OT-ish: The gambling thread

[A Defiant Goose]

Yes you can.

My God stop talking so much it was just a simple yes or no question

I just signed up for Bovada last night and made a deposit using a credit card and it took no time at all. Deposited $300 and that gave me $450 to bet because of some promotion.

Thanks man I'm gonna check it out

 

[fnordcircle]

My God stop talking so much it was just a simple yes or no question

Thanks man I'm gonna check it out

I shamelessly sent you a referral link because that's all you are to me - a cog in my money making machine.

 

[A Defiant Goose]

I shamelessly sent you a referral link because that's all you are to me - a cog in my money making machine.

Yea I understand haha I got it. I have no idea how betting works other than the spread. I don't know what parlay means or what "-105" means for a game. I just put $20 each on Seattle and Detroit. See how that goes

 

[fnordcircle]

Yea I understand haha I got it. I have no idea how betting works other than the spread. I don't know what parlay means or what "-105" means for a game. I just put $20 each on Seattle and Detroit. See how that goes

Parlay is french for 'a 100% tax on people with too much optimism'.

Basically you tie multiple bets together into one big bet with a bigger payout. So a 3 game parlay means you have to get all of your bets right for 3 games and if you do you win substantially more than you would if you placed 3 individual bets. But if you're wrong about any single game you lose your entire bet.

-105 is basically what you need to bet to win $100.



So in that example the Patriots are -21 -110 if you bet the point spread. Meaning you have to bet $110 to win $100 and the Patriots need to win by 22 for you to make money. If they win by 21 it's a push and you get your money back, often minus the juice (the fee the book charges for their service. My book in Reno was the Atlantis and they gave you all your money back on a push and I love and miss them.) If they win by 20 or less or lose kiss your $ goodbye.

The second is the bet on the total score. 43 O/U means over/under 43 points. Notice the payout is the same, a $110 bet on scoring more or less points than 43 nets you $100.

The last is the money line which is just a straight up bet on who will win. You have to bet $3500 on the Pats to win $100. If you bet $100 on the Jets you win $1300 if they win.

All I do is bet on the Pats and the occasional teaser (teasers are like a parlay but you 'tease' the line however you want for much less of a payoff. So a 5 team 6 point teaser means you get to move the line for 5 different bets by 6 points. So instead of winning by 22 the Pats would need to win by 16 and you'd do that with 4 other games.

Buying points is another thing you can do where you reduce your payout but move the line. For instance if the line is -3 1/2 I often 'buy' half a point to move it to -3 because it sucks when it's OT and your team is driving and they win by a FG and the line was -3 1/2.

And if fightingirish disagrees with any of the above listen to him, not me.

 

[mitsudriver]

Been an ok day or me. Took some winnings and layed $200 on Notre Dame at +550. Wasn’t going to touch the game otherwise. Let’s go Irish!

 

[fightingirish595]

Got beat up today. 3 outta 4 if bets dead on the first leg. Can’t have that

 

[maust]

And if fightingirish disagrees with any of the above listen to him, not me.

Guessing the disagree was for

Parlay is french for 'a 100% tax on people with too much optimism'.

 

[supafly]

Got beat up today. 3 outta 4 if bets dead on the first leg. Can’t have that

That’s my issue with parlays and teasers. It’s hard enough to win one game, let alone two. Obviously, your chances increase by moving more points around, but I’ve just never found it to be a profitable endeavor, myself. I know that you’ve seen success and that you feel differently. They’re always tempting, and I hit one last Sunday, but I can’t help but wonder if it’s a good long term move.

 

[fightingirish595]

That’s my issue with parlays and teasers. It’s hard enough to win one game, let alone two. Obviously, your chances increase by moving more points around, but I’ve just never found it to be a profitable endeavor, myself. I know that you’ve seen success and that you feel differently. They’re always tempting, and I hit one last Sunday, but I can’t help but wonder if it’s a good long term move.

If bets are just a combination of straight bets so I don’t quite agree. I definitely share that sentiment about parlays though. I wouldn’t advise teasing more than 2 teams based on the data, although I do have a 4 teamer today

 

[fightingirish595]

Guessing the disagree was for

Lmao nah I did that disagree as a joke because he said that hahahaha

 

[maust]

Generally I am not a parlay guy. It's seldom I feel that good about multiple bets but then I am a pro sports guy, with so many games involved college betting is different

 

[jmt57]

Spread on the Pats-Jets game has dropped to 21.

Normally I would stay away from that large a number, but that is very tempting.

Am I overthinking the history of BB vs backup quarterbacks that he has little film on, that seem to play well against the Pats in their first or second start?

 

[maust]

Spread on the Pats-Jets game has dropped to 21.

Normally I would stay away from that large a number, but that is very tempting.

Am I overthinking the history of BB vs backup quarterbacks that he has little film on, that seem to play well against the Pats in their first or second start?

In this instance since Falk was initially a desperation backup I'd say yes but I'm not coughing up that seemingly safe number because BB has also been known to go into cruise control.

I was hoping something favorable would pop with this morning's numbers but so far not so much. My plays to this point were all made either off opens or early in the week with nothing happening afterwards to drive any offsets.
Det +7, Buff -4, Dallas -17, LAR -2.5 all for $50 and AZ -3 for $150

 

[fightingirish595]

And 6 point teaser packers -1 and Vikings -3 110 to win 100

 

[fightingirish595]

View attachment 24351 View attachment 24352

And 6 point teaser packers -1 and Vikings -3 110 to win 100

Pretty damn good good day. Pretty annoyed the 49ers didn’t cover though. They most certainly should have.

One of my books has the browns +6 so I bought it to 7 to try to hit the middle ground. 102 to win 75

 

[fightingirish595]

Kupp first td 25 to win 200

 

[mgcolby]

Wanted to take the Rams but the line jumped to -5. So I bet the 1st half over 23

 

[fnordcircle]

Kupp first td 25 to win 200

I like this one, pulling for you dude.

 

[Dorito Dink]

Bills screwed me out of $250 today on a $10 parlay. Had Pack covering, Ravens covering, Lions covering, Colts covering and then the Bills blow the 14 point lead. They won but didn't cover. Luckily I played a round robin with the above matchups and won $50.

I then played a $10 fanduel entry and tied for first place out of 2,000 players (would have won $3K but 12 guys had my same lineup so we split $590). Not a bad day's work.

 

[fnordcircle]

Kupp first td 25 to win 200

How does this prop bet work? Is it first TD in the entire game by either team or is it first TD by the Rams?