I'm saying that you can extrapolate and surmise from prior events the reasons for things. That is the nature of speculation. If I look out the window and there are dark clouds, I may bring an umbrella because it will likely rain. I would be speculating that it might rain. Alternatively, I would be making things up if I said that Dr. Seuss made strange trades for the Texans. That is just lying.
When I suggested that O'Brien may be weighing his own interests above that of the team (which I signposted with the word "feel") that is not making things up. It is making an educated guess from the evidence at hand that he is not acting in the best of faith. I also don't believe this makes him a bad guy; rather, the team is crazy -- in my opinion -- to give a coach who is likely on the hot seat the keys to the castle. I can't ask Bill O'Brien to work against his own self-interest.
Since it is a forum, then yes -- absolutely -- feel free to disagree with my speculation and claim it is absurd. And I would ask why you feel that way, not out of anger but general curiosity. However, your read of the situation will also likely be speculation. Unless, of course, you just state Bill O'Brien made a series of trades (i.e. restating the news). And just rehashing the news without any commentary or speculation would leave things pretty dull around here.