 on a that Pitt defense if not more. It will be hard for Pitt to score 5 points more than that against a relatively decent D without Bell. -Push-

EDIT - so this week didn't work out so well haha.

 

[Soliel]

Ballsy. Offense could struggle. Good luck. Obviously I hope you win. I think the jags are a good bet if you can get them as a dog to be honest.



Even if he attempts 20 passes I like the chances of him throwing a pick. Put if I know for a fact he’ll only throw 20 passes then I think -250 is a little risky. The bills could be the worst team in football, normally I would love a team getting 7 or more after a road loss. And normally I would love a team in the eastern time zone plying a 1 pm game against a west coast team, but it’s the bills... so I can’t bet this one. But for my pickem, I’ll take the points

That’s true. I hate Jacksonville so it’s more an emotional bet. Even if I lose, I’ll win it back through the year. There’s always a nimrod who will take the Steelers. Usually so arrogant they’ll give me points lmao

 

[fnordcircle]

I’m putting a thousand on the pats this week without looking. If that defense plays up to game one. It’s over

I did $300 @ -1 -110.

I love -1 for the Patriots. LOVE IT. No matter who it is against.

 

[Soliel]

I did $300 @ -1 -110.

I love -1 for the Patriots. LOVE IT. No matter who it is against.

That is a bet I’ll take all year. Losing a few won’t matter much. Almost a guarantee we win 13-14 games.

Even though I know Texas doesn’t have a good offensive line, the defense still is encouraging

 

[fnordcircle]

That is a bet I’ll take all year. Losing a few won’t matter much. Almost a guarantee we win 13-14 games.

Even though I know Texas doesn’t have a good offensive line, the defense still is encouraging

I'll be rooting for the 2+ win for you more than for me, buddy. The first time I dropped $1k on a game I was shaking for the entire first quarter with happy/nervous energy.

Then the Chiefs stopped fumbling and started scoring.

 

[fightingirish595]

Memphis team total hits. NCAA plays for tommorow

Love that Syracuse team total. Should be sitting around 33. Each team should get a lot of possessions.

I like Boise state vs Ok St tommorow. Everyone seems to be really high on OK state this year so far. I think Boise is built to win a game like this. I think it’s going to be lower than everybody thinks , but I’m pretty confident in Boise pulling this out.

OREGON team total if it’s under 60. Not sure I’m betting this yet, but to my knowledge, San Jose defense is atrocious. If I hit those first two games I’ll take a shot.

Alabama Alabama Alabama... team total, first half, first quarter, team total. I might bet all 4. I’m locked in -20.5. My book currently has it -23. I think Alabama easily gets 50. The wild card is that ole miss offense. Hoping Alabama keeps them under 24 or so.

Missouri... can see them blowing out Purdue. Got them -5.5. Drew Lock should torch that secondary

Fresno State... solid team. Look, Chip Kelly will get UCLA competing again, but not this year. I like Fresno State to bounce back after a tough tough beat last week.


I probably won’t bet these but I think North Texas is a live 7 point dog at Arkansas. If that Washington spread creeps up to 8 points I think Utah could be a play. Fade Jake Browning, so overrated.

Ohio state TCU, no feel for that one. Auburn at LSU... funny spread. That’s a lot of points. Maybe a player prop. Could be a low scoring game, but I can’t bet unders anymore. I’ve watched plenty of games where I didn’t bet the under, and the under should’ve hit, but offensive ineptitude actually prevents it. perfect example was the Michigan Florida game last year.

Syracuse over bad bet. Didn’t realize how much they run the ball. Almost got away with it on a backdoor cover, obviously I’m wishing I just took them to win

Boise went from being a 3 point dog to being a favorite. I actually laid off this one. I would’ve taken it if it was a pickem. But I thought they were a bad favorite even though I believed they’d win.

Oregon doesn’t even come close to the 56.5. I ended up betting this. If memory serves me correctly, Herbert’s completion percentage is very poor in all 3 of his starts. Not sure why, haven’t seen them play. I was super high on Oregon this year, but I’m leaning Stanford next week.

THE CRIMSON TIDE! Threw 100 on the game spread, first quarter and team total! Wanted that first half but only had 45 available when game started so I didn’t take it. Team total hit first half.

Drew lock had a pretty good game. Missouri scores 40. But in the process they blew a 17 point lead, and a 10 point lead. I just read this one wrong. blough set passing records. Didn’t see that coming. Bad bet.

Took Fresno state -2.5. Up 10’right now

Had north texas spread and moneyline

Bought Utah to plus 6. Loser. What a strange game, if you watched you know what I’m talking about.

Ended up taking Texas techs team total over 33.5. That hit easily.

Won a few bucks today but a few tactical errors hindered my profit

 

[fightingirish595]

What I’m locked in on for NFL
Vikings +1.5
49ers -5.5
Bears -2.5

Definitely taking the Giants

Intrigued by and considering betting
Eagles ATS most likely passing up
Skins ATS
Raiders ATS most likely passing up
Houston ATS

Like all of those especially if I buy the half.

And last but not least the Steelers own the chiefs. If that drops to 3.5 some how I’m buying the half and taking the steelers

 

[Soliel]

I'll be rooting for the 2+ win for you more than for me, buddy. The first time I dropped $1k on a game I was shaking for the entire first quarter with happy/nervous energy.

Then the Chiefs stopped fumbling and started scoring.

I’ve lost many times as well. I thought about betting on the chiefs game as well but I’m never brave enough to bet based on only preseason. I didn’t make the bet at 2+, it’s between me and a co worker I bet with a lot. It’s straight up who ever wins. Makes it hard to resist. This game is one of those defining tests

 

[fightingirish595]

What I’m locked in on for NFL
Vikings +1.5
49ers -5.5
Bears -2.5

Definitely taking the Giants

Intrigued by and considering betting
Eagles ATS most likely passing up
Skins ATS
Raiders ATS most likely passing up
Houston ATS

Like all of those especially if I buy the half.

And last but not least the Steelers own the chiefs. If that drops to 3.5 some how I’m buying the half and taking the steelers

Vikings.... wow. Crazy cover. Almost double dipped before the game and took Green Bay plus 3. Wish I did. Would’ve hit both.

49ers... got back doored.

Didn’t take eagles. Was afraid Tampa would destroy their back end, and they did. Passed on skins too. A little suprised the colts won. I got cold feet because of luck. I feared the backdoor cover.

Had raiders. Also had Houston which lost. Still going giants tonight. And give me saquon +750 to score the first TD