Patriots trade Hollister to the Seahawks

[jah]

As an ex-mathematician (and apparently also a hopeless pedant) I just have to point out that there really isn't anything called the "Law of Averages". It's generally just a layman's inaccurate attempt to encapsulate probabilistic concepts in a simple to understand way and does not capture any biases in the intrinsic probability distribution of the system.
What is generally meant by this is something closer to the weak "Law of large Numbers" where, in the case of the coin, the expected value is likely 0.5, but does not include any contribution due to the slightly asymmetric distribution of mass in the coin or indeed any other source of bias.
So, obviously, if Hollister had some tendency towards a particular injury or injuries (as Gronk had towards back injuries etc.) then the "Law of Averages" would absolutely not apply and the concept of being injury prone is a valid one.

Wow, how did I miss such a long series of posts with people talking about the "law of averages" like it's a real thing?

 

[wynpalmer]

Wow, how did I miss such a long series of posts with people talking about the "law of averages" like it's a real thing?

That's actually one of the aspects of Patsfans that I most enjoy- you never know when an involving if somewhat tangential subject will arise. For a sports forum there seems to be a large number of smart and interesting contributors with a wide range of backgrounds.
It's truly a unique experience and a tribute to you all.

 

[Urgent]

7th-round picks are certainly cheap, but UDFAs are cheaper.

Each team is allotted a modest amount of cash above rookie minimum, roughly equal to the slotted bonus of a 7th-round pick, for their entire UDFA class. If a team really wants to lure in an especially desirable UDFA they can guarantee part of their salary, but by and large UDFAs make minimum salary, period.

EDIT: For example, last year 7th-round pick Keion Crossen got a $75k bonus, priority UDFA J.C. Jackson got $10K.

Interesting.
2019 NFL Draft Tracker

According to this site the top signing bonus in the Seventh Round was $85,000. And dropped from there.

Patriots guaranteed TE Beck $115,000. Grant and Hall got $85,000 guaranteed.
BOSTON Sports Teams, Scores, Stats, News, Standings, Rumors - ESPN Boston. According to Reiss. Several more in the $70,000 range.

 

[Urgent]

As an ex-mathematician (and apparently also a hopeless pedant) I just have to point out that there really isn't anything called the "Law of Averages". It's generally just a layman's inaccurate attempt to encapsulate probabilistic concepts in a simple to understand way and does not capture any biases in the intrinsic probability distribution of the system.
What is generally meant by this is something closer to the weak "Law of large Numbers" where, in the case of the coin, the expected value is likely 0.5, but does not include any contribution due to the slightly asymmetric distribution of mass in the coin or indeed any other source of bias.
So, obviously, if Hollister had some tendency towards a particular injury or injuries (as Gronk had towards back injuries etc.) then the "Law of Averages" would absolutely not apply and the concept of being injury prone is a valid one.

“no it tisn’t”

 

[Seacoast Fan]

As an ex-mathematician (and apparently also a hopeless pedant) I just have to point out that there really isn't anything called the "Law of Averages". It's generally just a layman's inaccurate attempt to encapsulate probabilistic concepts in a simple to understand way and does not capture any biases in the intrinsic probability distribution of the system.
What is generally meant by this is something closer to the weak "Law of large Numbers" where, in the case of the coin, the expected value is likely 0.5, but does not include any contribution due to the slightly asymmetric distribution of mass in the coin or indeed any other source of bias.
So, obviously, if Hollister had some tendency towards a particular injury or injuries (as Gronk had towards back injuries etc.) then the "Law of Averages" would absolutely not apply and the concept of being injury prone is a valid one.

Pretty average post.

 

[Urgent]

Pretty average post.

He’s due for a good one.

 

[n1997y]

He’s due for a good one.

Based on the Law of Averages?