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Patriots Pregame Thread We're on to Miami... again.

Pregame Discussion ahead of the LIVE game day discussion thread. The actual Game Thread will Open an hour ahead of kickoff.
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Film tells a little different story. Fleming did well enough but certainly not as solid as his stat clean sheet would let you believe and can be a different story this week vs explosive and angry MIA rush. Waddle saw help from others as well which is not what Pats usually want to do but Id prefer if he is able to go also because he already played them once. Its a whole different game when Cannon is in though.

Edge defenders had very solid game vs BUF without T.Flowers, Reilly and basically KVN. Flowers and Reilly are likely back so this should make up for a healthy edge, DL rotation. The return of healthy and fresh Brown made a ton of difference as well allowing all different D looks and making the line more explosive.
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Here some BB scouting..



Amazing how BB finds a way to make every opponent look like a SB Champ.
 




A couple from Giardi of the Pats pass rush against the 'Fins from last time. Interesting to watch Marquis Flowers (#59) occupy blockers. In the first clip, he freezes Pouncey without even making contact, before scooting around the left end. As Pouncey steps to pursue, he runs smack into Adam Butler coming the other way.
 
I’m not trying to come over the top on you I just get frustrated that people propagate this myth that anyone who isn’t doing great is stupid doesn’t know what to do and the patriots throw them out there anyway. It’s 100% contrary to what this team is about.
Is there no middle ground to this subject? I mean, is it not possible that he’s doing some things well while still attempting to develop chemistry with Brady during his first year?

Who the hell else would they put in his place, anyway? Do we have someone at this point in time who can help to open up other routes and dictate coverage? Is this player on the PS? I’m not sure why claiming that Dorsett is still learning the offense and hasn’t fully gained the trust of Brady is so controversial to you?
 
Is there no middle ground to this subject? I mean, is it not possible that he’s doing some things well while still attempting to develop chemistry with Brady during his first year?

Who the hell else would they put in his place, anyway? Do we have someone at this point in time who can help to open up other routes and dictate coverage? Is this player on the PS? I’m not sure why claiming that Dorsett is still learning the offense and hasn’t fully gained the trust of Brady is so controversial to you?
If he “doesn’t know the plays” they would put anyone in.
Sure reading coverage in a sight based offense is a skill that develops but that’s not “he doesn’t know the plays”.
Middle ground?
Ok he knows the plays, understands his assignment, is the worst receiver we out on the field so his opportunities BY PLAY DESIGN AND PROGRESSION are limited. He might be struggling with reading sight adjustments and improving at that would lead to more plays where he is an earlier progression.
I can not agree that when he is the player the progression says throw to and is open brady refuses to because he doesn’t trust him. Fair enough?
 
Drake is about to eclipse 2000 yards for season mark by the end of this game.
 
I didn’t know Gillislee was injured
 
Is there no middle ground to this subject? I mean, is it not possible that he’s doing some things well while still attempting to develop chemistry with Brady during his first year?

Who the hell else would they put in his place, anyway? Do we have someone at this point in time who can help to open up other routes and dictate coverage? Is this player on the PS? I’m not sure why claiming that Dorsett is still learning the offense and hasn’t fully gained the trust of Brady is so controversial to you?

Dorsett has caught 7 of 11 tgts (64%) for 140 yds thru 12 games = 11.7 yds/game-played. He's the #4 WR and the #8 overall pass-catcher in terms of yds/game-played - on the Patriots. Amendola was the #4 WR/#8 pass-catcher for the Pats in 2016. It was Dobson in 2015 & 2014.

A review of the productivity of the #4 WR/#8 pass-catcher on all the other teams around the league might help folks put Dorsett's production into perspective.
 
If he “doesn’t know the plays” they would put anyone in.
Sure reading coverage in a sight based offense is a skill that develops but that’s not “he doesn’t know the plays”.
True, but one example doesn’t do much to dispel the notion that they still aren’t on the same page. He’s currently on pace for what, about 10 catches or so for the entire year? It doesn’t appear as though he’s developed the trust of Brady, although we’ll have a better idea if Mitchell actually returns and Dorsett is forced to be inactive.

Since a decision on the 5th yr option will be due right after the draft, he’ll really have to show something in the spring to have that picked up. The plus side is that we’re running the ball better when he’s out there, so that’s big.

I think all of the receivers are expected to be on the same page at this point of the season, but that doesn’t change the fact that we’ve seen plenty of examples of WRs who haven’t panned out.

Normally, one would expect more than 7 receptions in week 14, particularly when Edelman, Mitchell, and Hogan have all missed significant time, and the player in question is a former first round selection. I think it’s fairly obvious (and was discussed on the TV broadcast, whether you choose to accept that as fact or not) that Dorsett is still not fully on the same page and that he’s continuing to try and learn the system.

I don’t think anyone should necessarily be suggesting that Dorsett is running poor routes, just that picking up the playbook, knowing the changes at the line, and developing the type of timing and trust that comes with lots of practice still has a way to go before they have that type of chemistry together.

This is exactly why I am hopeful that a full offseason addresses some of these issues and allows the team to take advantage of Dorsett’s talents, assuming that he’s able to put the work in, of course. I think we could see a much improved player next season.
Who, exactly are you quoting, here? Did I really say that “he doesn’t know the plays,” and if so, did you take the full context of the statement into account? I don’t remember making that claim.

My stance on Dorsett has been crystal clear and more than fair. My only claim is that he’s still learning the offense and hasn’t fully developed the kind of comfort level that is needed with Brady. Again, I have no idea why that is deemed as anything close to controversial or even really opinionated, for that matter.
 
