Patriots Local News:

SOURCE:Providence Journal


SOURCE:WEEI


SOURCE:WEEI


SOURCE:WEEI


SOURCE:WEEI


SOURCE:TheAthletic


SOURCE:98.5 The Sports Hub


SOURCE:CBS Boston


SOURCE:NESN


SOURCE:Yahoo! Sports


SOURCE:Boston.com


SOURCE:Boston Herald


SOURCE:NESN


SOURCE:NESN


SOURCE:NESN


SOURCE:Yahoo! Sports


SOURCE:Boston.com


SOURCE:USA TODAY


SOURCE:USA TODAY


SOURCE:WEEI


SOURCE:WEEI


SOURCE:NESN


SOURCE:NESN


SOURCE:CBS Boston


SOURCE:ProFootballTalk.com

Patsfans.com

Upcoming Opponent:
Next Up: N/A

Current Patriots Twitter Feed:

We'll See Where We Are At The Half

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by mgteich, Sep 11, 2019.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2004
    Messages:
    30,706
    Likes Received:
    2,419
    Ratings:
    +10,091
    One game at a time for the players

    On the other hand, posters speculate and look forward. With our schedule, we will have lots of time for BB to experiment as he does in the first half of each season.

    1) Over the rest of the first half, BUF at 17 is the only team with a power ranking lower than 22 (NYJ). Game 9 is against BALT, and then the bye.

    2) Watson will be back well before the half; we can then decide on how many TE's to keep.

    3) After the bye, we will have Harry, Cajuste and Meredith available, if they are ready. We could have another IR to return.

    4) We are likely to have lots and lots of roster changes. I expect to see a couple of trades, plus the usual churning of the bottom of the roster.

    5) I suspect that our under and over for the first half is 6.5 wins and 1.5 losses.

    As I said, the players will play one game at a time, but we get to speculate.

    I see two challenges: health and the putting together an OL for the 2nd half of the season.
     
    • Like Like x 2
    • Thank You Thank You x 1
  2. betterthanthealternative

    betterthanthealternative PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Aug 27, 2006
    Messages:
    6,325
    Likes Received:
    1,629
    Ratings:
    +7,368
    Assuming that Brady doesn't get suspended because of the lawsuit against Brown, I'll be really disappointed if the Pats lose any of the first 8 games. But yeah, stuff happens as you point out.
     
    • Funny Funny x 3
    • Like Like x 2
    • Agree Agree x 2
  3. shmessy

    shmessy . PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2004
    Messages:
    30,634
    Likes Received:
    7,064
    Ratings:
    +28,186
    Also, Harry can return for game #9 in Baltimore right before the bye.........
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Useful Useful x 1
  4. luuked

    luuked Pro Bowl Player

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2014
    Messages:
    17,736
    Likes Received:
    6,256
    Ratings:
    +33,141
    Who are we going to lose to in those first 8 games ? The Browns at home ?

    I get saying 0.5 losses because something can always go wrong but anything but 8:0 or 7:1 would be extremely surprising. Realistically, at Ravens might end up being a nice pre BYE test against a team that might sniff a wildcard if things go their way.

    Honestly the first real test I see on the schedule is the game in Philly right after the BYE.
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  5. Hyped

    Hyped PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2004
    Messages:
    2,707
    Likes Received:
    1,026
    Ratings:
    +4,137
    One thing I LOVE about our schedule is that we will be done with 3 AFC East opponents by week 4 with TWO of them on the road. Then we play the Skins and the Giants....then a roadie to the Jets....

    (Knocks on wood) If we start 7-0....I think we are shoo in for a BYE at MINIMUM. We would be 5-0 in the conference and 4-0 in the division with 2 late season division games at home and these remaining AFC games: CLE, @BAL, @HOU, KC, @CIN....I can't see us doing worse than 5-2 for our remaining AFC games should we start 5-0 in the conference. And the remaining NFC games would be @Philly and Dallas...a split at worst...

    13-3 is looking likely to me at this point....

    But of course, things always can change.
     
