Tony2046
PatsFans.com Supporter
PatsFans.com Supporter
2019 Weekly Picks Winner
2021 Weekly Picks Winner
- Joined
- Apr 24, 2015
- Messages
- 17,535
- Reaction score
- 41,045
My Novice opinion: Better minds please chime in.
After listening to sporadic chit chat regarding Brady's overall performance against the Broncos and his first six incompletions I wanted to look at the film and take a look for myself. While I do agree it wasn't one of his best statistical performances I do think it was one of his smartest games played this year and disagree with the mediots that grade his performance as "poor". It was definitely good.
Brady and crew were facing the #1 Passing Defense and according Football Outsiders the #1 Defense overall. They lead the league in Sacks and are one of the league leaders in Hurries so they can bring the pressure as we all already knew. Their Running Defense is their weakness as many posted prior to the game. Brady played the defense perfectly. When they rushed 5, which was rare, Brady hit his hot read and on one occasion White was an ankle tackle away from a TD. When they rushed 3, also rare, Brady moved around in the pocket to find the open guy (Develin for a first and goal). The Pats ran 39 times and passed 32 times. (When is the last time that has happened?) The Pats played to exploit the Bronco's run D weakness and Brady played a smart mistake free game.
FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | 2016 DEFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Footnote: Although this thread is about Brady's performance I have to add that Patriots defense played phenomenally well which allowed Brady/Offense to play the safe/smart gameplan.
Below are six screenshots of his first six incompletions. They include 1 knocked down, 2 Drops, 2 Bad throws and 1 low throw to Bennett. (Not sure if Bennett ran his route correctly or not. It looks like he ran right into the safety coverage instead in front of it. Or Brady read the coverage wrong. I'm not sure.) (Footnote: Some images might seem as though another receiver was open but sometimes they became open after the throw.)
Of course Brady went on to complete his next 6 passes. Four during the TD drive which included the sweet toe dragging sideline Edelman catch and two the next drive. Four of those six went to Edelman. Edelman, again, seems to be the key that gets this offense going.
First Incompletion: 3rd and 3. Pass knocked down by Wolfe.
Second: Bad throw. Ball lands a yard away from White and on his right side. Looks like it got a away from Brady as it didn't have any zip on it either.
Third: The Ball hits White in the hands. Drop.
Fourth: Bad Pass: White is open by a step but Brady threw it just out of reach. It looks catchable in this photo but it wasn't. imo
Fifth: Brady threw it low to Bennett. Ward was all over it. If thrown any higher could have been intercepted.
Sixth: 3rd and 10. A short throw to White. Dropped. A safe throw hoping White can make the first guy miss but the Broncos had good coverage on the play. Would have been short of a first even if caught.
The other 10 incompletions were:
1. To Edelman in coverage. Edelman got caught up with the linebacker which messed up his timing. Decent throw by Brady. Tough catch for Edelman.
2. Overthrow to Lewis in the Endzone. Can't tell if Lewis slowed down but asked to come out of the game after that play.
3. To Bennett but I think Talib tipped it before it got to Bennett. Good defensive coverage.
4. To Edelman but stripped out of his hands by Nelson. Good defensive play.
5. The fumbled snap. Brady picked it up and threw it away. Aborted play.
6. To Hogan. Dropped.
7. Thrown away. Brady Scrambled out of the pocket due to pressure.
8. To White but Talib had great coverage.
9. Threw out of the back of the Endzone. Avoiding pressure and keeping a FG possible. (Up 13-3 at the time and on the goal line insinuates that Brady had complete trust in the defense to hold the Broncos and therefore did not try to force a TD throw.) imo
10. To Edelman. Thrown high but through the hands. Catchable? Tough. Didn't matter though because Ward decided to Flex after the play.
FIRST DOWN. Thanks Ward.
So those are my thoughts. Any input or corrections will be appreciated.
After listening to sporadic chit chat regarding Brady's overall performance against the Broncos and his first six incompletions I wanted to look at the film and take a look for myself. While I do agree it wasn't one of his best statistical performances I do think it was one of his smartest games played this year and disagree with the mediots that grade his performance as "poor". It was definitely good.
Brady and crew were facing the #1 Passing Defense and according Football Outsiders the #1 Defense overall. They lead the league in Sacks and are one of the league leaders in Hurries so they can bring the pressure as we all already knew. Their Running Defense is their weakness as many posted prior to the game. Brady played the defense perfectly. When they rushed 5, which was rare, Brady hit his hot read and on one occasion White was an ankle tackle away from a TD. When they rushed 3, also rare, Brady moved around in the pocket to find the open guy (Develin for a first and goal). The Pats ran 39 times and passed 32 times. (When is the last time that has happened?) The Pats played to exploit the Bronco's run D weakness and Brady played a smart mistake free game.
FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | 2016 DEFENSE EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Footnote: Although this thread is about Brady's performance I have to add that Patriots defense played phenomenally well which allowed Brady/Offense to play the safe/smart gameplan.
Below are six screenshots of his first six incompletions. They include 1 knocked down, 2 Drops, 2 Bad throws and 1 low throw to Bennett. (Not sure if Bennett ran his route correctly or not. It looks like he ran right into the safety coverage instead in front of it. Or Brady read the coverage wrong. I'm not sure.) (Footnote: Some images might seem as though another receiver was open but sometimes they became open after the throw.)
Of course Brady went on to complete his next 6 passes. Four during the TD drive which included the sweet toe dragging sideline Edelman catch and two the next drive. Four of those six went to Edelman. Edelman, again, seems to be the key that gets this offense going.
First Incompletion: 3rd and 3. Pass knocked down by Wolfe.
Second: Bad throw. Ball lands a yard away from White and on his right side. Looks like it got a away from Brady as it didn't have any zip on it either.
Third: The Ball hits White in the hands. Drop.
Fourth: Bad Pass: White is open by a step but Brady threw it just out of reach. It looks catchable in this photo but it wasn't. imo
Fifth: Brady threw it low to Bennett. Ward was all over it. If thrown any higher could have been intercepted.
Sixth: 3rd and 10. A short throw to White. Dropped. A safe throw hoping White can make the first guy miss but the Broncos had good coverage on the play. Would have been short of a first even if caught.
The other 10 incompletions were:
1. To Edelman in coverage. Edelman got caught up with the linebacker which messed up his timing. Decent throw by Brady. Tough catch for Edelman.
2. Overthrow to Lewis in the Endzone. Can't tell if Lewis slowed down but asked to come out of the game after that play.
3. To Bennett but I think Talib tipped it before it got to Bennett. Good defensive coverage.
4. To Edelman but stripped out of his hands by Nelson. Good defensive play.
5. The fumbled snap. Brady picked it up and threw it away. Aborted play.
6. To Hogan. Dropped.
7. Thrown away. Brady Scrambled out of the pocket due to pressure.
8. To White but Talib had great coverage.
9. Threw out of the back of the Endzone. Avoiding pressure and keeping a FG possible. (Up 13-3 at the time and on the goal line insinuates that Brady had complete trust in the defense to hold the Broncos and therefore did not try to force a TD throw.) imo
10. To Edelman. Thrown high but through the hands. Catchable? Tough. Didn't matter though because Ward decided to Flex after the play.
FIRST DOWN. Thanks Ward. So those are my thoughts. Any input or corrections will be appreciated.
