You asked what I based my statement that the team would not pay Onwenu when his time came, and I answered that in 2021 they team left him on the bench over Mason and Karras. Plus they drafted 3 interior lineman.
Mason was traded after the season and Karras signed $18 million over 3 years.
How much do you think Onwenu will command?
There are numerous problems with your statement.
- Judging how a player will be paid based on something that happened during his 2nd season speaks volumes about your understanding of how people get pay raises.
- They drafted 3 IOL because 1 of the IOL on the team is 33, one is a converted DE who hasn't shown much of anything, and 1 spent most of the season injured.
- Preparing for a player to hit free agency is something that the Patriots have tried to do pretty regularly.
In regards to after the 2021 season:
- Mason signed his contract extension in August of 2018. He played on it for 3 seasons before he was traded to Tampa.
- They let Karras walk after the 2019 season because they had decided to tag Thuney. They let Karras go after 2021 because they KNEW they had Onwenu ready to step in at RG. Also, Karras wanted to start and that wasn't happening in N.E. w/o an injury.
Your points don't seem to take into consideration the changing Salary Cap landscape due to the new TV contracts that are kicking in.
Things to think about.
- No one saw the Shaw Mason extension coming. Many were surprised by it. The usual suspects on here thought it was bad business.
- We have no idea if the Pats have reached out to Onwenu about an extension. We also have no idea whether or not he's open to signing one.
- Onwenu is going to get a decent bump thanks to the performanced based pay clause the NFL has. It won't be millions, but it will be nice.
- The Pats paid out for Mankins. The Pats attempted to pay out for Thuney. The Pats have a history of paying out to top flight O-linemen.