lancerman
Pro Bowl Player
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Even the Celtics admit that holding onto the Big 3 till the bitter end was a mistake and set the team back for more than a decade. Ainge specifically referenced this when he made the Nets trade, that has positioned the team for the quickest rebuild in modern NBA history.
Never in a million years did I expect BB to repeat the Celtics mistake. The Pats were positioned to be Super Bowl contenders in the post Brady era and just let it slip away.
Let’s see how everyone feels about this in 5 years when JG is leading San Fran to Superbowls while the Pats join the two thirds of the league looking for a QB.
This is the dumbest thing I ever read.
1. Football isn't basketball and the dynamics of a team changing upon stars leaving is far more significant than it was in basketball in the 80's. The Cowboys and Steelers went over a decade without a Super Bowl appearance once they lost Staubach and Bradshaw. The Niner's were fortunate with Young and only got one title. And the chances of Garopollo being better than Young are SLIM. Rodgers only has one title after following up Favre (the chances of Jimmy ever being close to Rodgers is ZERO). Marino never won. The Colts bet longterm Luck over short term Manning, and they probably lost that bet, and Jimmy probably won't be better than Luck. You can't make predictions about how a team will fair with a new QB. It's just as likely Jimmy is Drew Bledsoe and the team maybe makes one appearance if they are lucky and they never win one Super Bowl and aren't contently competitive. So if you think you have a chance to win one or two more over 2-3 years with Brady that's a better bet.
2. Exactly 11 QB's in NFL history have multiple Super Bowl wins. Aka 2 or more. So if Brady can win won in the next 3 years we likely won. Unless you somehow thought Jimmy was a lock to be better off than one of the top 11 most fortunate QB's ever.
3. The average QB plays around 15 years in the league. Jimmy is 4 years in. He isn't winning a Super Bowl this year. He isn't winning one next year in San Fran. San Fran is likely at least 3 years away from every competing for a playoff spot at this point. So assuming EVERYTHING goes well, Jimmy likely won't even have a team good enough to go to a Super Bowl until he is at a point where Brady already won 3 and had his undefeated season. Really think about that. I like Jimmy, but he already lost a bunch of time and he will not be competitive in the near future. Assuming he ever is.
4. Here's the bet the Patriots took. 3-5 years of Brady, a guy whose never went more than 3 years without going to a Super Bowl, is a better bet than hoping Jimmy in 10-12 years becomes one of the top 10 most successful QB's of all time.
5. There is no gaurantee that a Jimmy led Patriots are poised to be Super Bowl contenders for years. There is no example of a great QB who won multiple Super Bowl's leaving and his immediate successor winning multiple Super Bowls. The best case scenario right now was Montana to Young where Young was one of the most physically talented QB's ever to play the game and in the immediate aftermath with one of the most talented teams in the NFL he went to two NFCCG's and then won a Super Bowl , and after those 3 years never sniffed another conference title much less a Super Bowl. And that's like the best example of that. The next best is Favre who only got one being followed up by Rodgers whose only got and been to one.
The idea that we are blasting Belichick because his bet was the most successful QB of all time in short term over the idea that Jimmy might somehow be one of the top 10 most successful QB's ever and outdo some of the greatest talents in league history in Rodgers and Young as far as following up all time great QB's is just ridiculous and lacks ALL context.












