Not Patriots related, but this does pertain to Week 16.
It looks like the most important games are Colts at Steelers this week, then Steelers at Browns and Dolphins at Bills next week.
Week 16 AFC Playoff Picture
1.) 13-1 Chiefs (vs Falcons, vs Chargers); have clinched AFC West
Virtual lock for #1 seed. Would take two losses plus about 18 other specific outcomes to not happen.
2.) 11-3 Bills (at Patriots, vs Dolphins); have clinched AFC East
Hold tiebreaker over Steelers based on week 14 win.
Can clinch #2 seed with (a) win vs Pats; plus (b) Steelers loss; plus (c) Titans loss.
Can clinch at least #3 seed with (a) win vs Pats; plus (b) either a Steelers loss or Titans loss.
It could happen.
www.buffalorumblings.com
3.) 11-3 Steelers (vs Colts, at Browns); have clinched a playoff spot
Can clinch the AFC North and at least the #3 seed with a victory.
4.) 10-4 Titans (at Packers, at Texans); control own destiny (two wins and they are in the playoffs)
Can clinch AFC South with a win, plus a Colts loss.
Can clinch at least #6 seed with a win, plus Dolphins loss.
Eliminated from #2 seed with a loss, plus Steelers win.
Eliminated from #3 seed with a loss, plus Bills win.
5.) 10-4 Browns (at Jets, vs Steelers); control own destiny (two wins and they are in playoffs)
Can clinch at least #5 seed with a win, plus Ravens lose, plus Dolphins lose, plus either Colts or Titans lose.
Can clinch at least #6 seed with a win, plus two of the Colts/Dolphins/Ravens lose.
Can clinch a playoff spot with a win, plus one of Colts/Dolphins/Ravens lose.
Eliminated from #2 seed if Bills win.
Eliminated from #4 seed with a loss, plus Steelers win.
6.) 10-4 Colts (at Steelers, vs Jaguars); control own destiny
Can clinch at least #6 seed with a win, plus both Dolphins and Ravens lose.
Can clinch at least #7 seed with a win, plus either Dolphins or Ravens lose.
Eliminated from #2 seed if Bills win; eliminated from #3 seed with a loss to Steelers.
Eliminated from #4 seed with loss, plus Titans win.
Eliminated from #5 seed with loss, plus both Titans and Browns win.
7.) 9-5 Dolphins (at Raiders, at Bills); control own destiny
Cannot clinch anything in Week 16.
Eliminated from #5 seed with loss, plus Colts win.
Eliminated from #6 seed loss, plus both Colts and Browns win.
8.) 9-5 Ravens (vs Giants, at Bengals); do not control own destiny
Even though the Ravens cannot clinch anything by winning out, they are in good shape. They should be able to win both of those games, and then just need either the Bills to beat Miami, or Pittsburgh to beat Cleveland, or the Titans to lose twice and they are in the playoffs.
9.) 7-7 Raiders (vs Dolphins, at Broncos); do not control own destiny
All but mathematically eliminated; they need two win twice, plus have the Ravens lose to the Giants and Bengals.
An interactive calculator that lets you explore every team’s path to the N.F.L. playoffs.
www.nytimes.com
FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.
www.playoffstatus.com