I think if the Pats somehow pull it all together - Jack Jones and Jonathan Jones come back and fill in for Gonzalez, and Gonzalez comes back in around a month - Uche steps up to help fill the void of Judon, Flowers comes off PUP and helps out as well - either Mac or Zappe discover how to be an at least average QB - Stevenson rediscovers himself and the OL solidifies in the run game - Juju gets it together and Pop sees the field more - IF the Pats can accomplish all of the above, then I could see them beating the Saints, Raiders, Colts, Giants, Chargers, Steelers, Broncos and Jets. The Commanders, maybe. Bills, Dolphins and Chiefs probably not. In this scenario I'd say a 9-8 finish is possible.
If they only achieve some of the above, probably more like 7-10. If they stay as they are and don't realize much/any improvement, maybe only 4-13.