AFC Playoff Race: Week 16

[PYPER]

This projection model provides the expected win totals of the AFC Playoff contenders if each of the contenders beat the poor teams on their schedule and split their games against other contending teams.

Here are the expected records for the rest of the AFC teams in contention.

TEAM.....Current Record.....Schedule.....Expected Wins (EW's)....Competive Games (CG's).....Expected Record

1) Titans: 13-2; @Ind; 0 EW's; 1 CG's; Exp.Record = 13.5 - 2.5
2) Steelers: 11-4; ,Cle; 1 EW; 0 CG's; Exp.Record = 12-4
3) Patriots: 10-5; @Buf; 1 EW's; 0 CG's; Exp.Record = 11–5
4) Broncos: 8-7; @SD; 0 EW's; 1 CG's; Exp.Record = 8.5 - 7.5
5) Colts: 11-4; Ten; 0 EW's; 1 CG's; Exp.Record = 11.5 - 4.5
6) Ravens: 10-5; Jax; 1 EW’s; 0 CG's; Exp.Record = 11–5
================================================== ===
7) Dolphins: 10-5; @NYJ; 0 EW's; 1 CG's; Exp.Record = 10.5 - 5.5
8) Jets: 9-6; Mia; 0 EW's; 1 CG's; Exp.Record = 9.5 - 6.5
9) Chargers: 7-8; Den; 0 EW's, 1 CG's; Exp.Record = 7.5 - 8.5

[bNote:[/b] Teams are ordered based on their expected records, which is NOT necessarily the way it would look if the season were to end today.


Patriots Playoff Scenarios:

AFC East Division Champions:
* Patriots beat Bills
-AND-
* Jets beat/tie Dolphins

AFC Wild Card:
* Patriots beat Buffalo
-AND-
* Ravens lose/tie to Jacksonville

Note: There are no possible scenarios for the Patriots to get in at 10-6


Jets Playoff Scenarios:

AFC East Division Champions:
* Jets beat Dolphins
-AND-
* Patriots lose to Bills

AFC Wild Card:
* Jets beat Dolphins
-AND-
* Ravens lose to Jaguars

 

[T_Brady12]

Broncos might blow one to the Bills too yet.