Pursuit of the Bye (1st Seed)

[captain stone]

Does history really matter now?

Those who fail to learn from it are doomed to repeat it.

 

[Actual Pats Fan]

Those who fail to learn from it are doomed to repeat it.

Denver has never been an ordinary venue. Preparation, approach and attitude must be specific, direct and applicable if a visiting team expects to win there.

 

[PATSYLICIOUS]

Messed around with the playoff machine. My preference obviously is the 1 seed, but if that doesn’t happen the above situation is very realistic (the main needed results there would be den beating jax and Houston beating LAC) and i believe sets up well for us. Lac and Houston are tough but theyre indoor teams coming up north. Houston has never won a playoff game outdoors (even though they’ve always been a defense first team) to my knowledge and the chargers haven’t in a long while. In the above scenario id predict to see us hosting buffalo in the afcc.

the 2 afc matchups that would worry me the most are buffalo and visiting mile high. If we can go in having to do just one instead of both that would be the most favorable road imo barring the 1 seed.

 

[Uptown]

 

[mgteich]

Messed around with the playoff machine. My preference obviously is the 1 seed, but if that doesn’t happen the above situation is very realistic (the main needed results there would be den beating jax and Houston beating LAC) and i believe sets up well for us. Lac and Houston are tough but theyre indoor teams coming up north. Houston has never won a playoff game outdoors (even though they’ve always been a defense first team) to my knowledge and the chargers haven’t in a long while. In the above scenario id predict to see us hosting buffalo in the afcc.

the 2 afc matchups that would worry me the most are buffalo and visiting mile high. If we can go in having to do just one instead of both that would be the most favorable road imo barring the 1 seed.

Your projection seems right. I believe the ESPN has the same. Of course, BUF could be playing BAL.

BUF would be happy to play PIT for their first game.

I would count JAX out in a revenge game against HOU. In that case, we would play both BUF and DEN.

 

[PATSYLICIOUS]

Your projection seems right. I believe the ESPN has the same. Of course, BUF could be playing BAL.

BUF would be happy to play PIT for their first game.

I would count JAX out in a revenge game against HOU. In that case, we would play both BUF and DEN.

True, it could be Baltimore instead of pitt. In fact If pitt loses to Detroit today and the ravens beat us that would probably change my pick right away.

And yes, jax could beat Houston. But in that case, can’t rule out them taking out Denver too

 

[TommyD4207]

I've been thinking this the last couple of weeks.

Hasn't been a murderer's row of opponents, but they've quietly been on fire for the last couple of months. despite what should have been a catastrophic amount of injuries on offense.

 

[Ring 6]

Messed around with the playoff machine. My preference obviously is the 1 seed, but if that doesn’t happen the above situation is very realistic (the main needed results there would be den beating jax and Houston beating LAC) and i believe sets up well for us. Lac and Houston are tough but theyre indoor teams coming up north. Houston has never won a playoff game outdoors (even though they’ve always been a defense first team) to my knowledge and the chargers haven’t in a long while. In the above scenario id predict to see us hosting buffalo in the afcc.

the 2 afc matchups that would worry me the most are buffalo and visiting mile high. If we can go in having to do just one instead of both that would be the most favorable road imo barring the 1 seed.

Thus could play out with NE, Houston, Buffalo wining round 1.
Creating Buff at Denver and Houston at NE
Creating Buff at NE AFCCG

 

[mgteich]

Do we have the #1 seed we win out and LAC beats DEN?

 

[mgcolby]

Do we have the #1 seed we win out and LAC beats DEN?

Yes. We would be 14-3 and the best anyone else could be is 13-4 in that scenario.

 

[Joey007]

I've been thinking this the last couple of weeks.

Hasn't been a murderer's row of opponents, but they've quietly been on fire for the last couple of months. despite what should have been a catastrophic amount of injuries on offense.

That was very impressive from them today.

They now officially have my attention. This is such a wide open AFC.

 

[Joey007]

Yes. We would be 14-3 and the best anyone else could be is 13-4 in that scenario.

We really need the Chargers to win Saturday against Houston.

Otherwise the Chargers could be resting starters, unless Indy starts winning a bunch of games and their playoff spot is in doubt.

 

[PatsFanInVa]

Those who fail to learn from it are doomed to repeat it.

