Ring 6
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That is a horrible analogy. It’s like saying the moment you go for a 4th down, blitz, trade, make any draft choice, etc etc you lose because it’s a gamble.The odds are better if you draft a QB in the top 10-15 picks than later in the draft. That is true. But what you seem to refuse to admit is that the odds of getting a franchise QB in the top 10 still isn't very good. It is a crap shoot even that high. It is a crap shoot even with a top 3 pick.
Even if you are absolutely in love with someone and feel they are a can't miss QB and trade away three first round draft picks to move up, the odds are you are going to be wrong and set your franchise back for years. That is the simple truth. Based on history, you have a far less than 50-50 chance that you made the right decision to trade up.
And the fact you used a casino related analogy is spot on in a way you didn't think of. The only way you can walk into a casino and be more likely than not to walk out with at least the same amount of gambling money as you walked in with is not to gamble at all. The second you lay money on the table in a casino, you are far more likely to walk away losing than winning. And that is the same when you select a QB in the draft. That is why investing multiple first round picks to trade up to get a QB is such a gamble especially for the fourth or fifth best QB in the draft.
Walking into a casino means putting up your money with the odds against you. That’s not at all what is happening when you make a decision how to use your resources.
The worst gamble is pretending you can win without a top QB and refusing to pay what it takes.
There is simply no question that a guy like fields will develop in this system with the coaching and the team around him. When you develop him, you have developed a guy with immense talent not a slug you get on day 3 who you will never win with. What difference do the picks make if you don’t fix the QBs problem?