Andy is right....to a degree. 5 quarters of great football is NOT near enough time to determing, without risk, how good JG might end up being. Just look at the Philly QB who was lights out is first 5 games before coming back to earth, like his team, the rest of the season, Kurt Cousins after 4 years in the league and 2 full seasons as a starter, has HE proven beyond doubt he deserves a big contract? Some would say definitively yes and some no.
That's the point. No one is guaranteed success year to year in the league unless you are the Patriots, and even then it's just relative success most years. Carson Palmer had a career year in 2015. This year not even close. So when people want to valuate JG it is WRONG to say he's a sure bet.
The distinction we should be focusing on is the valuation of the POTENTIAL JG offers based on all the information we have had hand. Isn't that what draft picks are all about in the first place, potential based on information at hand? And draft picks will be the currency used in any JG transaction.
So when you compare some of the other QB trades for either vets or moves up to get a QB in the draft, the idea of a 1s and 4th for one cheap year of JG is more than reasonable, ESPECIALLY in a year where there aren't any 1st round talents coming out.
There is no question that anyone trading for JG and playing that kind of price will be taking a risk. But a lot of that risk is mitigated by his pedigree, his training, the game film, and the kids proven makeup. He might fail, no question, but the chances he doesn't are a LOT better than the other alternatives to solve your current QB question....And if you DON'T solve that QB issue, you aren't going to have a job to worry about those lost draft picks. THAT's why the Pats will get a fair deal, and Scheckter will end up being right and Dilfer......well Dilfer will just end up being Dilfer.....again.