For Week 3 the game I like best is
Tampa Bay at home plus 1½ versus Pittsburgh.
The Steelers have a history of playing much better at home than on the road, and this line seems to be based more on perception of the two teams over the last few years than current reality.
Pittsburgh's defense is more like a sieve than a steel curtain right now, near the bottom of the league in points and yardage - even though they have not played any offensive juggernauts. They are also dead last by a wide margin in penalties and penalty yards.
Fitzpatrick will eventually once again become FitzPickSix, but not yet. Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson are the best WR tandem he has ever had to work with. Last year the Steelers ran 1,051 offensive plays, and Le'Veon Bell was involved in 427 of those. To put that in perspective, that is 67 more plays (runs + pass targets) than passes that Roethlisberger completed.
The only concerns are regression to the mean (Pittsburgh better than they have shown, Tampa the reverse), and the Steelers being extra motivated after two winless games.
Teasing this game three points is worth consideration as well. In that case the Bucs could lose by 3 or 4 points, and the wager would still pay off.
Final Score: Steelers 30, Bucs 27; Pittsburgh wins & covers by 1½.
Others:
Pats -7 at Lions
That is a lot of points to overcome on the road, but the Patriots have a history of rebounding very well after a loss. The Pats have lost 26 games by double digits in the Brady-Belichick era, including last week against the Jaguars. New England rebounded to win in the following week in 21 of the previous 25 instances.
Panthers -3 vs Bengals 
I'm not sold on 2-0 Cincinnati at all. Their D is giving up a lot of points, and it is doubtful that they continue to force so many turnovers. Marvin will eventually Marvin.
Packers -2½ at Redskins
Washington looked awful last week at Indy against a mediocre Colts team, and the win over Arizona means nothing considering how bad the Cardinals are. As long as Green Bay wins - as they should - the wager covers, since so few games are determined by less than three points.
Dolphins -3 vs Raiders
Oakland is not anywhere near as good as they were in 2016 when they looked so promising. Never easy for a mediocre west coast team to play an early game on the east coast - and in this case, in heat and humidity they are not acclimated to.
The rest (that I'm not going to touch), in order of level of confidence:
Eagles -6½ vs Colts
Rams -7 vs Chargers
Broncos +5½ at Ravens
Titans +10 at Jaguars (letdown for Jax?)
Niners +6½ at Chiefs
Cardinals +5 vs Bears
Giants +6½ at Texans
Cowboys +1½ at Seahawks
Bills +17 at Vikings
Saints +2½ at Falcons
I'm a big fan of teasers, just not yet sure how to play that angle yet (other than the Bucs).
Week 3 Scorecard:
Top Picks: 2-3, -350
Other Picks: 6-4
Week 3 Total: 8-7
Week 2: No Picks, Vacation
Week 1 Top Picks: 2-1-1, +280
Week 1 Other Picks: 6-5
Week 1 Total: 8-6-1
Season Totals:
Top Picks: 4-4-1, -70
Other Picks: 12-9
Total: 16-13-1
