Let me cut it down to
just the guys they'll need to hit at about a 100% rate in the draft -- without reference to the fact that they haven't addressed HC or GM:
- If they draft a competent franchise QB
- If they repair the porous secondary,
- If they upgrade the OL,
- If they revamp their special teams unit,
- If they can avoid creating a media circus,
- And If they're still mostly healthy come playoffs
So just in terms of draft picks (well, you can roll the dice on free agents too... but they cost more, by and large...) we have to have a 100% hit rate on talent at...
- QB
- Several O-line positions
- Most if not all of the secondary
- Special teams is a mess... let's say at least 3-4 "aces" on ST by JEST standards and some capable complements to them
- All of these guys, even if they have talent, either have to come in with the right attitude or somehow be disciplined into it to avoid the media circus... very overlooked strength in the stronger franchises...
- Healthy? LOL... even without getting the infrastructure (coaching and GM) and just holding the variables to the talent... hell, this one is the icing on the cake. We're sketching out a best possible scenario, never mind a "next man up" bonanza... and we already need at least a dozen full-on "hits" in the draft to get them to the point where it's worth considering the JEST. And along the way you have to account for "do-overs" as their guys fail to perform, especially the "franchise QB."
They only give you so much in the draft for your poor performance in season. They're doomed. Doomed.
I'm thinking they need to hit on a dozen or more blue-chip guys in the draft, in addition to the many other variables.
The Pats can tell you, as hard as it is to maintain the best
team on the field possible, you have to continually and ruthlessly replace talent... but that's just the very first step.
This is just not a climbable mountain for the JEST. Free up your sked for 5 years, Jetsfan, then check back in. If the coach and GM are in place and you're regularly breaking .500, then get excited.