Those who do are condemned to recite it

(That's me agreeing w you, I just love that Santayana morph)

 

[Kargetina]

Just a reminder for anyone writing in the Chiefs as an automatic win for the Broncos, Denver beat the Commanders with Mariotta 27-26, the Raiders 10-7 and 24-17, the Jets 13-11 and the Giants 33-32 while scoring zero points through three quarters.

They're not some juggernaut that beats teams on cue. It's a divisional game in Kansas, and if anything makes a team that has nothing to play for hyped, it's to ruin the plans of a divisional rival, something that we've been dealing with forever in the Brady years.

In 2019, we only needed to beat the 4-11 Dolphins at home with Fitzpatrick at QB to win the bye, and we lost. 2015 as well. Both loses effectively ruined the season.

 

[uknepatsfan]

Just a reminder for anyone writing in the Chiefs as an automatic win for the Broncos, Denver beat the Commanders with Mariotta 27-26, the Raiders 10-7 and 24-17, the Jets 13-11 and the Giants 33-32 while scoring zero points through three quarters.

They're not some juggernaut that beats teams on cue. It's a divisional game in Kansas, and if anything makes a team that has nothing to play for hyped, it's to ruin the plans of a divisional rival, something that we've been dealing with forever in the Brady years.

In 2019, we only needed to beat the 4-11 Dolphins at home with Fitzpatrick at QB to win the bye, and we lost. 2015 as well. Both loses effectively ruined the season.

The Chiefs are more washed than Katy Perry. Denver will destroy them on Thursday night.

 

[yukon cornelius]

We really need the Chargers to win Saturday against Houston.

Otherwise the Chargers could be resting starters, unless Indy starts winning a bunch of games and their playoff spot is in doubt.

if chargers lose to houston then beats denver, it looks like they'd have to go to denver the following week....so in that scenario, resting starters, losing to denver, coming to NE looks preferable to the chargers

but if they beat houston and lose to denver, they'd travel to Pitt.......win out, the chargers host buffalo? (likely).......it's almost like beating houston/losing to denver is the best path lol

pats just need to win out and let the chips fall; even houston looked pretty beatable yesterday, their JV level offense returned.....i'd much rather see a top defense over a top offense

 

[TommyD4207]

if chargers lose to houston then beats denver, it looks like they'd have to go to denver the following week....so in that scenario, resting starters, losing to denver, coming to NE looks preferable to the chargers

but if they beat houston and lose to denver, they'd travel to Pitt.......win out, the chargers host buffalo? (likely).......it's almost like beating houston/losing to denver is the best path lol

pats just need to win out and let the chips fall; even houston looked pretty beatable yesterday, their JV level offense returned.....i'd much rather see a top defense over a top offense

I promise you, the Chargers want nothing to do with traveling to the East Coast for any reason, against any team - especially if it happens to be a day game.

 

[yukon cornelius]

I promise you, the Chargers want nothing to do with traveling to the East Coast for any reason, against any team - especially if it happens to be a day game.

their history there is not good.......but who in the hell would want to go to denver in the playoffs.....

 

[TommyD4207]

their history there is not good.......but who in the hell would want to go to denver in the playoffs.....

The Chargers would rather play in Denver than play the Jets in New Jersey Sunday at 1.
Just like Denver would rather play anywhere that's not at sea level.

 

[Thelonious]

Those who fail to learn from it are doomed to repeat it.

Santayana, I think (There is disagreement). I first saw it on the first page of Shirer's Rise and Fall of the Third Reich," which came out when I was in high school. There was a swastika on the front cover of my fatso paperback copy (Thickest I'd ever seen). I was reading it in study hall and some kid gave me an accusatory look and asked, "Why are you reading a Nazi book?" I said it was a history book. He didn't buy it. Years later I used to play sort of dinner music on my guitar in a French restaurant in Lenox, Mass, and Shirer came in one night. He was the only diner who paid the least attention to the hippy noodling away on a stool in the corner, even gave me a little fin de siecle golf clap after I played "Out of Nowhere." I thanked him, said I liked his books. He was a very civilized guy, or maybe he just had bad taste in music. I've read everything he ever wrote. My favorite historian, aside from Will (and Ariel) Durant. Uhhh. Go Pats.

Here's what he looked like: