OT-ish: The gambling thread

[mgcolby]

And without further ado... Week 16 is here. Hopefully the picker can finish out the regular season strong with two winning weeks. Based on winning and losing weeks its 6-4-1 overall.

As usual a few head scratchers:
Bucs over the texans by almost 9 points...
Panthers over the Colts
Cardinals in a virtual tie with the Seahawks
Bills over the Pats...it really doesn't like the Pats much lately...sounds like some long time posters around here...

Season:
ATS: 87-71-3 (55%) +8.9 units
SU: 94-67 (58%)

Week 15:
ATS: 5-11
SU: 8-8

 

[supafly]

I’m afraid to ask, but does anyone ever bet against the Patriots? I’ve done it plenty of times over the years, but always with the points, and always with a Patriots victory as the priority. The reason I ask is because Buffalo+6.5 looks like a really solid play to me.

 

[Brady_to_Moss]

I’m afraid to ask, but does anyone ever bet against the Patriots? I’ve done it plenty of times over the years, but always with the points, and always with a Patriots victory as the priority. The reason I ask is because Buffalo+6.5 looks like a really solid play to me.

I took the Ravens when they played the Pats. I had that as an L to start the year so I held onto it. I also think I took Buffalo with the points in Buffalo but I can't remember.

I do like Buffalo +6.5. it's a toss up game and going to be close IMO.

I am done for 2 weeks but I love the upset pick of the Titans. Saints outside the dome are meh at best

 

[fightingirish595]

I’m afraid to ask, but does anyone ever bet against the Patriots? I’ve done it plenty of times over the years, but always with the points, and always with a Patriots victory as the priority. The reason I ask is because Buffalo+6.5 looks like a really solid play to me.

I do it. No shame here. Doing it today. Did it in Super Bowl 52

also took the points with the jags that year

 

[luuked]

I’m afraid to ask, but does anyone ever bet against the Patriots? I’ve done it plenty of times over the years, but always with the points, and always with a Patriots victory as the priority. The reason I ask is because Buffalo+6.5 looks like a really solid play to me.

Once we get to the games that matter (usually postseason) I do it all the time.

It really is a win/win from my POV. Either we win or I get some additional disposable income.

The Bills game today is really a tough decision.

 

[fightingirish595]

So ****in dumb that book doesn’t let you by a half up or down from 3. Pisses me the **** off. I need to be done with that site after the year because parlay payouts are mostly trash and I need to have the option to buy a half from 3 points

 

[BaconGrundleCandy]

I’m afraid to ask, but does anyone ever bet against the Patriots? I’ve done it plenty of times over the years, but always with the points, and always with a Patriots victory as the priority. The reason I ask is because Buffalo+6.5 looks like a really solid play to me.

All the time. It's abt making $ & betting on #'s. Not teams or players.

 

[fightingirish595]

All the time. It's abt making $ & betting on #'s. Not teams or players.

what do you mean by betting numbers exactly? I like to play/avoid certain numbers myself. For example I’ll never lay 3.5 or take 6.5. Is this sort of what you’re saying?

 

[BaconGrundleCandy]

what do you mean by betting numbers exactly? I like to play/avoid certain numbers myself. For example I’ll never lay 3.5 or take 6.5. Is this sort of what you’re saying?

No I'm betting on a # as opposed to a team/player/matchup.

I'm not looking at who's better but more interested in getting the best #'s.

Too many look at it the opposite.

 

[fightingirish595]

No I'm betting on a # as opposed to a team/player/matchup.

I'm not looking at who's better but more interested in getting the best #'s.

Too many look at it the opposite.

What determines what the best number is? I thought that this had to do with key numbers

 

[BaconGrundleCandy]

What determines what the best number is? I thought that this had to do with key numbers

It's a bit of both. Key #'s & not ignoring the obvious. Like today, Buffalo catching a TD/6.5 today. Just a better # as opposed to laying that when you factor in circumstances.

You've never heard of betting the # not the team? Not trying to be an ass its just kinda 101. Ignore the names & washing away the hype.

Like I'd have a mathematical/statistics background as opposed to knowing a **** ton abt football or w/e sport you're playing.

 

[fightingirish595]

It's a bit of both. Key #'s & not ignoring the obvious. Like today, Buffalo catching a TD/6.5 today. Just a better # as opposed to laying that when you factor in circumstances.

You've never heard of betting the # not the team? Not trying to be an ass its just kinda 101. Ignore the names & washing away the hype.

Like I'd have a mathematical/statistics background as opposed to knowing a **** ton abt football or w/e sport you're playing.

lol I’ve heard of it. I basically do it myself. But I factor in the matchup with it. In other words I’m not just going to take 7.5 everytime it’s an option. Sometimes the 7.5 is valuable other times it’s not.

 

[maust]

4 of 5 last week, 3 of 3 so far this week and OFC the Pats hit their season over total today, things are looking up!

 

[fightingirish595]

4 of 5 last week, 3 of 3 so far this week and OFC the Pats hit their season over total today, things are looking up!

yeah over 11 was just too good to pass up even at -150

 

[maust]

yeah over 11 was just too good to pass up even at -150

Remember back when we were posting about shopping that? I didn't want to cough up the juice at -150. Pretty sure that was this year but maybe it was last. I'm not sure if I posted it or not but I finally got it at -135. Pretty certain it was Supa that pulled the trigger at -130 but I couldn't get it.

 

[fightingirish595]

Remember back when we were posting about shopping that? I didn't want to cough up the juice at -150. Pretty sure that was this year but maybe it was last. I'm not sure if I posted it or not but I finally got it at -135. Pretty certain it was Supa that pulled the trigger at -130 but I couldn't get it.

Yup I remember

 

[maust]

Yup I remember

What did you finally get it at?

 

[fightingirish595]

What did you finally get it at?

-145 or -150. I don’t remember. Made the same bet last year. Pushed.

 

[BaconGrundleCandy]

Remember back when we were posting about shopping that? I didn't want to cough up the juice at -150. Pretty sure that was this year but maybe it was last. I'm not sure if I posted it or not but I finally got it at -135. Pretty certain it was Supa that pulled the trigger at -130 but I couldn't get it.

I couldn't believe I got 135 lol.

 

[fightingirish595]

Chiefs play of the day today at less than a touchdown.

Dolphins redskins steelers

lean colts less than a TD

tease phins and hawks