PatsFans.com Menu
PatsFans.com - The Hub For New England Patriots Fans

OT-ish: The gambling thread


Winston has done well against division opponents, and 9 is way too big a spread for a division game.

Which is the analysis I relied upon to make my Tampa Bay pick without realizing Fitzpatrick was starting.

100 percent agree there. Normally I wouldn't bet divisonal games with high spreads. Loved the Saints in their own building though, Thought they could dominate both lines
 
Parlay
Rams ML and Lions ML
100 to win 96
 
Parlay
Rams ML and Lions ML
100 to win 96

When I make a parlay, I usually go with 5 or 6 teams and go with a small amount because even 2 framers are hard and I just generally don’t like doing parlays and I thought this one was easy and thought it’d be a good start to the week. Well it didn’t work out

However I made out even by double dipping, something I rarely do. with an absolute Miracle. Had rams over 27.5 team total.

I increased my unit from 50 to 100, not sure how much I like it. Trying to bet less games
 
I bet ocassionally. Last time was a few years ago. Jets vs Pats. Crazy odds, so i took a shot. Jets missed a last second FG and lost. I lost.

Yesterday I noticed the Jets/Lions line was +250. Plus a deal to match my first deposit (up to $250).

Figured this was a one time opportunity to take advantage of the unknown (Darnold).

A deposit of $250 became a $500 bet after they matched. At +250, that's $1,750.

$250 became $1,750. Thank you Sam!

Edit: Actually the total was $1,515. I cashed out during the 3rd quarter for a little less.
 
Last edited:
I bet ocassionally. Last time was a few years ago. Jets vs Pats. Crazy odds, so i took a shot. Jets missed a last second FG and lost. I lost.

Yesterday I noticed the Jets/Lions line was +250. Plus a deal to match my first deposit (up to $250).

Figured this was a one time opportunity to take advantage of the unknown (Darnold).

A deposit of $250 became a $500 bet after they matched. At +250, that's $1,750.

$250 became $1,750. Thank you Sam!

Edit: Actually the total was $1,515. I cashed out during the 3rd quarter for a little less.

Nice hit man!
 
Mods don't touch my thread I'll write an op-ed about you to the NY Times if you do.

I bought a piece of paper tonight. Anyone else engaged in sin?

View attachment 21174


I don't bet the rest of the league until week 8-10 depending on how good of a grasp I feel I have on the way things are shaking out>

Yes, I bought 1/2 point. @ me idgaf.

Congrats! Glad that you cashed in and got to enjoy the game. Would have sucked if they allowed that big lead to get salted down and didn’t cover the spread, since they weren’t probably 17 points better if they’d kept their foot in the pedal and hadn’t muffed that punt return.
 
I bet ocassionally. Last time was a few years ago. Jets vs Pats. Crazy odds, so i took a shot. Jets missed a last second FG and lost. I lost.

Yesterday I noticed the Jets/Lions line was +250. Plus a deal to match my first deposit (up to $250).

Figured this was a one time opportunity to take advantage of the unknown (Darnold).

A deposit of $250 became a $500 bet after they matched. At +250, that's $1,750.

$250 became $1,750. Thank you Sam!

Edit: Actually the total was $1,515. I cashed out during the 3rd quarter for a little less.

Good bet and congrats. I would probably just take any team at +250 against Stafford, since there’s at least a 50% chance he’ll either play like hot garbage or play just bad enough to lose, regardless of the opponent. He’s the new Cutler.
 
Congrats! Glad that you cashed in and got to enjoy the game. Would have sucked if they allowed that big lead to get salted down and didn’t cover the spread, since they weren’t probably 17 points better if they’d kept their foot in the pedal and hadn’t muffed that punt return.

Thanks. After gambling for a while you can really start to tell when you're in good shape and you aren't. Missed XPs are the bane of my existence. I've had them happen in like, the 2nd quarter and I immediately start preparing to lose.

When we were up by 14 the math gets to be really in my favor. Even if they somehow went to OT a TD in OT is enough for a push at -6.

I kinda forgot about the bet for most of the game, though, because opening game of the season at home is too exciting.
 
I hate losing a bet by a point or 2. If I have to lose, I'd rather be spectacularly wrong :)

And you seemed *so right* at the start. Poor Matty P. All that offensive firepower and they get 5 billion picks.
 
Anybody on BC tommorow? I bought them from -6.5 to 6 thinking the line would go up, it got to 7 but now my book has it 4.5. Not thrilled about that.
 
I'm betting Fnart will say something derogatory about his ex-wife in the next five days....betting 10 to get 1...:D
 
Thanks. After gambling for a while you can really start to tell when you're in good shape and you aren't. Missed XPs are the bane of my existence. I've had them happen in like, the 2nd quarter and I immediately start preparing to lose.

When we were up by 14 the math gets to be really in my favor. Even if they somehow went to OT a TD in OT is enough for a push at -6.

I kinda forgot about the bet for most of the game, though, because opening game of the season at home is too exciting.

Really weird story (somewhat on topic) just about betting in general, and I’m wondering if anyone has had a more unlucky bet than this.

