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2022 Mock Drafts


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Early days but here's the value I obtained with a few moves up and down.



1st round:
#22 Obtained uber-athletic linebacker Nakobe Dean, 6' 225lbs Georgia, to increase the speed of the defense in the middle of the field and a linebacker who can go sideline to sideline as well as defend the pass. No more letting Josh Allen have his way with our slow as molasses linebackers!

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2nd round:
#58 Obtained Huskies ballhawk CB Kyler Gordon, 6'0 200, recorded 2 ints and 7 PBUs his senior season. Need an heir apparent for JC Jackson or an insurance policy in case he leaves us in free agency.

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3rd round:
#70 Obtained massive 6'5 326 lb Senior Bowl standout DT Travis Jones who simply dominated the linemen throughout practices. He could really help cement the middle of the soft Patriots defense and provide push up the middle when paired with Barmore.

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#86 Obtained speedy Alabama WR John Metchie III. Mac Jones can be reunited with a familiar weapon who broke out nicely his junior year with over 1,100 yards receiving and 8 Tds, improving nicely upon a sophmore season of 900 yards and 6 TDs. Mac can use the help and this is a value spot to grab a wideout.

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4th round:
#111 OT Tyler Smith - Let's grab some depth at OT. Isaiah Wynn hasn't shown the ability to stay healthy. Smith's nasty, road grader attitude could bring an extra edge to the OL if he pans out.

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Late picks:
#199 DT Neil Farrell Jr - the 6'4 325 lb senior from LSU grades out as a pure 0 technique nose tackle and not much more than that. But sometimes you just need to rotate big bodies so they can stay fresh up front. Shoring up that run defense is a point of emphasis in this draft.

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#225 Luke Wattenberg OL/OC - This 4 year starter at center for the Huskies joins teammate Gordon with the Patriots because he can provide a steady and versatile presence on the interior line. Intelligence, consistency and versatility to play every position on the line make him a decent depth choice for a Patriots OL that at times got banged up last year.

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So how did I do? I'm going to bet that some of these guys I picked have their value rise by the time the draft gets around so there's no way they last as long as they did. But you gotta play the hand that the draft SIM deals you. ;)
 
Last edited:
I figured this **** out! No pun intended. If Bill drafted from the toilet like me, he’d be knocking it outta the park!!

In all seriousness though. Mock drafts are silly, but that’s what makes them fun. I get to jump over to YouTube and watch some guys I’d never heard of, or read up on some draft profiles.

In this mock, I had a lot of trade interest. In a perfect world, I would’ve slowed the pick process down so I could move up the board and snag guys I wanted, and not end up with so many picks. Either way, I was really happy with the results of this one.
 

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Found this online. Interesting



NFL DRAFT Historic Success Chart last 10yrs.
The numbers show us the following outline for finding consistent starters:

1st Round - OL (83%) LB (70%) TE (67%) DB (64%) QB (63%) WR (58%) RB (58%) DL (58%)

2nd Round - OL (70%) LB (55%) TE (50%) WR (49%) DB (46%) QB (27%) DL (26%) RB (25%)

3rd Round - OL (40%) TE (39%) LB (34%) DL (27%) WR (25%) DB (24%) QB (17%) RB (16%)

4th Round - DL (37%) TE (33%) OL (29%) LB (16%) WR(12%) DB (11%) RB (11%) QB (8%)

5th Round - TE (32%) DB (17%) WR (16%) OL (16%) DL (13%) RB (9%) LB (4%) QB (0%)

6th Round - TE (26%) OL (16%) DL (13%) WR (9%) DB (8%) RB (6%) LB (5%) QB (0%)

7th Round - DB (11%) OL (9%) QB (6%) WR (5%) DL (3%) LB (2%) RB (0%) TE (0%)
 
Found this online. Interesting



NFL DRAFT Historic Success Chart last 10yrs.
The numbers show us the following outline for finding consistent starters:

1st Round - OL (83%) LB (70%) TE (67%) DB (64%) QB (63%) WR (58%) RB (58%) DL (58%)

2nd Round - OL (70%) LB (55%) TE (50%) WR (49%) DB (46%) QB (27%) DL (26%) RB (25%)

3rd Round - OL (40%) TE (39%) LB (34%) DL (27%) WR (25%) DB (24%) QB (17%) RB (16%)

4th Round - DL (37%) TE (33%) OL (29%) LB (16%) WR(12%) DB (11%) RB (11%) QB (8%)

5th Round - TE (32%) DB (17%) WR (16%) OL (16%) DL (13%) RB (9%) LB (4%) QB (0%)

6th Round - TE (26%) OL (16%) DL (13%) WR (9%) DB (8%) RB (6%) LB (5%) QB (0%)

7th Round - DB (11%) OL (9%) QB (6%) WR (5%) DL (3%) LB (2%) RB (0%) TE (0%)
Wouldn’t that be heavily skewed due to the amount of players at each position drafted?
 
Here is the link I got this from. Pretty good break down. Charts at the end
1st rd pick? Stick with the trenches or LB’s. This draft looks to be pretty solid with depth in the first 3rds. Wouldn’t be surprised if Bill trades down if someone makes a solid offer. Thanks for sharing.
 
I'm not sure about waiting a year for Williams, but the rest of that draft is superb.
I picked William's because Davis was not available , my gut feeling is Dl or CB or a possible trade down
 

I'm not going to go into the picks themselves, but the strategy here involves Belichick trading down twice and trading up once:

21 for 37, 68, 2023 4 [HOU]
68, 2023 6 from CAR [Gilmore pick] for 64, 226 [DEN]
123 for 147, 199, 2023 7 [CAR]
 

I'm not going to go into the picks themselves, but the strategy here involves Belichick trading down twice and trading up once:

21 for 37, 68, 2023 4 [HOU]
68, 2023 6 from CAR [Gilmore pick] for 64, 226 [DEN]
123 for 147, 199, 2023 7 [CAR]
Damn, that would be such an awesome draft. Don’t mean to beat a dead horse, but if the mock draft simulations I’ve done, and you guys have done, along with the professional mocks and BGC’s work, it really seems like we could fill a lot of holes between the 2nd-6th. If one of the top players drops, then I’m all for staying put. It just doesn’t seem likely.
 


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