Here's another one, and I'm going to title it "why Deonte Skinner sucks". This was actually the play immediately after the one I previously posted (third play from scrimmage of the game):
3rd and 10, the Vikings have 11 personnel out on the field, trips right with their tight end (Rudolph) lined up left.
Pats are in a nickel formation. Technically 3-3, but much like in the last play, one of the OLBs (Hightower, in this case), is right up on the LOS, while the other OLB is inside the DE, making this for all intents and purposes four down linemen. Ninkovich is the SDE (7 technique), Easley is NT (0 technique), and Jones is the WDE (also 7 technique).
Revis is matched up on Jennings in the inside slot, Kyle Arrington on Jarius Wright, and Logan Ryan on Cordarelle Patterson out wide. The safeties aren't in the frame here, but Harmon is on the strong side and McCourty is on the weak side.
For the LBs, Mayo is lined up on the strong side inside Ninkovich, Skinner is on the weak side, and Hightower is up on the LOS on the weak side. To be totally honest, I think Cassel identified exactly which mismatch he wanted at the LOS, and this is probably what Norv was scheming for in the first place.
Deonte Skinner can't cover Kyle Rudolph. Based on what we saw, in fact, I'd be willing to bet that Deonte Skinner can't cover anybody.
Pats send 4: the three down linemen, plus Mayo. Hightower initially shows blitz, but drops back to cover the RB coming out of the backfield.
Kalil (Vikings LT) seems like he might be lost here. It looks like he was initially going to block Hightower, who was briefly engaged by Rudolph before Rudolph released into a shallow crossing pattern. But with Hightower rolling out to cover the RB, there's nothing for Kalil to do except try belatedly to double Chandler Jones. But he's too late: see how easily and quickly Jones splits that double team here. Against a lesser athlete, Kalil might've been able to recover and afect hte play, but Jones is just too strong and too quick; he's already blown past the LG by the time Kalil commits to helping.
Also note that Easley has steered the center outside to the right, opening up the left side A gap for Mayo. This leaves Mayo unblocked as he rushes the QB up the middle while the Vikings' RG (Brandon Fusco) stands around with nothing to do.
More ominously, note that Rudolph already has a full step on Skinner while both inside receivers are crossing to the weak side and Patterson is running what looks like a post route (kinda hard to tell on the TV feed), all in an effort to clear the secondary out from the strong side and create room down the right sideline for Rudolph to run.
A few things to notice here. First, as the ball is leaving Cassel's hand, Mayo is already hitting him and Jones is a half-step away. Just a great job by Cassel standing in there and delivering a perfect throw.
Second, notice how wide open Kyle Rudolph already is. Skinner is going over Wright/Arrington, and he's a solid step and a half behind Rudolph. Keep in mind, Rudolph is anything but a speedster. Coming out of college, he was basically billed as a poor man's Gronk: same size, but significantly less explosive and just generally slower. Rudolph is a good player, but it's really inexcusable that a starting LB would be so overmatched in this situation.
Rudolph catches the ball with a vast expanse of open field in front of him. This is what the trips formation was for (pulling the strong side defense upfield), and Rudolph has beaten Skinner so thoroughly that Skinner is effectively a nonentity on this play.
Skinner flails helplessly at Rudolph 2 yards past the first down marker, while Harmon comes up to limit the gain to 15=20 yards or so. Rudolph steps out of bounds moments after this screenshot while absorbing a hit from Harmon.
All in all, I think this play is really illustrative as well, for several reasons:
- Norv Turner is a really good OC. If you have one weak link on the field, he'll find a way to target that guy and beat him for big gains. Deonte Skinner was obviously our weak link.
- If Jamie Collins is on the field, that 3rd down conversion never happens. Or doesn't happen the way that it did, at least. Assuming that the Vikings call the same play there--which I doubt they would, because Turner is too smart to target Jamie Collins in coverage--Collins beats Rudolph to the sideline and forces him out of bounds long before the marker for a three and out.
- Shame on the Patriots for putting themselves in a position where they were one injury away from Skinner starting. I just can't accept that this was a reasonable gamble that they took in their roster construction. It was reckless and unnecessary. And the LB corps had better get and stay healthy from here on out, because better teams will target the replacement LB a whole mot more effectively than Matt Cassel did.
- 10 guys executed the hell out of their assignments on that play. Jones, Easley, and Mayo, in particular, all executed well in a way that created a lot of pressure with a four man rush. But if one guy ****s up badly enough (or is too thoroughly overmatched), everyone else's work is for naught.