It comes from my earliest memory of gambling in 1999 (actually the Super Bowl from the 1998 season.). The game was Broncos (defending champions) vs Falcons. That was the Elway-Davis team and the dirty birds with Jamaal Anderson and Chris Chandler (bleh.). Also the game where Eugene Robinson got busted with a hooker the night before.

Anyway, my dad was in one of those “squares” pools where you try to get the last digit of each team’s point total at the end of each quarter. It was a really big pool and the winner of the final score was going to get several thousand dollars. He had a lot of debt and it was a tough financial time for us, and this would have been a godsend. Back then a few grand was a lot more than a few grand now.

My dad had 4 for Denver and 0 for Atlanta for the final score.

With 2:04 left in the game, the Falcons scored a TD to cut the lead to 34-19. My dad went absolutely bananas as he was about to hit a huge win, albeit lucky, and was gushing about how he was going to spend the badly needed money. He jumped up and down in excitement and hugged my mother.

And then...inexplicably and totally randomly, the Falcons attempted, and failed, on a two-point attempt, cementing the final score of 34-19. I’ll never forget my dad’s incredulous, jaw-gaping face and profanity-laced tirade, demanding to understand why they would go for 2 when 1000 times out of 1000 you’d kick the extra point.

To this day I’ve never see a worse loss than that. I mean, I’ve seen hail mary’s, garbage points, pick 6s on the last play, but all of those happen as part of the game. The decision to go for 2 in that situation is completely random and illogical. I tried to read about the reasoning behind it but never found any explanation. It really does defy all logic.

To confirm my memory is correct, look at the scoring summary of the game:

Super Bowl XXXIII - Wikipedia

Anyway, just wondering if anyone else has a similar story about an unlikely win or loss, but I’m not sure that can be topped because it was just a totally random, counterintuitive, and irrational coaching decision, rather than an actual play.
 
Last edited:
Holy ****, your poor dad. That's insane.

Spending the money in your head before the final whistle is a great way to torture yourself. I remember a game where the Pats were up by 11 with just like, a few minutes to go and the Jets get to the 30ish and immediately kick a long FG. It's the right call but I had sort of let my mind wander to what I would buy with the cash I had just 'won'. If they had pushed for a TD I would have, but they hit the FG which cost me.
 
I would imagine that we could spend days talking about crazy gambling stories, backdoor covers, etc. Such is the life of a gambler. Nothing about it is easy, and anyone who thinks differently is fooling themselves. You can get ahead and get out at the right time, but over the course of the long haul there aren’t too many “winners” in the end.

I usually put a few bucks in my sportsbook account every season, but it’s not much since I really can’t afford to lose. There have been some seasons where I’ll cash out and be ahead a thousand bucks or a couple of thousand bucks, and other seasons where I lose my initial deposit and have to sit out the action for the rest of the year. It sounds relatively harmless, but I can see how people want to try and re-deposit to win their money back. No one likes to lose at anything. Sports betting is much, much more than simply picking the right side.
 
It sounds relatively harmless, but I can see how people want to try and re-deposit to win their money back.

It's a very dangerous thing for the wrong personality.

I love gambling. I also budget for it and try to maintain the mindset that I'm spending money, not wagering it. After that the only way to 'lose' is if I start chasing losses. So it is a different sort of game.

Occasionally I go sit at table games. I'll budget $200 and do either craps or Texas Hold'em. Once I went back to an ATM and took out more money. That's the ultimate failure, for me.

Since I'm not gambling, I'm spending $200 to sit at the table, I consider it a win to walk away with any of the casino's money and my method is if I ever get 10% over that $200 I brought I pocket the difference and normally if I get up to $260 or more I just quit for the night. But even if I end up losing the entire $200 if I've ever been over $200 by at least $20 that money is in my pocket and I refuse to spend it.

I really just think it's about what sort of personality you have and if you can budget and be disciplined and if you're having fun even when you end up losing. I don't have an addictive personality, unless being addicted to having orgasms is a thing.
 
Oh, it’s a thing alright. I have www.pukingpregnantplumpers.com open on like, 6 different tabs right this very moment. God help me.

Heh, lookit this nublet who still does 2d porn. 3d w/ arduinos custom built to spray you with warm, salty water at certain intervals is the way to go.
 


Wednesday Patriots Notebook 4/24: News and Notes
Tuesday Patriots Notebook 4/23: News and Notes
MORSE: Final 7 Round Patriots Mock Draft, Matthew Slater News
Bruschi’s Proudest Moment: Former LB Speaks to MusketFire’s Marshall in Recent Interview
Monday Patriots Notebook 4/22: News and Notes
Patriots News 4-21, Kraft-Belichick, A.J. Brown Trade?
MORSE: Patriots Draft Needs and Draft Related Info
Friday Patriots Notebook 4/19: News and Notes
TRANSCRIPT: Eliot Wolf’s Pre-Draft Press Conference 4/18/24
Thursday Patriots Notebook 4/18: News and Notes
Back
Top