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CLICK HERE to Register for a free account and login for a smoother ad-free experience. It's easy, and only takes a few moments.The before and after injury stats are eye opening.
How ? I don't really see anything useful in those stats.
He played worse as his protection, the running backs and receiving options got injured. Anyone that just reduces this down to his injury ignores that everything around him got dinged up pretty bad as well.
How ? I don't really see anything useful in those stats.
He played worse as his protection, the running backs and receiving options got injured. Anyone that just reduces this down to his injury ignores that everything around him got dinged up pretty bad as well.
The before and after injury stats are eye opening.
The before and after injury stats are eye opening.
To be honest I haven't dug into anything over the last few weeks. I've been working straight out. So whatever I say is just based off of a quick glance.
But I do think Brady was injured and it had an affect on his performance initially but he does look better over the last couple of Sundays.
The numbers verify the obvious:
If people take the idea of injury out of the equation, and just follow the progression of:
- Edelman's loss had a big impact, both overall and in terms of depth for critical down play.
- As the team around him disintegrated, Brady's numbers took a hit.
- When you change from a shorter yardage passing team to a more downfield passing team, your efficiency numbers take a hit.
- Brady should petition the NFL to always have the Patriots/Dolphins game in Florida played on the last week of the year.
- Edelman gone and Solder struggling early (messes with early games)
- Team adjusts to loss of Edelman (better play after early games) by making Hogan more of an Edelman substitute, and Solder improves, and team plays much better
- Hogan goes down in week 8 (One of the 2 remaining real quick twitch 3rd down receivers is lost)
- Cannon is also lost at that time, with the O-line becoming more vulnerable as a result
- Burkhead becomes a bigger part of the offense (Targets: 7/3/6/2/4/5/1), becomes less effective as he gets banged up, and ends up on the shelf, thus robbing Brady of his Hogan substitute. So Brady is now down to the substitute for the substitute for the substitute.
- Thuney starts to get beaten more consistently, whether due to injury or just bad play
- Gronk gets a one game suspension, just in time for the Dolphins game
- White is lost for a couple of games, thus robbing Brady of his 3dRB after he'd already lost his Swiss Army RB
- Gillislee goes down, leaving only Lewis out of the RB stable, and forcing Bolden into service
- The remaining receivers have multiple brain farts during the last game of the year
and combine that with the usual expectation of Brady's (almost) annual clunker game, we get a perfectly logical basis for the hit to Brady's numbers, above and beyond any issue with Brady himself.
Very true. That was one of the first things that I noticed, particularly on 3rd down where it seems as though he had more targets than I had realized.As are the stats from before and after Hogan became unavailable (during week-8).
Just to further clarify, I went back and found the stat that I was referring to:Very true. That was one of the first things that I noticed, particularly on 3rd down where it seems as though he had more targets than I had realized.
There may be signs of a drop off due to injury though, or at least that being a factor, of course. As much as Hogan is missed, there was a significant change over the past 5 games in terms of downfield throws of 20 yds or longer.
When examining downfield throwing issues, In the first 11 contests, Brady had a QBR of around 112-113, but that dipped to below 30 from weeks 13-17. Again, there are other factors that come into play of course, but that stat leads me to believe that he may be/have been playing through some type of ailment which affected his throwing mechanism, and that was highlighted more on longer throws of 20 yds or more.
Of course, missing Gronk for a game, having the annual ****fest in Miami, and having a freezing cold game in week 17 likely played a role, as well. The Hogan injury that you mentioned, and some OL struggles certainly contributed, but I believe that he still did quite well for 3 more games after Hogan was out (downfield throwing) which is why it stuck out to me through weeks 13-17.
Just to further clarify, I went back and found the stat that I was referring to:
Passing downfield on throws of 20+
First 11 games
QB rating 113.5
42.3 completion rate
5 TD—1 INT
Last 5 games
QB rating 25.6
27.3 completion rate
0 TD—3 INT
Courtesy of @NFL Research
I might be hijacking the thread here a little bit but since it is literally a Brady stat and was posted by the PatsFans twitter account I hope its fine.
Did Cooks really go 7 out of 26 on third down targets this year ? Jesus, that is a crazy bad number. And I am pretty confident that the majority of those were not deep low percentage throws.
If you wanted an area to improve upon until next year.. there you have it..
Don’t have the exact number of targets for comparison in the article that I read, but they cite NFL research’s twitter handle (I assume), so maybe you can find it there with a little digging.Any chance you still have the tab open and can post the number of passes that qualify for both stretches ?
Very true. That was one of the first things that I noticed, particularly on 3rd down where it seems as though he had more targets than I had realized.
There may be signs of a drop off due to injury though, or at least that being a factor, of course. As much as Hogan is missed, there was a significant change over the past 5 games in terms of downfield throws of 20 yds or longer.
When examining downfield throwing issues, In the first 11 contests, Brady had a QBR of around 112-113, but that dipped to below 30 from weeks 13-17. Again, there are other factors that come into play of course, but that stat leads me to believe that he may be/have been playing through some type of ailment which affected his throwing mechanism, and that was highlighted more on longer throws of 20 yds or more.
Of course, missing Gronk for a game, having the annual ****fest in Miami, and having a freezing cold game in week 17 likely played a role, as well. The Hogan injury that you mentioned, and some OL struggles certainly contributed, but I believe that he still did quite well for 3 more games after Hogan was out (downfield throwing) which is why it stuck out to me through weeks 13-17.