Cousin,
Good morning. Toasted apricot and berry bread with jam, orange juice and Coffee to start this day.
Your confidence is well noted but as Triumph says in a few posts down. 'We ain't going anywhere without a QB'. Even Mike Reise who is a big BB supporter/defender made note of the Hunter Henry comments that he is not apt to go to a Team without a decent QB. Wouldn't mind him on our side at TE.
These Draft picks are not sure things. Charlie Weis should understand that. Drumming for Mac Jones does not make him the next TB12. 17% Charlie........that is what you and your "professional" talent evaluators hit on.for success. The worse the Team, the more Draft picks they keep to turn over crappy rosters. Good Teams weiill keep less Draftees. This is why eventually good Teams wind up with older rosters and those Teams decline (see Patriots the last couple). But relying on that "build through the Draft" B.S. is not the only way. If you are an expert with a rifle, don't bring a pistol to a gun fight.
In a study that was done of Team Draft success, the Patriots were mid pack (thought it would be lower). At a league average of 17%, Draft success measured in a fair term of three years but there are two problems. One is "in a fair term of three years" How many Posters feel that BB will stick around for three more years as HC? The next problem is 17% success. That success is measured by Pro Bowl type player, Solid Starter, Valued Back-up or Special Teams specialist. The rest will be cut or traded or just leave the NFL. Some Teams just pick the wrong guys for their Teams.
That amounts to an average of 2 players (not roster fillers) that have added to your Teams yearly line up. In 2019 we were actually poopy, lost some solid players and we wound up keeping more picks to fill holes. In the nest two years we will see who sticks from 2020 but two will most likely be it. You might have blips of say three players but don't confiuse those fringe roster "keepers" who can be replaced every year.
O.K. after that sermon, I have warmed up to Mac Jones, but can he "Justin Herbert" us with a talent that allows him to guide us to play-off contention? or will he "Daniel Jones" us? There have been no rookie starters in the Super Bowl. It has been a rare site in the playoffs (see Butt Fumble Sanchez as exception).......or....will it be a fellow like Kurt Warner, a cast off whom was obtained and led the Cards to the Super Bowl? How about the Raiders picking up some guy named Jim Plunkett who won it all? Didn't Colts cast off Manning win and how about TB12? Foles anyone?Then for you nostalgia veteran NFL guys who remember Van Brocklin, Blanda, Earl Morrell, Y.A. Tittle who brought their Teams to championship games. Not a bunch of Rookies there.
My point is we need a Vet who maybe needs a change of scenery if BB wants his revenge tour. Perhaps a Alex Smith or a Kirk Cousins. Perhaps give up those three first rounders....why not, just look at our last three years, for a Russell Wilson. After seeing what's available maybe Mariota or even bring back Cam (blaspheme!!!!) ...o.k. then get a rookie under him as he might get hurt.
Once we get the QB start the rest of the puzzle. That is BBs forte. He can better 17% on his FA and Trade acumen....i.e rifle.
Thoughts?
DW Toys
