I really want to see Brady gun for his 4th MVP this season. I know MVP's aren't as important as championships, MVP curse, etc. But he has been incredibly unlucky when it comes to those.
2008: We all know what happened this season. With the easy schedule the Patriots had and another year with those weapons, Brady would have thrown 4500ish yards/40ish touchdowns with a 13-3/14-2 record.
MVP Winner Peyton Manning
12-4 record
95.0 passer rating
4,002 passing yards
7.2 YPA
28 total touchdowns
12 interceptions
66.8%
Tom Brady guestimated
14-2 record
105.0 passer rating
4,700 passing yards
8.0 YPA
45 total touchdowns
10 interceptions
68.0%
2015: Before the entire team was wrecked by injuries, it was looking like Brady was going to win MVP over Newton. Newton finished the season on a hot streak while Brady didn't due to almost everyone around him getting injured or playing banged up. Newton definitely deserved this, but I believe that Brady wins with even average injury luck.
MVP Winner Cam Newton
15-1 record
99.4 passer rating
3,837 passing yards
7.8 YPA
45 total touchdowns
10 interceptions
59.8%
Tom Brady
12-4 record
102.2 passer rating
4,770 passing yards
7.6 YPA
39 total touchdowns
7 interceptions
64.4%
2016: Brady only plays 12 games since he is suspended for the dumbest reason in sports history. He comes back and lights up the NFL. Matt Ryan wins MVP playing all 16 games and having a historic season.
MVP Winner Matt Ryan
11-5 record
117.1 passer rating
4,944 passing yards
9.3 YPA
38 total touchdowns
7 interceptions
69.9%
Tom Brady
11-1 record
112.2 passer rating
3,554 passing yards
8.2 YPA
28 total touchdowns
2 interceptions
67.4%
If Brady had been able to play 16 games then I believe that we would have seen a 15-1 record, 37 TD/3 INT ratio, 4600 yards.