yukon cornelius
In the Starting Line-Up
- Joined
- Oct 3, 2011
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Here's a prediction. The WR will VERY soon become the future's version of the RB. That is, easy to find them and with so many out there you won't have to pay them the amounts of money that too many receive today. Sure there will be a few that will get big money, but not like they are getting in todays game. Why? Simply put, "Economics"
In today's pass happy offenses the College game is spewing out 20 odd NFL quality receivers every year. Sure some are better than others but most are good enough to win with......and in the end, THAT is what matters. In a day in the not too distant future, FA WR's will start to see the premium contract start to dry out when the market gets stuffed with quality guys. More guys than there are jobs to have. AND next year there will be another 20, and the next and the next and the next. Get the picture.
DISCLAIMER - When I say these guys won't get paid, I'm speaking in relative terms here. There will be a bunch of guys with 10MM deals, but even as the cap rises, there will be very few if any, 20MM/yr deals.
you can already see it happening - you're already seeing more and more guys that are "X" receivers vs "Y" or "Z" guys - there's still some flexibility and variability, but just like we started to see fewer and fewer 3 down backs, and saw the rise of the '3rd down back' and the 'short yardage' guy, i think there are some parallels to be drawn between the two positions