    • Useful Useful x 2
    • Like Like x 1
  6. SammyBlueCat

    SammyBlueCat PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Dec 2, 2005
    Messages:
    7,011
    Likes Received:
    3,287
    Ratings:
    +12,562
    If/when a trade occurs, he will most likely be an obscure player.
    Remember Kyle Van Noy?
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
  7. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2004
    Messages:
    30,706
    Likes Received:
    2,419
    Ratings:
    +10,091
    It is simply a matter of arithmetic. If we are a 9-1 favorite going into every game, how likely do you think it is to be 8-0? The answer is 46%. So, it would take all of the games to average 9-1 favorites for .5 to be approximately the right under and over odds.

     
  8. Brick27

    Brick27 2nd Team Getting Their First Start

    Joined:
    Oct 27, 2016
    Messages:
    1,914
    Likes Received:
    512
    Ratings:
    +3,376
    Hopeful for 8-0
    Confident in 7-1
    Could live with 6-2
     
    • Agree Agree x 3
  9. luuked

    luuked Pro Bowl Player

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2014
    Messages:
    17,736
    Likes Received:
    6,256
    Ratings:
    +33,141
    I get the statistical point of view. I just disagree with the odds.

    Anything below 7-1 would be extremely disappointing given the cup cake schedule.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  10. SBLIII

    SBLIII In the Starting Line-Up

    Joined:
    Apr 29, 2018
    Messages:
    4,315
    Likes Received:
    1,210
    Ratings:
    +6,421
    I expect 7-1 for the first 8 games with 1 wtf loss.
     
  11. Pat the Pats Fan

    Pat the Pats Fan Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

    Joined:
    Mar 14, 2005
    Messages:
    5,201
    Likes Received:
    700
    Ratings:
    +3,359
    never really understood odds / probability, what is the math to get 46% likely to go 8-0? Thanks
     
  12. BelichicksHoodie

    BelichicksHoodie On the Game Day Roster

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2014
    Messages:
    421
    Likes Received:
    100
    Ratings:
    +441
    Redskins or Browns are the only ones where I can see the potential of an upset in the first half.

    The other ones I’m honestly not too concerned about. The schedule makers honestly did us a big favour out the gate here. Lots of lower tier teams that let us work out the kinks before we get to that second half of the season with a lot of strong opponents.
     
  13. Brick27

    Brick27 2nd Team Getting Their First Start

    Joined:
    Oct 27, 2016
    Messages:
    1,914
    Likes Received:
    512
    Ratings:
    +3,376
    Not sure where that 90% odds of winning each given game came from, but if using that to determine winning all 8 it’d be 0.9^8 = 43%.
     
    • Useful Useful x 1
  14. UptownPatsFan

    UptownPatsFan Standin' Pat

    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2016
    Messages:
    9,104
    Likes Received:
    5,318
    Ratings:
    +20,628
    Lol we ain’t losing to the Skins bruh.
     
  15. Doctor DDS

    Doctor DDS Third String But Playing on Special Teams

    Joined:
    Dec 24, 2007
    Messages:
    752
    Likes Received:
    346
    Ratings:
    +1,471
    Schedule looks favorable but every year there are numerous close games including some against "weaker" teams that can be a loss if things fall the wrong way (like Dolphins last year) so I am not expecting undefeated at the half way mark. That said, this team has every opportunity to put together a 14-2 type season.
     
  16. borg

    borg PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2004
    Messages:
    8,795
    Likes Received:
    1,615
    Ratings:
    +7,991
    20-0
    Bill forfeits the bye
     
    • Winner Winner x 1
  17. NormZauchin

    NormZauchin PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2007
    Messages:
    1,563
    Likes Received:
    410
    Ratings:
    +2,360
    Yes. FedEx Field will be packed with Pats fans. It will be more like a home game.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  18. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2004
    Messages:
    30,706
    Likes Received:
    2,419
    Ratings:
    +10,091
    I just chose a very high percentage to prove the point. Actual odds for each game may be significantly lower for some games.
     
    • Thank You Thank You x 1
  19. goheels22002

    goheels22002 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2009
    Messages:
    8,292
    Likes Received:
    1,867
    Ratings:
    +7,881
    We're on to Miami. The Patriots owe them one in South Beach.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  20. Pat the Pats Fan

    Pat the Pats Fan Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

    Joined:
    Mar 14, 2005
    Messages:
    5,201
    Likes Received:
    700
    Ratings:
    +3,359
    Thanks
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page

FORUM SEARCH: CLOSE
For searches w/multiple
players add commas
(Ex: "Tom Brady, Julian Edelman")