So at this writing, the U.S. has had 14,604 deaths, per Worldmeter.
As our Patsfans virologists know, I only have 1 contribution here, tracking what has been a fairly steady weekly quintupling (Sat.-Sat., for instance - so really every 8th day.)
That 8-day quintupling got us to 7,500 sometime last Saturday morning. It's Wednesday the 8th now, and we're at 14,604 (i.e., only 3 days left in the period and we have only doubled, thus far!)
These numbers aren't minute, but they are still smallish, and therefore sensitive. But for right now, it really does look like curve flattening - consider, we're past halfway and we're a hair short of doubling the deaths in the last 4+ days.
Unless there's a blip, even if we double again in the next 3+ days - a re-acceleration - that gets us to just north of 29,000 deaths. A quintupling Saturday - Saturday would get us to 37,500.
So, I wouldn't get ****y just yet, especially with so many hot spots constantly forming. But we were least ready when the first places got hit. Washington and Cali were smart and contained. NY seems to have had a ton of spread before they locked down.
Rooting for the trend to hold.