Dorsett has caught 7 of 11 tgts (64%) for 140 yds thru 12 games = 11.7 yds/game-played. He's the #4 WR and the #8 overall pass-catcher in terms of yds/game-played - on the Patriots. Amendola was the #4 WR/#8 pass-catcher for the Pats in 2016. It was Dobson in 2015 & 2014.

A review of the productivity of the #4 WR/#8 pass-catcher on all the other teams around the league might help folks put Dorsett's production into perspective.
Not sure how bringing up the comparison of Amendola 2016 helps this argument? Amendola had 3.5 times the catches, had 4 touchdowns, and was a huge presence in the postseason, making clutch chain moving catches. Most importantly, he has the full trust of Tom Brady.

Philip Dorsett is a former first round pick who has had the entire season to make an impact, and right now he’s got 4 more catches than Jacob Hollister. If you’re actually claiming that he’s on the same page as Brady and that he’s fully comfortable in this system, I would question your sanity. Again, this isn’t about bashing Philip Dorsett. It’s about tempering expectations for 2017 and having some optimism that he can be a better player after a full offseason. Either way, they’re definitely not picking up his 5th year option. That’s a no-brainer.
 
I'm ready for win if only to change that awful depressing Gronk header on top of the forum that gives the vibe we lost the game instead of won
 
Who, exactly are you quoting, here? Did I really say that “he doesn’t know the plays,” and if so, did you take the full context of the statement into account? I don’t remember making that claim.

My stance on Dorsett has been crystal clear and more than fair. My only claim is that he’s still learning the offense and hasn’t fully developed the kind of comfort level that is needed with Brady. Again, I have no idea why that is deemed as anything close to controversial or even really opinionated, for that matter.
This is where the conversation started.

Crap so he still doesn't know the plays? Hes getting a lot of reps these last few weeks
 
Not sure how bringing up the comparison of Amendola 2016 helps this argument? Amendola had 3.5 times the catches, had 4 touchdowns, and was a huge presence in the postseason, making clutch chain moving catches.

I'm actually agreeing with you and attempting to provide further context by demonstrating the variability in the productivity of the #4/#8 on the Pats from year-to-year, which I why I also mentioned Dobson.

It's also why I mentioned the #4/#8 on other teams. The bashing of Dorsett for his lack of productivity is similar to the bashing of Gillislee for his, IMHO. Folks seem to make the assumption that, because these players are not meeting their expectations as fans, they must be "bad". They seem to forget the context: this is the Patriots. The bar is set pretty high, even for the "low man".

Players on the Pats who are "low man" are typically in that position because there are several players ahead of them who are really, really good. That doesn't necessarily make these low men "bad players", especially compared to players who rank #4/#8 (or even higher) on most other teams around the NFL.

Maybe the Pats could have done "better", but they also could've done a lot worse.

Most importantly, he (Amendola) has the full trust of Tom Brady.

Perhaps because Amendola has had nearly five full years working with Brady (and McD), and had four seasons of significant NFL experience before even coming to the Pats. In comparison, Dorsett has had relatively little experience (not even an off-season with the Pats), and yet he's been reasonably productive for his #4/#8 ranking (IMHO).

Philip Dorsett is a former first round pick...

I'm not sure why it matters that some other team considered him 1st-round worthy at some point in the past.

... who has had the entire season to make an impact, and right now he’s got 4 more catches than Jacob Hollister.

Dorsett, #8 in yds/game-played at 11.7:
... 7/11 (64%) ... 140 yds (20.0 ypc) ... long of 38 & 39

Hollister, #10 in yds/game-played at 3.4:
... 3/7 (43%) ... 37 yds (12.3 ypc) ... long of 19

Hollister had a full off-season. Allen had a full off-season. Dorsett did not.

If you’re actually claiming that he’s on the same page as Brady and that he’s fully comfortable in this system, I would question your sanity.

I readily admit that I'm ****oo for Cocoa Puffs and probably shouldn't have access to power tools or sharp objects, but I don't think I'm enough of a moron to get anywhere near making such an extreme claim.

Again, this isn’t about bashing Philip Dorsett. It’s about tempering expectations for 2017 and having some optimism that he can be a better player after a full offseason. Either way, they’re definitely not picking up his 5th year option. That’s a no-brainer.

Precisely. And with good reason, IMHO.

Yup. The 5th-year option (~$8.1M, IIRC) is certainly off the table. And the reality is that Dorsett may not even make it through cutdowns next September, depending on who the Pats might pick up in FA and during draft weekend next spring.

I expect there to be a crap-tonne of new faces on the 90-man off-season roster in 2018 competing for WR (and TE) spots on the final 53-man ...
- Amendola is UFA and turned 32 this past Nov-2
- Edelman turns 32 in May, and will be attempting to come back from a critical injury
- Hogan turns 30 next October and will be embarking on his contract year
- Mitchell, 6 months younger than Dorsett, will be attempting to comeback from a critical injury
- Behind Gronk (29 in May), there's only Allen (28 in Feb), Hollister (25 next Nov), Tye (27 next Nov) and Bennett - who turns 31 in March and will be attempting to come back from shoulder surgery. Develin turns 30 next July and will be embarking on his contract year in 2018.

At this point, Dorsett seems likely to be a part of the mix through next August at least, probably along with Cody Hollister, McCarron and possibly even Reedy. Reedy turns 26 on New Year's Eve. All the rest (plus Cooks) turn 25 sometime in 2018.
 
By my count, inactives include:
Cannon
Gronk
T Flowers
B King
Gillislee
Van Noy

One more to go with Waddle and Wise both game time decisions. Wonder if Slater returns.
 
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